Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 31, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $27.9300 (-0.46%) ($27.7300 - $28.1100) on Thu. May. 31, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $27.9300(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $28.34
5 Day Moving Average   $28.01(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.96(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.34(-1.45%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2012	28.75	28.34	27.96	28.01			27.93(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-46	11.92	52%	0.07	-86.6	0.96%	0	-0.8	37	0
2	May_30_2012	28.73	28.43	27.98	28.01			28.06(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	0	-58	5.55	52%	0.07	-72.5	0.96%	0	-0.6	35	0
3	May_29_2012	28.71	28.52	28	28.04			28.24(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	1	-69	7.33	52%	0.17	-59.9	0.96%	0	-0.4	37	0
4	May_25_2012	28.66	28.6	28.02	28.02			27.87(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	6	-84	5.01	50%	0.07	-49.8	0.93%	0	-0.9	28	0
5	May_24_2012	28.64	28.7	28.09	27.94			27.93(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10000	3	-103	8.3	50%	0.07	-47.7	0.94%	0	-1	27	0

6	May_23_2012	28.62	28.81	28.16	27.9			28.09(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-1	-132	8.72	50%	0.1	-46	0.94%	0	-0.9	22	0
7	May_22_2012	28.59	28.89	28.24	27.91			28.06(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-42	-10000	-4	-155	7.81	50%	-0.03	-47	0.94%	0	-1.1	20	0
8	May_21_2012	28.6	28.94	28.32	27.97			28.15(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-10000	-4	-171	8.55	50%	0.11	-51.7	0.94%	0	-1	21	0
9	May_18_2012	28.57	28.99	28.4	28.03			27.47(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-64	-10000	-19	-199	12.6	46%	0.07	-53.3	0.89%	0	-2.1	6	0
10	May_17_2012	28.55	29.09	28.56	28.27			27.73(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-59	-10000	-15	-189	11.28	47%	0.11	-53.4	0.89%	0	-2.1	6	0

11	May_16_2012	28.52	29.18	28.76	28.46			28.13(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-54	-10000	-12	-179	12.81	53%	0.07	-56.8	0.87%	0	-1.8	7	0
12	May_15_2012	28.5	29.26	28.93	28.61			28.36(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-9	-156	8.44	53%	0	-53.5	0.88%	0	-1.7	19	0
13	May_14_2012	28.5	29.34	29.09	28.72			28.44(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-9	-125	14.05	53%	0.11	-49.4	0.89%	0	-1.8	45	0
14	May_11_2012	28.47	29.39	29.23	28.83			28.69(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-5	-97	7.16	53%	0.11	-54.1	0.88%	0	-1.5	47	0
15	May_10_2012	28.44	29.44	29.36	28.9			28.67(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-16	-78	8.64	53%	0.14	-56.9	0.88%	0	-1.7	43	0

16	May_9_2012	28.4	29.51	29.5	29.11			28.89(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-22	-10000	-16	-40	10.46	53%	0.14	-49.6	0.88%	0	-1.5	44	0
17	May_8_2012	28.36	29.56	29.6	29.32			28.89(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-15	-10	10.17	53%	0.14	-47.3	0.89%	0	-1.8	39	0
18	May_7_2012	28.32	29.59	29.62	29.52			28.99(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-13	-3	8.09	53%	0.14	-45.9	0.89%	0	-1.7	37	0
19	May_4_2012	28.28	29.64	29.64	29.69			29.07(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-8	-10000	-15	13	12.09	53%	0.18	-39.1	0.88%	0	-1.7	49	0
20	May_3_2012	28.23	29.7	29.67	29.88			29.69(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-5	37	9.2	60%	0.14	-25.2	0.85%	0	-0	51	0

21	May_2_2012	28.19	29.72	29.65	29.95			29.94(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	2	35	6.42	60%	0.18	-21.2	0.85%	0	0.6	47	0
22	May_1_2012	28.14	29.74	29.62	29.92			29.92(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	14	37	11.68	60%	0.14	-21.1	0.85%	0	0.5	52	0
23	Apr_30_2012	28.1	29.76	29.61	29.74			29.82(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	13	20	10.06	60%	0.14	-31.9	0.85%	0	0.1	53	0
24	Apr_27_2012	28.06	29.77	29.56	29.58			30.03(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	12	-15	5	60%	0.18	-40.4	0.84%	0	0.6	50	0
25	Apr_26_2012	28.01	29.78	29.51	29.43			30.04(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-5	-10000	10	-49	9.48	60%		-46.5	0.84%	0	0.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.