Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $31.1800 (0.65%) ($30.8500 - $31.2000) on Fri. Jul. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $31.1800(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.86(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.68(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.07(0.35%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2013	30.66	31.07	30.68	30.86			31.18(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	7	-57	14.2	48%	0.07	-34.7	0.85%	0	0.2	46	0
2	Jul_3_2013	30.64	31.08	30.64	30.77			30.98(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	-10000	6	-87	11.6	47%	0.03	-45.1	0.85%	0	-0.2	40	0
3	Jul_2_2013	30.63	31.1	30.68	30.69			30.8(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	7	-92	14.5	47%	0.03	-51.2	0.85%	0	-0.6	44	0
4	Jul_1_2013	30.62	31.14	30.78	30.6			30.75(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	9	-95	9.58	47%	0.03	-56.6	0.85%	0	-0.7	41	0
5	Jun_28_2013	30.61	31.2	30.86	30.48			30.59(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	1	-116	9.15	47%	0.03	-61.8	0.86%	0	-1.1	35	0

6	Jun_27_2013	30.6	31.25	30.94	30.47			30.72(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-34	-10000	-2	-128	6.54	47%	0.03	-64.2	0.86%	0	-1	38	0
7	Jun_26_2013	30.59	31.31	31.03	30.49			30.57(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-15	-131	20.47	47%	0.03	-63.3	0.85%	0	-1.4	41	0
8	Jun_25_2013	30.58	31.38	31.1	30.69			30.39(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10000	-23	-114	8.26	47%	0.03	-58.3	0.85%	0	-1.9	40	0
9	Jun_24_2013	30.57	31.45	31.21	30.99			30.14(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-38	-10000	-23	-82	11.19	47%	0	-50.7	0.85%	0	-2.8	33	0
10	Jun_21_2013	30.57	31.54	31.39	31.3			30.51(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-20	-10000	-13	-42	12.11	47%	0.03	-49.5	0.84%	0	-2.9	34	0

11	Jun_20_2013	30.56	31.6	31.52	31.47			30.85(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-14	-10000	-12	-19	15.78	49%	0.07	-53.2	0.84%	0	-3	40	0
12	Jun_19_2013	30.54	31.65	31.59	31.63			31.55(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	3	-10000	5	-4	11.22	53%	0.07	-48.3	0.79%	0	-0.5	43	0
13	Jun_18_2013	30.52	31.68	31.57	31.57			31.92(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	0	-10000	7	-20	6.32	55%	0.1	-40.9	0.78%	0	1.1	51	0
14	Jun_17_2013	30.49	31.69	31.54	31.48			31.67(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-13	-10000	-3	-41	6.59	54%	0.07	-35.6	0.77%	0	-0.1	47	0
15	Jun_14_2013	30.47	31.71	31.55	31.51			31.38(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-6	-36	5.78	52%	0.07	-18.3	0.77%	0	-1.3	45	0

16	Jun_13_2013	30.45	31.71	31.58	31.58			31.62(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	3	-25	7.61	52%	0.07	-5.3	0.77%	0	-0.5	48	0
17	Jun_12_2013	30.43	31.74	31.61	31.54			31.26(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-2	-28	8.95	50%	0.07	-6.6	0.76%	0	-2	41	0
18	Jun_11_2013	30.41	31.76	31.66	31.56			31.47(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-3	-35	7.31	50%	0.03	0	0.75%	0	-1.3	37	0
19	Jun_10_2013	30.4	31.77	31.7	31.6			31.8(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-1	-37	6.39	52%	0.07	8.7	0.74%	0	0.1	40	0
20	Jun_7_2013	30.38	31.76	31.7	31.61			31.73(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	2	-48	6.51	52%	0.1	17.4	0.74%	0	-0.1	38	0

21	Jun_6_2013	30.35	31.75	31.69	31.59			31.44(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-10	-60	14.73	50%	0.07	26.4	0.73%	0	-1.3	41	0
22	Jun_5_2013	30.33	31.75	31.72	31.7			31.37(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	-10000	-7	-44	7.93	53%	0.07	63.8	0.73%	0	-1.8	45	0
23	Jun_4_2013	30.31	31.76	31.8	31.78			31.68(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-2	-20	9.27	55%	0.1	85.5	0.74%	0	-0.4	54	0
24	Jun_3_2013	30.28	31.75	31.85	31.81			31.82(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	2	-10000	2	2	10	55%	0.07	98.7	0.74%	0	0.3	59	0
25	May_31_2013	30.26	31.72	31.88	31.78			31.66(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-2	11	6.97	55%		111	0.74%	0	-0.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.