Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $30.0700 (-0.1%) ($29.8400 - $30.1100) on Tue. Mar. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $30.0700(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.99(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.62(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.25(2.8%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2012	26.84	29.25	29.62	29.99			30.07(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	-10000	5	177	5.72	84%	0.19	78.7	0.66%	0	1.6	71	0
2	Mar_19_2012	26.79	29.18	29.48	29.94			30.1(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	16	144	8.93	84%	0.11	85.7	0.74%	0	1.9	67	0
3	Mar_16_2012	26.76	29.1	29.35	29.76			29.88(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	13	116	9.48	82%	0.15	86.1	0.75%	0	1.7	68	0
4	Mar_15_2012	26.72	29.03	29.26	29.62			29.99(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	-10000	17	104	12.45	82%	0.19	84.2	0.75%	0	2.2	71	0
5	Mar_14_2012	26.67	28.93	29.17	29.43			29.91(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	-10000	21	91	12.74	82%	0.15	78.6	0.75%	0	2.3	73	0

6	Mar_13_2012	26.63	28.85	29.06	29.2			29.8(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	33	-10000	22	65	19.01	82%	0.15	78.1	0.79%	0	2.6	73	0
7	Mar_12_2012	26.59	28.76	28.98	28.95			29.22(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	7	34	5.93	78%	0.15	75.7	0.77%	0	1.4	63	0
8	Mar_9_2012	26.55	28.71	28.95	28.87			29.18(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	2	29	6.37	78%	0.15	70.3	0.79%	0	1.4	65	0
9	Mar_8_2012	26.51	28.66	28.91	28.85			29.05(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	6	-10000	-2	31	7.26	78%	0.15	83.5	0.81%	0	1.2	63	0
10	Mar_7_2012	26.47	28.61	28.87	28.87			28.76(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-3	45	10.79	75%	0.11	89.3	0.84%	0	0.4	67	0

11	Mar_6_2012	26.44	28.56	28.85	28.91			28.55(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-8	56	14.04	75%	0.11	92.7	0.83%	0	-0	59	0
12	Mar_5_2012	26.41	28.52	28.87	29.01			28.83(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-1	87	7.25	87%	0.11	102.7	0.82%	0	0.7	68	0
13	Mar_2_2012	26.38	28.47	28.84	29.02			29.08(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	4	103	8.79	100%	0.15	105.7	0.82%	0	1.4	78	0
14	Mar_1_2012	26.34	28.39	28.78	28.97			29.12(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	9	107	13.98	100%	0.15	101.8	0.82%	0	1.5	70	0
15	Feb_29_2012	26.3	28.3	28.69	28.87			28.95(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	6	86	10.46	100%	0.15	94.9	0.93%	0	1.3	73	0

16	Feb_28_2012	26.26	28.2	28.62	28.79			29.08(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	7	88	10.11	100%	0.15	86.4	0.93%	0	1.6	79	0
17	Feb_27_2012	26.22	28.1	28.53	28.7			28.87(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	5	81	8.53	100%	0.19	80.4	1.01%	0	1.4	78	0
18	Feb_24_2012	26.17	28	28.44	28.63			28.82(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	-10000	4	80	5.5	100%	0.15	75.8	1.01%	0	1.4	77	0
19	Feb_23_2012	26.13	27.91	28.38	28.57			28.65(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	7	92	5.51	84%	0.19	73.5	1.02%	0	1.3	80	0
20	Feb_22_2012	26.08	27.83	28.32	28.47			28.54(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	4	89	8.1	84%	0.19	73.1	1.07%	0	1.2	80	0

21	Feb_21_2012	26.03	27.75	28.24	28.41			28.64(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	6	99	9.72	75%	0.35	76.1	1.07%	0	1.5	86	0
22	Feb_17_2012	25.94	27.66	28.15	28.32			28.52(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	30	-10000	6	103	9.28	68%	0.15	79.3	1.1%	0	1.5	85	0
23	Feb_16_2012	25.9	27.57	28.07	28.23			28.52(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	4	106	10.05	68%	0.15	81.4	1.13%	0	1.6	86	0
24	Feb_15_2012	25.86	27.48	27.96	28.17			28.11(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	2	109	12.21	65%	0.15	87.7	1.14%	0	1.1	84	0
25	Feb_14_2012	25.82	27.41	27.88	28.14			28.26(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	6	114	6.54	65%		87.4	1.15%	0	1.4	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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