Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $31.2100 (0.94%) ($31.1400 - $31.2800) on Fri. May. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $31.2100(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.79(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.38(2.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.18(3.41%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2013	29.76	30.18	30.38	30.79			31.21(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	-10000	20	152	10.43	52%	0.07	44.6	0.81%	0	2.1	66	0
2	May_2_2013	29.74	30.1	30.19	30.55			30.92(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	14	97	6.41	50%	0.07	30.8	0.81%	0	1.9	54	0
3	May_1_2013	29.72	30.05	30.03	30.38			30.53(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	10	47	8.69	50%	0.03	19.2	0.8%	0	1.2	48	0
4	Apr_30_2013	29.71	30.01	29.93	30.26			30.8(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	15	11	13.4	51%	0.07	7.1	0.79%	0	2.1	50	0
5	Apr_29_2013	29.69	29.98	29.86	30.08			30.47(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	-10000	15	-11	8.26	49%	0.07	-5.3	0.79%	0	1.4	54	0

6	Apr_26_2013	29.67	29.95	29.8	29.9			30.04(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	12	-39	5.37	46%	0.03	-21.8	0.76%	0	0.3	53	0
7	Apr_25_2013	29.66	29.96	29.82	29.77			30.05(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	13	-44	6.47	46%	0.03	-29.2	0.77%	0	0.3	55	0
8	Apr_24_2013	29.65	29.97	29.86	29.62			29.95(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-10000	6	-57	5.55	42%	0.03	-42.5	0.77%	0	-0.1	50	0
9	Apr_23_2013	29.64	29.99	29.91	29.55			29.9(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-18	-10000	-6	-55	12.46	45%	0.03	-45.3	0.8%	0	-0.3	50	0
10	Apr_22_2013	29.63	30	29.93	29.62			29.58(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-5	-49	7.32	42%	0.03	-41.9	0.8%	0	-1.2	42	0

11	Apr_19_2013	29.62	30.03	29.96	29.68			29.35(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-17	-52	8.61	42%	0	-40.9	0.79%	0	-2.1	41	0
12	Apr_18_2013	29.62	30.06	30.01	29.88			29.31(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-24	-10000	-20	-37	15.77	42%	0	-34.4	0.8%	0	-2.6	38	0
13	Apr_17_2013	29.62	30.12	30.08	30.12			29.62(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-15	-10000	-17	-8	12.05	44%	0.03	-12.5	0.79%	0	-2.1	42	0
14	Apr_16_2013	29.61	30.15	30.08	30.32			30.24(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	4	21	8.32	49%	0.03	10	0.74%	0	0.4	49	0
15	Apr_15_2013	29.6	30.14	30.12	30.32			29.87(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-2	4	-10000	0	17	16.42	45%	0.03	1.4	0.73%	0	-1.3	47	0

16	Apr_12_2013	29.59	30.14	30.14	30.28			30.37(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	12	20	5.75	50%	0.03	0	0.7%	0	1.1	54	0
17	Apr_11_2013	29.58	30.16	30.13	30.15			30.5(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	10	-10000	11	7	6.24	50%	0.07	-12.9	0.7%	0	1.6	61	0
18	Apr_10_2013	29.56	30.15	30.09	30.04			30.6(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.9	6	-10000	12	-13	10.55	50%	0.1	-28.6	0.7%	0	2.4	53	0
19	Apr_9_2013	29.53	30.13	30.09	29.91			30.07(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-12	-10000	-3	-39	5.97	44%	0.07	-51.8	0.67%	0	-0.4	48	0
20	Apr_8_2013	29.51	30.14	30.05	29.94			29.86(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-4	-39	6.32	41%	0.07	-32.1	0.66%	0	-1.6	42	0

21	Apr_5_2013	29.49	30.16	30.09	29.98			29.73(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-11	-36	7.01	41%	0.07	-11.3	0.66%	0	-2.7	39	0
22	Apr_4_2013	29.47	30.19	30.12	30.09			29.96(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-5	-30	5.64	44%	0.07	30.2	0.65%	0	-1.8	37	0
23	Apr_3_2013	29.45	30.2	30.15	30.14			29.95(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-7	-20	8.47	44%	0.07	62.5	0.66%	0	-2.1	45	0
24	Apr_2_2013	29.43	30.21	30.15	30.21			30.19(0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10000	2	-8	4.22	57%	0.07	130.3	0.65%	0	-0.2	49	0
25	Apr_1_2013	29.41	30.2	30.18	30.19			30.07(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-2	-14	4.63	57%		106.5	0.78%	0	-0.9	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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