Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $31.7400 (-0.03%) ($31.4100 - $31.8500) on Thu. May. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $31.7400(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $32(-0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.84(-0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.44(0.95%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2013	30.14	31.44	31.84	32			31.74(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-2	73	17.02	54%	0.07	88	0.76%	0	0.5	67	0
2	May_22_2013	30.12	31.36	31.82	32.03			31.75(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	1	94	14.41	56%	0.07	87.3	0.76%	0	0.6	73	0
3	May_21_2013	30.1	31.27	31.8	32.02			32.1(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	8	122	8.38	59%	0.1	84	0.76%	0	1.1	88	0
4	May_20_2013	30.07	31.16	31.73	31.92			32.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	39	-10000	11	123	8.09	56%	0.13	74.8	0.77%	0	1.3	79	0
5	May_17_2013	30.03	31.03	31.64	31.78			32.2(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	10	123	17.19	56%	0.13	66.3	0.79%	0	1.4	82	0

6	May_16_2013	29.99	30.89	31.54	31.66			31.88(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	6	134	9.15	54%	0.1	55.4	0.79%	0	1.2	84	0
7	May_15_2013	29.96	30.77	31.45	31.58			31.71(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	2	144	6.42	54%	0.07	47.7	0.79%	0	1.1	82	0
8	May_14_2013	29.94	30.66	31.33	31.56			31.61(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-10000	4	159	7.37	54%	0.1	43.4	0.79%	0	1.2	83	0
9	May_13_2013	29.91	30.59	31.25	31.51			31.51(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	-10000	3	175	4.73	54%	0.1	43.7	0.79%	0	1.2	83	0
10	May_10_2013	29.88	30.51	31.15	31.48			31.59(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	55	-10000	6	200	4.7	54%	0.07	44.9	0.78%	0	1.5	87	0

11	May_9_2013	29.86	30.44	31.01	31.4			31.5(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	-10000	10	212	10.26	54%	0.07	49.8	0.78%	0	1.5	88	0
12	May_8_2013	29.84	30.38	30.86	31.28			31.59(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	67	-10000	17	218	8.49	54%	0.07	52.3	0.79%	0	1.9	90	0
13	May_7_2013	29.82	30.32	30.7	31.07			31.34(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	-10000	9	198	6.28	52%	0.1	52.8	0.79%	0	1.7	78	0
14	May_6_2013	29.79	30.25	30.55	30.96			31.36(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	-10000	14	181	7.24	52%	0.1	50.5	0.79%	0	2	63	0
15	May_3_2013	29.76	30.18	30.38	30.79			31.21(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	-10000	20	152	10.43	52%	0.07	44.6	0.81%	0	2.1	66	0

16	May_2_2013	29.74	30.1	30.19	30.55			30.92(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	14	97	6.41	50%	0.07	30.8	0.81%	0	1.9	54	0
17	May_1_2013	29.72	30.05	30.03	30.38			30.53(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	10	47	8.69	50%	0.03	19.2	0.8%	0	1.2	48	0
18	Apr_30_2013	29.71	30.01	29.93	30.26			30.8(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	15	11	13.4	51%	0.07	7.1	0.79%	0	2.1	50	0
19	Apr_29_2013	29.69	29.98	29.86	30.08			30.47(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	-10000	15	-11	8.26	49%	0.07	-5.3	0.79%	0	1.4	54	0
20	Apr_26_2013	29.67	29.95	29.8	29.9			30.04(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	12	-39	5.37	46%	0.03	-21.8	0.76%	0	0.3	53	0

21	Apr_25_2013	29.66	29.96	29.82	29.77			30.05(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	13	-44	6.47	46%	0.03	-29.2	0.77%	0	0.3	55	0
22	Apr_24_2013	29.65	29.97	29.86	29.62			29.95(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-10000	6	-57	5.55	42%	0.03	-42.5	0.77%	0	-0.1	50	0
23	Apr_23_2013	29.64	29.99	29.91	29.55			29.9(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-18	-10000	-6	-55	12.46	45%	0.03	-45.3	0.8%	0	-0.3	50	0
24	Apr_22_2013	29.63	30	29.93	29.62			29.58(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-5	-49	7.32	42%	0.03	-41.9	0.8%	0	-1.2	42	0
25	Apr_19_2013	29.62	30.03	29.96	29.68			29.35(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-17	-52	8.61	42%		-40.9	0.79%	0	-2.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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