Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $28.1300 (-0.81%) ($28.1000 - $28.5100) on Wed. May. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   7
Latest Price   $28.1300(-0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.7(-12.19%)
Resistance Level   $29.18
5 Day Moving Average   $28.46(-1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.76(-2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.18(-3.6%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2012	28.52	29.18	28.76	28.46			28.13(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-54	-10000	-12	-179	12.81	53%	0.07	-56.8	0.87%	0	-1.8	7	0
2	May_15_2012	28.5	29.26	28.93	28.61			28.36(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-9	-156	8.44	53%	0	-53.5	0.88%	0	-1.7	19	0
3	May_14_2012	28.5	29.34	29.09	28.72			28.44(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-9	-125	14.05	53%	0.11	-49.4	0.89%	0	-1.8	45	0
4	May_11_2012	28.47	29.39	29.23	28.83			28.69(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-5	-97	7.16	53%	0.11	-54.1	0.88%	0	-1.5	47	0
5	May_10_2012	28.44	29.44	29.36	28.9			28.67(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-16	-78	8.64	53%	0.14	-56.9	0.88%	0	-1.7	43	0

6	May_9_2012	28.4	29.51	29.5	29.11			28.89(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-22	-10000	-16	-40	10.46	53%	0.14	-49.6	0.88%	0	-1.5	44	0
7	May_8_2012	28.36	29.56	29.6	29.32			28.89(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-15	-10	10.17	53%	0.14	-47.3	0.89%	0	-1.8	39	0
8	May_7_2012	28.32	29.59	29.62	29.52			28.99(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-13	-3	8.09	53%	0.14	-45.9	0.89%	0	-1.7	37	0
9	May_4_2012	28.28	29.64	29.64	29.69			29.07(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-8	-10000	-15	13	12.09	53%	0.18	-39.1	0.88%	0	-1.7	49	0
10	May_3_2012	28.23	29.7	29.67	29.88			29.69(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-5	37	9.2	60%	0.14	-25.2	0.85%	0	-0	51	0

11	May_2_2012	28.19	29.72	29.65	29.95			29.94(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	2	35	6.42	60%	0.18	-21.2	0.85%	0	0.6	47	0
12	May_1_2012	28.14	29.74	29.62	29.92			29.92(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	14	37	11.68	60%	0.14	-21.1	0.85%	0	0.5	52	0
13	Apr_30_2012	28.1	29.76	29.61	29.74			29.82(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	13	20	10.06	60%	0.14	-31.9	0.85%	0	0.1	53	0
14	Apr_27_2012	28.06	29.77	29.56	29.58			30.03(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	12	-15	5	60%	0.18	-40.4	0.84%	0	0.6	50	0
15	Apr_26_2012	28.01	29.78	29.51	29.43			30.04(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-5	-10000	10	-49	9.48	60%	0.14	-46.5	0.84%	0	0.6	47	0

16	Apr_25_2012	27.97	29.79	29.5	29.3			29.81(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-16	-10000	2	-71	14.36	60%	0.14	-51.4	0.84%	0	0	46	0
17	Apr_24_2012	27.93	29.82	29.49	29.28			28.99(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-10000	-16	-106	9.63	55%	0.11	-48.1	0.78%	0	-1.8	32	0
18	Apr_23_2012	27.9	29.89	29.55	29.47			29.05(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-4	-98	15.53	55%	0.14	-36.1	0.78%	0	-2	32	0
19	Apr_20_2012	27.86	29.94	29.64	29.52			29.28(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-6	-99	11.63	57%	0.11	-36.2	0.77%	0	-1.7	40	0
20	Apr_19_2012	27.83	29.98	29.73	29.59			29.39(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-11	-95	19.23	57%	0.14	-35	0.77%	0	-1.7	40	0

21	Apr_18_2012	27.79	30.02	29.8	29.72			29.69(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-1	-80	7.11	59%	0.18	-24.3	0.75%	0	-1	42	0
22	Apr_17_2012	27.74	30.04	29.87	29.73			29.94(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	7	-75	10.27	62%	0.22	-21.4	0.76%	0	-0.3	43	0
23	Apr_16_2012	27.68	30.05	29.92	29.65			29.3(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-10000	-12	-101	20.49	57%	0.18	-15.5	0.72%	0	-2.4	32	0
24	Apr_13_2012	27.63	30.08	30.01	29.78			29.61(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-10	-78	10.53	61%	0.07	7	0.71%	0	-1.8	46	0
25	Apr_12_2012	27.61	30.11	30.08	29.89			30.08(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-14	-10000	-1	-54	9.07	67%		38.8	0.68%	0	-0.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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