Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 23, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.4700 (3.67%) ($22.7200 - $23.4900) on Tue. Aug. 23, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $23.4700(3.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.09(-39.97%)
Resistance Level   $24.25
5 Day Moving Average   $23.19(1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.58(-0.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.25(-3.22%)
To recent high   -12.3%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 4.95% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110923

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_23_2011	25.58	24.25	23.58	23.19			23.47(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-9	-79	18.57	43%	-0.08	-67.9	1.8%	0	-0.7	39	0
2	Aug_22_2011	25.6	24.41	23.63	23.37			22.64(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-19	-88	20.32	40%	-0.12	-60.2	1.74%	0	-1.4	36	0
3	Aug_19_2011	25.63	24.61	23.69	23.76			22.52(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-10000	-15	-94	37.74	40%	-0.16	-50.2	1.74%	0	-1.6	33	0
4	Aug_18_2011	25.67	24.82	23.87	24.08			23.08(-4.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-8	-87	30.95	42%	-0.12	-43.1	1.72%	0	-1.4	34	0
5	Aug_17_2011	25.7	25	24.02	24.25			24.26(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	-10000	12	-92	21.58	45%	-0.08	-38.2	1.61%	0	-0.6	38	0

6	Aug_16_2011	25.72	25.1	24.13	24.01			24.37(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	-10000	4	-124	20.23	44%	-0.04	-41.6	1.61%	0	-0.6	38	0
7	Aug_15_2011	25.73	25.2	24.2	23.94			24.55(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-24	-10000	17	-145	34.97	44%	-0.08	-41.7	1.62%	0	-0.6	35	0
8	Aug_12_2011	25.75	25.27	24.3	23.62			24.12(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-50	-10000	-2	-192	14.59	41%	-0.08	-49.9	1.61%	0	-1	33	0
9	Aug_11_2011	25.77	25.36	24.46	23.66			23.95(3.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-56	-10000	-6	-205	31.6	41%	-0.04	-53.3	1.61%	0	-1.2	31	0
10	Aug_10_2011	25.78	25.45	24.66	23.77			23.07(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-76	-10000	-26	-224	34.62	37%	-0.08	-56.9	1.53%	0	-2.2	25	0

11	Aug_9_2011	25.8	25.6	24.97	24.26			24.01(4.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-10000	-14	-193	41.8	40%	-0.08	-55	1.47%	0	-1.7	31	0
12	Aug_8_2011	25.82	25.7	25.24	24.51			22.96(-5.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-73	-10000	-33	-194	44.96	34%	-0.08	-54.1	1.34%	0	-3.1	16	0
13	Aug_5_2011	25.84	25.87	25.62	25.07			24.33(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-10000	-20	-144	32.84	39%	0	-52.5	1.16%	0	-2.4	35	0
14	Aug_4_2011	25.84	25.98	25.87	25.37			24.48(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-41	-10000	-21	-100	33.7	39%	0	-40.9	1.16%	0	-2.8	36	0
15	Aug_3_2011	25.84	26.09	26.08	25.68			25.51(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-8	-53	21.54	43%	0	-19.9	1.05%	0	-1.4	51	0

16	Aug_2_2011	25.84	26.14	26.17	25.79			25.25(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-10000	-22	-36	21.12	43%	-0.04	-1.3	1.04%	0	-2.3	44	0
17	Aug_1_2011	25.85	26.19	26.3	26.09			25.79(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10000	-13	18	12	46%	0	39.6	1.01%	0	-1.1	52	0
18	Jul_29_2011	25.85	26.19	26.31	26.26			25.81(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-10000	-13	36	11.48	46%	0	76.9	1.01%	0	-1.1	48	0
19	Jul_28_2011	25.85	26.2	26.33	26.44			26.02(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-10000	-8	51	10.7	46%	0	103.1	1.01%	0	-0.5	43	0
20	Jul_27_2011	25.85	26.18	26.31	26.54			26.06(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	8	-10000	-5	46	13.47	46%	0	104.7	1.01%	0	-0.3	42	0

21	Jul_26_2011	25.85	26.14	26.29	26.6			26.77(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	53	8.33	51%	0.04	100	0.96%	0	1.4	57	0
22	Jul_25_2011	25.84	26.05	26.19	26.54			26.65(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	13	41	5.9	51%	0	90.4	0.96%	0	1.2	57	0
23	Jul_22_2011	25.84	25.95	26.13	26.37			26.72(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	13	18	6.31	51%	0	70.9	0.96%	0	1.4	59	0
24	Jul_21_2011	25.84	25.86	26.13	26.21			26.49(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	14	13	11.22	51%	0	66.8	0.96%	0	1.1	63	0
25	Jul_20_2011	25.84	25.78	26.09	26.04			26.37(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	8	14	5.93	54%		58.5	0.97%	0	1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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