Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 2, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $30.8000 (0.16%) ($30.6200 - $31.0100) on Tue. Jul. 2, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $30.8000(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $31.1
5 Day Moving Average   $30.69(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.68(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.1(-0.96%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2013	30.63	31.1	30.68	30.69			30.8(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	7	-92	14.5	47%	0.03	-51.2	0.85%	0	-0.6	44	0
2	Jul_1_2013	30.62	31.14	30.78	30.6			30.75(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	9	-95	9.58	47%	0.03	-56.6	0.85%	0	-0.7	41	0
3	Jun_28_2013	30.61	31.2	30.86	30.48			30.59(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	1	-116	9.15	47%	0.03	-61.8	0.86%	0	-1.1	35	0
4	Jun_27_2013	30.6	31.25	30.94	30.47			30.72(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-34	-10000	-2	-128	6.54	47%	0.03	-64.2	0.86%	0	-1	38	0
5	Jun_26_2013	30.59	31.31	31.03	30.49			30.57(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-15	-131	20.47	47%	0.03	-63.3	0.85%	0	-1.4	41	0

6	Jun_25_2013	30.58	31.38	31.1	30.69			30.39(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10000	-23	-114	8.26	47%	0.03	-58.3	0.85%	0	-1.9	40	0
7	Jun_24_2013	30.57	31.45	31.21	30.99			30.14(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-38	-10000	-23	-82	11.19	47%	0	-50.7	0.85%	0	-2.8	33	0
8	Jun_21_2013	30.57	31.54	31.39	31.3			30.51(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-20	-10000	-13	-42	12.11	47%	0.03	-49.5	0.84%	0	-2.9	34	0
9	Jun_20_2013	30.56	31.6	31.52	31.47			30.85(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-14	-10000	-12	-19	15.78	49%	0.07	-53.2	0.84%	0	-3	40	0
10	Jun_19_2013	30.54	31.65	31.59	31.63			31.55(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	3	-10000	5	-4	11.22	53%	0.07	-48.3	0.79%	0	-0.5	43	0

11	Jun_18_2013	30.52	31.68	31.57	31.57			31.92(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	0	-10000	7	-20	6.32	55%	0.1	-40.9	0.78%	0	1.1	51	0
12	Jun_17_2013	30.49	31.69	31.54	31.48			31.67(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-13	-10000	-3	-41	6.59	54%	0.07	-35.6	0.77%	0	-0.1	47	0
13	Jun_14_2013	30.47	31.71	31.55	31.51			31.38(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-6	-36	5.78	52%	0.07	-18.3	0.77%	0	-1.3	45	0
14	Jun_13_2013	30.45	31.71	31.58	31.58			31.62(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	3	-25	7.61	52%	0.07	-5.3	0.77%	0	-0.5	48	0
15	Jun_12_2013	30.43	31.74	31.61	31.54			31.26(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-2	-28	8.95	50%	0.07	-6.6	0.76%	0	-2	41	0

16	Jun_11_2013	30.41	31.76	31.66	31.56			31.47(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-3	-35	7.31	50%	0.03	0	0.75%	0	-1.3	37	0
17	Jun_10_2013	30.4	31.77	31.7	31.6			31.8(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-1	-37	6.39	52%	0.07	8.7	0.74%	0	0.1	40	0
18	Jun_7_2013	30.38	31.76	31.7	31.61			31.73(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	2	-48	6.51	52%	0.1	17.4	0.74%	0	-0.1	38	0
19	Jun_6_2013	30.35	31.75	31.69	31.59			31.44(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-10	-60	14.73	50%	0.07	26.4	0.73%	0	-1.3	41	0
20	Jun_5_2013	30.33	31.75	31.72	31.7			31.37(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	-10000	-7	-44	7.93	53%	0.07	63.8	0.73%	0	-1.8	45	0

21	Jun_4_2013	30.31	31.76	31.8	31.78			31.68(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-2	-20	9.27	55%	0.1	85.5	0.74%	0	-0.4	54	0
22	Jun_3_2013	30.28	31.75	31.85	31.81			31.82(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	2	-10000	2	2	10	55%	0.07	98.7	0.74%	0	0.3	59	0
23	May_31_2013	30.26	31.72	31.88	31.78			31.66(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-2	11	6.97	55%	0.07	111	0.74%	0	-0.2	54	0
24	May_30_2013	30.24	31.69	31.91	31.8			31.96(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	4	24	8.84	57%	0.1	108.2	0.74%	0	0.9	64	0
25	May_29_2013	30.21	31.62	31.88	31.76			31.76(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-10000	-5	18	8.23	57%		91.1	0.74%	0	0.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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