Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $35.5800 (-0.08%) ($35.5400 - $35.7000) on Fri. Dec. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $35.5800(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    GDXJ(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.42(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.03(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.85(2.09%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2013	33.18	34.85	35.03	35.42			35.58(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	14	114	3.82	73%	0.12	73.9	0.63%	0	1.8	64	0
2	Dec_26_2013	33.14	34.8	34.9	35.27			35.61(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	14	86	3.58	73%	0.12	78.3	0.64%	0	2.2	68	0
3	Dec_24_2013	33.1	34.73	34.79	35.11			35.52(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	-10000	18	62	2.61	73%	0.12	79.3	0.64%	0	2.5	64	0
4	Dec_23_2013	33.06	34.66	34.72	34.91			35.42(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	20	-10000	15	36	7.29	73%	0.09	69	0.64%	0	2.6	63	0
5	Dec_20_2013	33.03	34.59	34.66	34.74			34.96(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	14	18	8.83	66%	0.09	59.7	0.62%	0	1.5	58	0

6	Dec_19_2013	33	34.56	34.64	34.59			34.86(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	-10000	10	-4	8.66	66%	0.09	44.9	0.64%	0	1.2	53	0
7	Dec_18_2013	32.97	34.51	34.61	34.48			34.8(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	5	-21	17.11	68%	0.09	21.8	0.64%	0	1.1	55	0
8	Dec_17_2013	32.94	34.47	34.59	34.42			34.53(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-6	-24	5.58	67%	0.09	17.9	0.65%	0	0.2	57	0
9	Dec_16_2013	32.91	34.46	34.59	34.49			34.54(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-7	-3	6.01	67%	0.09	27.2	0.66%	0	0.3	60	0
10	Dec_13_2013	32.88	34.46	34.61	34.57			34.2(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-11	18	4.85	66%	0.06	42	0.65%	0	-0.9	55	0

11	Dec_12_2013	32.86	34.46	34.66	34.69			34.31(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	9	-10000	-5	51	5.5	66%	0.09	65.4	0.64%	0	-0.5	55	0
12	Dec_11_2013	32.83	34.45	34.69	34.75			34.54(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	17	-10000	-3	77	7.54	68%	0.09	75.3	0.64%	0	0.3	68	0
13	Dec_10_2013	32.8	34.43	34.67	34.78			34.86(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	4	93	8.12	72%	0.12	82.1	0.63%	0	1.5	73	0
14	Dec_9_2013	32.76	34.38	34.61	34.74			34.93(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	6	89	4	73%	0.09	82.1	0.63%	0	1.9	70	0
15	Dec_6_2013	32.73	34.33	34.53	34.67			34.82(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	3	74	4.4	73%	0.09	81.7	0.64%	0	1.8	63	0

16	Dec_5_2013	32.7	34.27	34.47	34.64			34.58(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	1	72	4.27	72%	0.06	76.5	0.64%	0	1.1	60	0
17	Dec_4_2013	32.68	34.24	34.41	34.63			34.69(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	7	65	6.57	74%	0.09	81.2	0.64%	0	1.6	60	0
18	Dec_3_2013	32.65	34.19	34.34	34.55			34.66(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	9	54	5.73	74%	0.09	71.8	0.65%	0	1.6	66	0
19	Dec_2_2013	32.62	34.15	34.29	34.45			34.58(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	7	45	4.94	74%	0.06	68.3	0.65%	0	1.5	67	0
20	Nov_29_2013	32.6	34.1	34.26	34.37			34.69(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	8	43	4.23	74%	0.12	63.4	0.65%	0	2.1	71	0

21	Nov_27_2013	32.56	34.05	34.21	34.28			34.55(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	12	48	6.61	68%	0.12	67.1	0.64%	0	2	74	0
22	Nov_26_2013	32.52	34.01	34.18	34.15			34.28(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	4	32	5.32	66%	0.09	67.6	0.68%	0	1.2	55	0
23	Nov_25_2013	32.49	33.98	34.16	34.15			34.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	0	32	9.18	66%	0.09	72.1	0.68%	0	0.8	60	0
24	Nov_22_2013	32.46	33.96	34.14	34.11			34.16(-0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10000	-3	34	3.11	66%	0.06	70.3	0.69%	0	0.8	58	0
25	Nov_21_2013	32.44	33.93	34.11	34.14			34.23(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	0	46	5.39	66%		73.8	0.69%	0	1.1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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