Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $34.0300 (0.27%) ($33.7900 - $34.1000) on Tue. Nov. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $34.0300(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.9(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.81(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.57(1.37%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2013	32.2	33.57	33.81	33.9			34.03(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	5	51	4.71	58%	0.12	91.6	0.71%	0	1	69	0
2	Nov_11_2013	32.16	33.49	33.79	33.84			33.94(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	3	52	7.83	58%	0.12	91.4	0.71%	0	1	62	0
3	Nov_8_2013	32.12	33.42	33.76	33.81			33.9(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	4	53	8.95	58%	0.09	89.3	0.71%	0	1	61	0
4	Nov_7_2013	32.09	33.35	33.72	33.76			33.6(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-1	52	10.54	56%	0.06	84	0.71%	0	0.5	60	0
5	Nov_6_2013	32.07	33.29	33.7	33.77			34.04(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	-10000	5	74	5.25	60%	0.06	74.1	0.69%	0	1.2	81	0

6	Nov_5_2013	32.05	33.17	33.62	33.71			33.7(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	-10000	-3	79	4.51	58%	0.06	61.5	0.68%	0	0.8	79	0
7	Nov_4_2013	32.03	33.07	33.59	33.74			33.79(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	4	113	5.98	58%	0.06	56.3	0.68%	0	1	85	0
8	Nov_1_2013	32.01	32.98	33.55	33.7			33.66(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	3	131	4.64	60%	0.06	55.8	0.68%	0	1	75	0
9	Oct_31_2013	31.99	32.91	33.51	33.67			33.65(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	-10000	5	147	28.71	60%	0.09	54.6	0.69%	0	1	77	0
10	Oct_30_2013	31.96	32.83	33.42	33.61			33.76(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	10	155	5.57	60%	0.06	51.4	0.69%	0	1.3	82	0

11	Oct_29_2013	31.94	32.75	33.31	33.5			33.83(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	-10000	7	168	4.98	60%	0.06	50	0.69%	0	1.6	88	0
12	Oct_28_2013	31.92	32.67	33.17	33.42			33.61(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	-10000	3	178	5.01	60%	0.06	49.5	0.69%	0	1.5	87	0
13	Oct_25_2013	31.9	32.59	33.06	33.38			33.5(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	4	190	3.38	60%	0.06	48.3	0.69%	0	1.6	72	0
14	Oct_24_2013	31.88	32.52	32.96	33.33			33.33(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	58	-10000	11	197	3.53	60%	0.06	48.2	0.69%	0	1.5	67	0
15	Oct_23_2013	31.86	32.48	32.85	33.2			33.25(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	-10000	10	184	5.13	60%	0.06	40.8	0.69%	0	1.5	68	0

16	Oct_22_2013	31.84	32.42	32.69	33.08			33.41(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	-10000	19	158	16.36	60%	0.03	32.4	0.69%	0	2.1	64	0
17	Oct_21_2013	31.83	32.37	32.51	32.87			33.42(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	-10000	15	108	5.4	60%	0.06	23.1	0.69%	0	2.5	64	0
18	Oct_18_2013	31.81	32.31	32.36	32.7			33.24(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	31	-10000	14	81	7.93	55%	0.03	18.5	0.72%	0	2.7	66	0
19	Oct_17_2013	31.8	32.31	32.25	32.54			32.68(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	9	58	7.42	50%	0.03	9.4	0.69%	0	1.3	56	0
20	Oct_16_2013	31.79	32.31	32.18	32.44			32.67(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	18	38	8.19	50%	0.03	8.3	0.69%	0	1.3	52	0

21	Oct_15_2013	31.78	32.31	32.14	32.24			32.36(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	15	6	7.25	48%	0.03	-1.1	0.69%	0	0.3	50	0
22	Oct_14_2013	31.77	32.27	32.13	32.07			32.56(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	1	-10000	9	-23	7.14	48%	0.03	-16.1	0.68%	0	1	52	0
23	Oct_11_2013	31.76	32.25	32.07	31.97			32.45(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-10	-10000	5	-53	8.91	52%	0	-26.7	0.68%	0	0.7	47	0
24	Oct_10_2013	31.76	32.25	32.05	31.92			32.18(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-14	-10000	3	-65	8.2	50%	0.03	-24.4	0.7%	0	-0.2	45	0
25	Oct_9_2013	31.75	32.24	32.07	31.89			31.65(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-13	-89	10.27	45%		-20	0.67%	0	-2	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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