Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 25, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $27.8700 (-0.21%) ($27.8100 - $27.9800) on Fri. May. 25, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $27.8700(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $28.6
5 Day Moving Average   $28.02(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.02(-0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.6(-2.55%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2012	28.66	28.6	28.02	28.02			27.87(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	6	-84	5.01	50%	0.07	-49.8	0.93%	0	-0.9	28	0
2	May_24_2012	28.64	28.7	28.09	27.94			27.93(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10000	3	-103	8.3	50%	0.07	-47.7	0.94%	0	-1	27	0
3	May_23_2012	28.62	28.81	28.16	27.9			28.09(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-1	-132	8.72	50%	0.1	-46	0.94%	0	-0.9	22	0
4	May_22_2012	28.59	28.89	28.24	27.91			28.06(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-42	-10000	-4	-155	7.81	50%	-0.03	-47	0.94%	0	-1.1	20	0
5	May_21_2012	28.6	28.94	28.32	27.97			28.15(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-10000	-4	-171	8.55	50%	0.11	-51.7	0.94%	0	-1	21	0

6	May_18_2012	28.57	28.99	28.4	28.03			27.47(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-64	-10000	-19	-199	12.6	46%	0.07	-53.3	0.89%	0	-2.1	6	0
7	May_17_2012	28.55	29.09	28.56	28.27			27.73(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-59	-10000	-15	-189	11.28	47%	0.11	-53.4	0.89%	0	-2.1	6	0
8	May_16_2012	28.52	29.18	28.76	28.46			28.13(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-54	-10000	-12	-179	12.81	53%	0.07	-56.8	0.87%	0	-1.8	7	0
9	May_15_2012	28.5	29.26	28.93	28.61			28.36(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-9	-156	8.44	53%	0	-53.5	0.88%	0	-1.7	19	0
10	May_14_2012	28.5	29.34	29.09	28.72			28.44(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-9	-125	14.05	53%	0.11	-49.4	0.89%	0	-1.8	45	0

11	May_11_2012	28.47	29.39	29.23	28.83			28.69(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-5	-97	7.16	53%	0.11	-54.1	0.88%	0	-1.5	47	0
12	May_10_2012	28.44	29.44	29.36	28.9			28.67(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-16	-78	8.64	53%	0.14	-56.9	0.88%	0	-1.7	43	0
13	May_9_2012	28.4	29.51	29.5	29.11			28.89(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-22	-10000	-16	-40	10.46	53%	0.14	-49.6	0.88%	0	-1.5	44	0
14	May_8_2012	28.36	29.56	29.6	29.32			28.89(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-15	-10	10.17	53%	0.14	-47.3	0.89%	0	-1.8	39	0
15	May_7_2012	28.32	29.59	29.62	29.52			28.99(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-13	-3	8.09	53%	0.14	-45.9	0.89%	0	-1.7	37	0

16	May_4_2012	28.28	29.64	29.64	29.69			29.07(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-8	-10000	-15	13	12.09	53%	0.18	-39.1	0.88%	0	-1.7	49	0
17	May_3_2012	28.23	29.7	29.67	29.88			29.69(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-5	37	9.2	60%	0.14	-25.2	0.85%	0	-0	51	0
18	May_2_2012	28.19	29.72	29.65	29.95			29.94(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	2	35	6.42	60%	0.18	-21.2	0.85%	0	0.6	47	0
19	May_1_2012	28.14	29.74	29.62	29.92			29.92(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	14	37	11.68	60%	0.14	-21.1	0.85%	0	0.5	52	0
20	Apr_30_2012	28.1	29.76	29.61	29.74			29.82(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	13	20	10.06	60%	0.14	-31.9	0.85%	0	0.1	53	0

21	Apr_27_2012	28.06	29.77	29.56	29.58			30.03(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	12	-15	5	60%	0.18	-40.4	0.84%	0	0.6	50	0
22	Apr_26_2012	28.01	29.78	29.51	29.43			30.04(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-5	-10000	10	-49	9.48	60%	0.14	-46.5	0.84%	0	0.6	47	0
23	Apr_25_2012	27.97	29.79	29.5	29.3			29.81(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-16	-10000	2	-71	14.36	60%	0.14	-51.4	0.84%	0	0	46	0
24	Apr_24_2012	27.93	29.82	29.49	29.28			28.99(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-10000	-16	-106	9.63	55%	0.11	-48.1	0.78%	0	-1.8	32	0
25	Apr_23_2012	27.9	29.89	29.55	29.47			29.05(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-4	-98	15.53	55%		-36.1	0.78%	0	-2	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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