Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $25.8300 (-0.35%) ($25.6000 - $25.9300) on Mon. Jul. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $25.8300(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.81(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.05(-0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.61(0.86%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2011	25.83	25.61	26.05	25.81			25.83(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-10000	-3	32	8.38	50%	-0.04	43.4	0.95%	0	0.4	68	0
2	Jul_15_2011	25.84	25.55	26.08	25.85			25.92(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-9	70	14.24	50%	0	40.7	0.96%	0	0.6	73	0
3	Jul_14_2011	25.84	25.48	26.06	25.96			25.64(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-15	103	10.75	48%	-0.04	40.2	0.95%	0	0.2	62	0
4	Jul_13_2011	25.85	25.44	26.05	26.15			25.86(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	32	-10000	-7	149	5.58	48%	0	44.1	0.95%	0	0.6	67	0
5	Jul_12_2011	25.85	25.4	25.99	26.24			25.8(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	38	-10000	-6	170	9.43	48%	0	47.5	0.95%	0	0.6	63	0

6	Jul_11_2011	25.85	25.35	25.91	26.31			26.03(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	47	-10000	-2	194	11.69	48%	-0.04	46.8	0.95%	0	1	71	0
7	Jul_8_2011	25.86	25.28	25.77	26.33			26.47(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	-10000	13	217	11.95	51%	-0.04	44.3	0.92%	0	1.7	78	0
8	Jul_7_2011	25.87	25.21	25.62	26.17			26.6(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	68	-10000	20	212	13.01	51%	0	36	0.92%	0	2.2	77	0
9	Jul_6_2011	25.87	25.13	25.44	25.93			26.28(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	-10000	19	187	6.76	49%	-0.04	22.8	0.91%	0	2.1	74	0
10	Jul_5_2011	25.88	25.07	25.3	25.71			26.16(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	-10000	22	156	8.16	49%	-0.08	2.1	0.91%	0	2.3	62	0

11	Jul_1_2011	25.9	25.02	25.13	25.45			26.12(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	50	-10000	28	117	11.45	49%	0	-22.6	0.91%	0	2.6	65	0
12	Jun_30_2011	25.9	25.02	24.96	25.13			25.7(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	13	60	9.1	45%	-0.04	-52.6	0.88%	0	1.8	62	0
13	Jun_29_2011	25.91	24.98	24.84	24.99			25.38(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	11	25	8.28	42%	-0.08	-58.5	0.86%	0	1	52	0
14	Jun_28_2011	25.93	25	24.76	24.87			25.18(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	4	-8	8.06	42%	-0.08	-52.5	0.86%	0	0.4	50	0
15	Jun_27_2011	25.95	25.06	24.75	24.83			24.87(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	6	-18	11.98	38%	-0.08	-48.6	0.85%	0	-0.4	43	0

16	Jun_24_2011	25.97	25.12	24.74	24.77			24.54(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-10	-10000	2	-46	11.76	39%	-0.08	-49.3	0.83%	0	-1	36	0
17	Jun_23_2011	25.99	25.19	24.76	24.75			24.97(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	8	-68	12.58	43%	-0.04	-52.7	0.83%	0	-0.4	37	0
18	Jun_22_2011	26	25.23	24.77	24.67			24.8(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	4	-105	11.14	43%	-0.08	-59.6	0.83%	0	-0.7	29	0
19	Jun_21_2011	26.02	25.27	24.8	24.63			24.98(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-37	-10000	-3	-137	14.34	47%	-0.04	-64.3	0.82%	0	-0.5	31	0
20	Jun_20_2011	26.03	25.31	24.82	24.66			24.54(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-5	-167	8.73	42%	-0.04	-65.9	0.82%	0	-1.3	15	0

21	Jun_17_2011	26.04	25.39	24.9	24.71			24.45(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-50	-10000	-6	-182	19.95	45%	-0.08	-66.7	0.82%	0	-1.6	24	0
22	Jun_16_2011	26.06	25.49	25.01	24.77			24.57(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-10000	-11	-186	9.23	40%	-0.08	-68.8	0.83%	0	-1.6	28	0
23	Jun_15_2011	26.08	25.58	25.14	24.88			24.63(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-10000	-9	-158	16.56	38%	-0.08	-70.6	0.88%	0	-1.8	33	0
24	Jun_14_2011	26.1	25.65	25.27	24.98			25.1(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-3	-143	9.12	41%	-0.04	-78.5	0.87%	0	-1.1	40	0
25	Jun_13_2011	26.11	25.7	25.39	25.01			24.79(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-10000	-10	-128	11.66	38%		-83.8	0.86%	0	-1.9	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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