Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $24.5700 (-0.24%) ($24.3900 - $24.7500) on Thu. Jun. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $24.5700(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.59(-16.2%)
Resistance Level   $25.49
5 Day Moving Average   $24.77(-0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.01(-1.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.49(-3.61%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2011	26.06	25.49	25.01	24.77			24.57(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-10000	-11	-186	9.23	40%	-0.08	-68.8	0.83%	0	-1.6	28	0
2	Jun_15_2011	26.08	25.58	25.14	24.88			24.63(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-10000	-9	-158	16.56	38%	-0.08	-70.6	0.88%	0	-1.8	33	0
3	Jun_14_2011	26.1	25.65	25.27	24.98			25.1(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-3	-143	9.12	41%	-0.04	-78.5	0.87%	0	-1.1	40	0
4	Jun_13_2011	26.11	25.7	25.39	25.01			24.79(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-10000	-10	-128	11.66	38%	-0.04	-83.8	0.86%	0	-1.9	33	0
5	Jun_10_2011	26.12	25.79	25.52	25.12			24.77(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-10000	-15	-117	10.91	34%	-0.04	-81.9	0.86%	0	-2.2	28	0

6	Jun_9_2011	26.13	25.89	25.65	25.28			25.12(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-14	-103	5.33	37%	-0.04	-73.6	0.87%	0	-1.7	29	0
7	Jun_8_2011	26.14	25.96	25.72	25.44			25.1(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-14	-92	9.99	39%	-0.04	-67.5	0.87%	0	-2	30	0
8	Jun_7_2011	26.15	26.05	25.79	25.6			25.27(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-10000	-21	-80	8.81	37%	-0.04	-57.8	0.88%	0	-1.9	37	0
9	Jun_6_2011	26.16	26.12	25.85	25.84			25.35(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-13	-50	8.44	37%	0	-46.3	0.89%	0	-2	38	0
10	Jun_3_2011	26.16	26.18	25.94	25.99			25.54(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-7	-33	10.78	40%	-0.04	-43.3	0.89%	0	-1.8	34	0

11	Jun_2_2011	26.17	26.22	26.02	26.07			25.93(0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	2	-29	10.4	42%	0	-45.1	0.89%	0	-0.9	34	0
12	Jun_1_2011	26.17	26.26	26.05	26.05			25.91(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	-10000	3	-40	16.63	39%	0	-50.8	0.9%	0	-1.1	38	0
13	May_31_2011	26.17	26.29	26.07	26.01			26.46(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-7	-10000	12	-64	10.67	46%	0.04	-53.3	0.85%	0	0.5	41	0
14	May_27_2011	26.16	26.3	26.03	25.88			26.1(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-26	-10000	-1	-99	12.55	39%	0.04	-60	0.88%	0	-0.6	40	0
15	May_26_2011	26.15	26.33	26.06	25.89			25.97(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10000	-6	-101	11.22	39%	0	-52.7	0.88%	0	-1.1	41	0

16	May_25_2011	26.15	26.37	26.13	25.96			25.8(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	-9	-86	12.41	42%	0	-39.5	0.88%	0	-1.7	39	0
17	May_24_2011	26.15	26.42	26.21	26.06			25.72(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-6	-71	8.77	42%	0	-17.9	0.9%	0	-2.3	35	0
18	May_23_2011	26.15	26.47	26.32	26.13			25.8(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-4	-57	12.61	40%	0.04	3.9	0.9%	0	-2.5	34	0
19	May_20_2011	26.14	26.5	26.41	26.18			26.17(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-5	-50	13.46	39%	0.04	24.1	0.94%	0	-1.4	40	0
20	May_19_2011	26.13	26.51	26.44	26.24			26.32(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-8	-50	8.18	39%	0.04	44.6	0.94%	0	-0.9	40	0

21	May_18_2011	26.12	26.5	26.45	26.34			26.27(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-44	11.96	39%	0.04	59.8	0.95%	0	-1	38	0
22	May_17_2011	26.11	26.48	26.48	26.4			26.08(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-20	-10000	-12	-43	55.19	39%	0.04	51.3	0.94%	0	-1.3	33	0
23	May_16_2011	26.1	26.46	26.54	26.55			26.08(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-8	-20	16.97	39%	0	50	0.94%	0	-1.1	40	0
24	May_13_2011	26.1	26.44	26.6	26.65			26.46(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-1	2	10.21	41%	0.04	53.5	0.92%	0	0.1	55	0
25	May_12_2011	26.09	26.41	26.63	26.66			26.79(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	7	14	10.98	43%		47.1	0.91%	0	0.9	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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