Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Aug. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $32.0700 (0.72%) ($31.9800 - $32.1400) on Sat. Aug. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $32.0700(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.82(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.96(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.99(0.25%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.69% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_23_2013	31.3	31.99	31.96	31.82			32.07(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	4	-36	5.07	35%	0.06	20.3	0.73%	0	0.4	44	0
2	Aug_22_2013	31.28	31.97	31.95	31.82			31.84(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	0	-53	6.05	33%	0.06	18.1	0.72%	0	-0.6	41	0
3	Aug_21_2013	31.26	31.97	31.98	31.77			31.7(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-12	-55	6.07	33%	0.03	12	0.74%	0	-1.1	42	0
4	Aug_20_2013	31.25	31.96	32.02	31.91			31.77(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-10	-29	3.32	33%	0.06	17.9	0.74%	0	-0.7	53	0
5	Aug_19_2013	31.23	31.95	32.05	32.03			31.72(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-8	-5	4.81	33%	0	19.3	0.74%	0	-0.8	50	0

6	Aug_16_2013	31.23	31.94	32.11	32.12			31.82(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-2	24	7.24	37%	0.06	19.8	0.75%	0	-0.4	55	0
7	Aug_15_2013	31.21	31.93	32.15	32.15			31.85(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-5	38	7.04	37%	0.06	15.4	0.75%	0	-0.3	55	0
8	Aug_14_2013	31.19	31.94	32.18	32.21			32.37(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	6	64	5.3	40%	0.06	23.1	0.72%	0	1.5	69	0
9	Aug_13_2013	31.17	31.92	32.12	32.14			32.4(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	4	57	4.72	40%	0.06	28.4	0.72%	0	1.7	70	0
10	Aug_12_2013	31.15	31.9	32.06	32.09			32.18(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-2	58	4.98	40%	0.06	37.8	0.72%	0	1.1	71	0

11	Aug_9_2013	31.13	31.89	32.01	32.11			31.97(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-3	66	3.67	40%	0.06	57.7	0.71%	0	0.3	63	0
12	Aug_8_2013	31.11	31.88	31.99	32.15			32.14(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	1	83	5.06	42%	0.06	76.9	0.71%	0	1	70	0
13	Aug_7_2013	31.09	31.87	31.94	32.14			32.03(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	-10000	5	75	5.25	42%	0.06	89	0.72%	0	0.6	50	0
14	Aug_6_2013	31.07	31.84	31.9	32.08			32.11(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	4	57	4.69	42%	0.06	87.5	0.72%	0	1	49	0
15	Aug_5_2013	31.05	31.8	31.84	32.03			32.28(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	11	38	4.37	42%	0.06	83.5	0.71%	0	1.5	53	0

16	Aug_2_2013	31.03	31.74	31.76	31.91			32.21(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	9	9	4.43	48%	0.06	80.6	0.72%	0	1.5	52	0
17	Aug_1_2013	31.01	31.69	31.68	31.81			32.07(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	8	-17	7.75	46%	0.06	84.8	0.74%	0	1.3	52	0
18	Jul_31_2013	30.99	31.64	31.67	31.72			31.73(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	2	-30	6.84	44%	0.03	76.2	0.73%	0	0.3	44	0
19	Jul_30_2013	30.98	31.6	31.69	31.7			31.84(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	7	-17	5.56	46%	0.06	71.9	0.74%	0	0.7	62	0
20	Jul_29_2013	30.96	31.54	31.71	31.62			31.68(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	2	-14	3.98	49%	0.03	66.9	0.75%	0	0.4	62	0

21	Jul_26_2013	30.95	31.49	31.74	31.59			31.73(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	5	4	6.03	49%	0.06	58.7	0.77%	0	0.5	66	0
22	Jul_25_2013	30.93	31.45	31.76	31.53			31.64(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-10000	-6	8	4.83	49%	0.03	53	0.77%	0	0.4	64	0
23	Jul_24_2013	30.92	31.4	31.79	31.6			31.62(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-7	38	5.79	49%	0.06	45.3	0.77%	0	0.4	68	0
24	Jul_23_2013	30.9	31.34	31.79	31.69			31.41(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-11	64	4.58	52%	0.03	34.3	0.76%	0	0.1	68	0
25	Jul_22_2013	30.89	31.28	31.77	31.82			31.54(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-8	96	5.04	52%		25.5	0.77%	0	0.4	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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