Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $28.7600 (-1.13%) ($28.7400 - $29.0700) on Fri. Jul. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $28.7600(-1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.66(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.47(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.49(0.95%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2012	28.96	28.49	28.47	28.66			28.76(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	6	-15	15.71	51%	0	8.6	1.13%	0	0.7	50	0
2	Jul_19_2012	28.96	28.46	28.46	28.56			29.09(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	9	-10000	15	-10	9.84	51%	0	1.4	1.13%	0	1.6	66	0
3	Jul_18_2012	28.96	28.46	28.45	28.32			28.84(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	8	-22	8.13	50%	0	-6	1.13%	0	1.1	59	0
4	Jul_17_2012	28.96	28.44	28.46	28.19			28.35(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	1	-21	8.38	51%	-0.03	-9	1.11%	0	-0.2	57	0
5	Jul_16_2012	28.97	28.44	28.51	28.18			28.24(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-5	-8	4.71	49%	-0.03	-2.2	1.14%	0	-0.6	57	0

6	Jul_13_2012	28.98	28.44	28.56	28.26			28.27(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-10000	-5	5	6.89	47%	0	4.5	1.15%	0	-0.5	48	0
7	Jul_12_2012	28.98	28.45	28.54	28.34			27.9(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-10	-10000	-15	6	9.76	47%	-0.03	12.7	1.15%	0	-1.4	49	0
8	Jul_11_2012	28.99	28.45	28.54	28.59			28.18(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-11	22	7.84	47%	0	30	1.16%	0	-0.8	43	0
9	Jul_10_2012	28.99	28.47	28.58	28.77			28.31(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-7	30	7.29	45%	-0.03	53.1	1.16%	0	-0.4	44	0
10	Jul_9_2012	29	28.45	28.54	28.89			28.63(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-1	34	7.32	44%	0	65.7	1.16%	0	0.5	51	0

11	Jul_6_2012	29	28.44	28.53	28.91			28.69(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	9	42	6.9	44%	0.03	81	1.17%	0	0.6	54	0
12	Jul_5_2012	28.99	28.41	28.48	28.76			29.12(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	16	-10000	12	29	7.06	46%	0.03	72.3	1.16%	0	1.8	61	0
13	Jul_3_2012	28.98	28.36	28.44	28.57			29.12(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	13	24	3.43	45%	0.03	60.1	1.16%	0	1.9	63	0
14	Jul_2_2012	28.97	28.28	28.39	28.35			28.89(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	12	11	8.47	46%	0.03	37	1.16%	0	1.6	58	0
15	Jun_29_2012	28.96	28.2	28.36	28.15			28.73(2.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	3	-2	9	46%	0.03	16.1	1.15%	0	1.3	60	0

16	Jun_28_2012	28.95	28.2	28.31	28.1			27.95(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-3	-9	10.55	42%	0	5.6	1.1%	0	-0.4	46	0
17	Jun_27_2012	28.95	28.13	28.34	28.15			28.18(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-4	7.44	42%	0	7	1.09%	0	0.1	53	0
18	Jun_26_2012	28.95	28.12	28.33	28.28			28.01(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10000	-10	8	5.62	44%	0	16.2	1.09%	0	-0.3	49	0
19	Jun_25_2012	28.95	28.12	28.36	28.44			27.9(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-9	37	5.46	44%	0	27.4	1.11%	0	-0.6	57	0
20	Jun_22_2012	28.95	28.13	28.37	28.58			28.48(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	2	69	14.26	47%	0.07	41.8	1.08%	0	0.9	66	0

21	Jun_21_2012	28.93	28.13	28.36	28.55			28.17(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	22	-10000	-1	89	6.17	45%	0	43.2	1.07%	0	0.2	66	0
22	Jun_20_2012	28.93	28.1	28.35	28.56			28.85(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	12	101	9.48	48%	0.07	44.4	1.03%	0	1.9	61	0
23	Jun_19_2012	28.91	28.06	28.27	28.39			28.8(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	-10000	8	85	6.56	50%	0.07	32.8	1.03%	0	2.1	58	0
24	Jun_18_2012	28.89	28.02	28.15	28.28			28.58(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	9	60	8.65	50%	0.07	22.8	1.03%	0	1.8	53	0
25	Jun_15_2012	28.87	27.96	28.03	28.15			28.37(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	1	33	14.6	50%		-5.3	1.03%	0	1.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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