Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $28.1600 (2.29%) ($27.7100 - $28.1900) on Wed. Jun. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $28.1600(2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.97(-11.33%)
5 Day Moving Average   $27.64(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.83(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.03(0.46%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2012	28.78	28.03	27.83	27.64			28.16(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	1	-30	8.87	53%	0.07	-93.5	1.03%	0	0.3	50	0
2	Jun_5_2012	28.76	28.06	27.81	27.62			27.53(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-10	-45	7.13	48%	-0.03	-97	1%	0	-1.1	39	0
3	Jun_4_2012	28.77	28.13	27.87	27.76			27.36(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-7	-33	7.85	48%	0.03	-93.7	1%	0	-1.6	35	0
4	Jun_1_2012	28.76	28.22	27.9	27.86			27.2(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-10000	-11	-47	12.01	48%	0.03	-95.5	0.99%	0	-2	30	0
5	May_31_2012	28.75	28.34	27.96	28.01			27.93(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-46	11.92	52%	0.07	-86.6	0.96%	0	-0.8	37	0

6	May_30_2012	28.73	28.43	27.98	28.01			28.06(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	0	-58	5.55	52%	0.07	-72.5	0.96%	0	-0.6	35	0
7	May_29_2012	28.71	28.52	28	28.04			28.24(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	1	-69	7.33	52%	0.17	-59.9	0.96%	0	-0.4	37	0
8	May_25_2012	28.66	28.6	28.02	28.02			27.87(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	6	-84	5.01	50%	0.07	-49.8	0.93%	0	-0.9	28	0
9	May_24_2012	28.64	28.7	28.09	27.94			27.93(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10000	3	-103	8.3	50%	0.07	-47.7	0.94%	0	-1	27	0
10	May_23_2012	28.62	28.81	28.16	27.9			28.09(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-1	-132	8.72	50%	0.1	-46	0.94%	0	-0.9	22	0

11	May_22_2012	28.59	28.89	28.24	27.91			28.06(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-42	-10000	-4	-155	7.81	50%	-0.03	-47	0.94%	0	-1.1	20	0
12	May_21_2012	28.6	28.94	28.32	27.97			28.15(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-10000	-4	-171	8.55	50%	0.11	-51.7	0.94%	0	-1	21	0
13	May_18_2012	28.57	28.99	28.4	28.03			27.47(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-64	-10000	-19	-199	12.6	46%	0.07	-53.3	0.89%	0	-2.1	6	0
14	May_17_2012	28.55	29.09	28.56	28.27			27.73(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-59	-10000	-15	-189	11.28	47%	0.11	-53.4	0.89%	0	-2.1	6	0
15	May_16_2012	28.52	29.18	28.76	28.46			28.13(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-54	-10000	-12	-179	12.81	53%	0.07	-56.8	0.87%	0	-1.8	7	0

16	May_15_2012	28.5	29.26	28.93	28.61			28.36(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-9	-156	8.44	53%	0	-53.5	0.88%	0	-1.7	19	0
17	May_14_2012	28.5	29.34	29.09	28.72			28.44(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-9	-125	14.05	53%	0.11	-49.4	0.89%	0	-1.8	45	0
18	May_11_2012	28.47	29.39	29.23	28.83			28.69(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-5	-97	7.16	53%	0.11	-54.1	0.88%	0	-1.5	47	0
19	May_10_2012	28.44	29.44	29.36	28.9			28.67(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-16	-78	8.64	53%	0.14	-56.9	0.88%	0	-1.7	43	0
20	May_9_2012	28.4	29.51	29.5	29.11			28.89(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-22	-10000	-16	-40	10.46	53%	0.14	-49.6	0.88%	0	-1.5	44	0

21	May_8_2012	28.36	29.56	29.6	29.32			28.89(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-15	-10	10.17	53%	0.14	-47.3	0.89%	0	-1.8	39	0
22	May_7_2012	28.32	29.59	29.62	29.52			28.99(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-13	-3	8.09	53%	0.14	-45.9	0.89%	0	-1.7	37	0
23	May_4_2012	28.28	29.64	29.64	29.69			29.07(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-8	-10000	-15	13	12.09	53%	0.18	-39.1	0.88%	0	-1.7	49	0
24	May_3_2012	28.23	29.7	29.67	29.88			29.69(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-5	37	9.2	60%	0.14	-25.2	0.85%	0	-0	51	0
25	May_2_2012	28.19	29.72	29.65	29.95			29.94(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	2	35	6.42	60%		-21.2	0.85%	0	0.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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