Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 15, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $28.1100 (-0.53%) ($28.0600 - $28.5800) on Wed. Feb. 15, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $28.1100(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.17(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.96(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.48(2.29%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2012	25.86	27.48	27.96	28.17			28.11(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	2	109	12.21	65%	0.15	87.7	1.14%	0	1.1	84	0
2	Feb_14_2012	25.82	27.41	27.88	28.14			28.26(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	6	114	6.54	65%	0.16	87.4	1.15%	0	1.4	80	0
3	Feb_13_2012	25.78	27.3	27.76	28.05			28.21(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	-10000	6	109	8.42	65%	0.19	88.5	1.15%	0	1.6	82	0
4	Feb_10_2012	25.73	27.2	27.64	27.95			28.03(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	4	101	6.37	68%	0.16	84.5	1.17%	0	1.4	79	0
5	Feb_9_2012	25.69	27.11	27.53	27.89			28.24(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	-10000	10	101	9.49	58%	0.16	84.1	1.17%	0	1.9	88	0

6	Feb_8_2012	25.65	27	27.39	27.72			27.97(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	8	80	11.49	58%	0.12	82.4	1.25%	0	1.8	87	0
7	Feb_7_2012	25.62	26.9	27.3	27.58			27.8(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	9	78	7.39	58%	0.12	79.6	1.25%	0	1.7	87	0
8	Feb_6_2012	25.59	26.81	27.21	27.43			27.73(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	26	-10000	9	75	6.7	58%	0.12	77.8	1.25%	0	1.7	90	0
9	Feb_3_2012	25.56	26.72	27.12	27.28			27.72(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	25	-10000	9	74	7.39	62%	0.12	77.5	1.26%	0	2	90	0
10	Feb_2_2012	25.53	26.63	27.02	27.12			27.37(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-10000	6	66	6.02	60%	0.12	81.3	1.28%	0	1.6	81	0

11	Feb_1_2012	25.5	26.55	26.96	27.02			27.3(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18	-10000	2	67	8.97	54%	0.12	80.9	1.29%	0	1.6	82	0
12	Jan_31_2012	25.47	26.48	26.89	26.98			27.03(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	-10000	2	71	8.09	54%	0.16	82.9	1.34%	0	1.2	80	0
13	Jan_30_2012	25.43	26.4	26.81	26.95			26.98(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	-10000	1	72	7.7	54%	0.12	85	1.36%	0	1.3	81	0
14	Jan_27_2012	25.4	26.33	26.72	26.93			26.9(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	1	74	8.26	58%	0.12	84.4	1.36%	0	1.2	78	0
15	Jan_26_2012	25.37	26.25	26.66	26.91			26.9(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	2	76	8.71	58%	0.12	82	1.4%	0	1.4	78	0

16	Jan_25_2012	25.34	26.19	26.58	26.88			27.08(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	5	80	17.93	58%	0.16	85.9	1.4%	0	1.8	87	0
17	Jan_24_2012	25.3	26.11	26.47	26.78			26.87(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	7	75	5.75	58%	0.04	91.7	1.42%	0	1.6	86	0
18	Jan_23_2012	25.29	26.03	26.38	26.65			26.89(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	24	-10000	8	72	29.02	58%	0.16	91.3	1.43%	0	1.9	90	0
19	Jan_20_2012	25.25	25.94	26.29	26.49			26.8(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	21	-10000	6	64	13.36	58%	0.08	89.2	1.44%	0	2.1	85	0
20	Jan_19_2012	25.23	25.86	26.2	26.37			26.77(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	22	-10000	7	65	7.43	58%	0.12	86.1	1.44%	0	2.3	86	0

21	Jan_18_2012	25.2	25.76	26.11	26.24			26.58(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	6	57	7.21	58%	0.08	67.6	1.46%	0	2.2	72	0
22	Jan_17_2012	25.18	25.68	26.03	26.13			26.2(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	3	51	5.53	58%	0.12	53	1.45%	0	1.5	68	0
23	Jan_13_2012	25.15	25.62	25.95	26.07			26.08(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	1	48	5.97	58%	0.12	33.8	1.47%	0	1.1	72	0
24	Jan_12_2012	25.12	25.57	25.9	26.05			26.23(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	16	-10000	3	55	4.87	58%	0.12	21.3	1.47%	0	1.6	81	0
25	Jan_11_2012	25.09	25.53	25.81	26			26.1(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	3	51	4.15	58%		12.7	1.47%	0	1.4	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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