Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $26.3200 (0.19%) ($26.1600 - $26.3800) on Thu. May. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $26.3200(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $26.51
5 Day Moving Average   $26.24(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.44(-0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.51(-0.72%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2011	26.13	26.51	26.44	26.24			26.32(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-8	-50	8.18	39%	0.04	44.6	0.94%	0	-0.9	40	0
2	May_18_2011	26.12	26.5	26.45	26.34			26.27(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-44	11.96	39%	0.04	59.8	0.95%	0	-1	38	0
3	May_17_2011	26.11	26.48	26.48	26.4			26.08(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-20	-10000	-12	-43	55.19	39%	0.04	51.3	0.94%	0	-1.3	33	0
4	May_16_2011	26.1	26.46	26.54	26.55			26.08(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-8	-20	16.97	39%	0	50	0.94%	0	-1.1	40	0
5	May_13_2011	26.1	26.44	26.6	26.65			26.46(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-1	2	10.21	41%	0.04	53.5	0.92%	0	0.1	55	0

6	May_12_2011	26.09	26.41	26.6	26.66			26.79(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	7	14	10.98	43%	0.08	47.1	0.91%	0	0.9	65	0
7	May_11_2011	26.07	26.37	26.63	26.66			26.59(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	16	11.85	43%	0.04	40.6	0.91%	0	0.5	67	0
8	May_10_2011	26.06	26.32	26.64	26.58			26.83(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	13	-10000	3	43	13.6	43%	0.08	36.8	0.91%	0	1.2	84	0
9	May_9_2011	26.04	26.28	26.62	26.54			26.59(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-1	63	3.98	43%	0.08	34.1	0.9%	0	0.7	83	0
10	May_6_2011	26.02	26.24	26.6	26.55			26.48(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-5	80	10.7	43%	0.04	35	0.89%	0	0.6	71	0

11	May_5_2011	26.01	26.22	26.59	26.61			26.43(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-5	101	13.44	43%	0.04	39.4	0.9%	0	0.5	69	0
12	May_4_2011	26	26.2	26.56	26.67			26.57(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-3	121	10.96	43%	0.08	43.8	0.9%	0	0.9	71	0
13	May_3_2011	25.98	26.17	26.47	26.71			26.65(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	33	-10000	1	127	8.16	43%	0.04	46.5	0.91%	0	1.2	76	0
14	May_2_2011	25.97	26.13	26.37	26.7			26.64(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	5	121	6.71	43%	0.08	48.4	0.91%	0	1.3	67	0
15	Apr_29_2011	25.95	26.1	26.28	26.64			26.74(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	7	112	7.5	47%	0.08	48.6	0.92%	0	1.7	68	0

16	Apr_28_2011	25.93	26.06	26.18	26.56			26.76(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	10	98	8.5	43%	0.04	50.7	0.92%	0	2	63	0
17	Apr_27_2011	25.92	26.02	26.09	26.44			26.75(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	19	76	8.03	43%	0.08	56.3	0.97%	0	2.4	63	0
18	Apr_26_2011	25.9	25.98	25.97	26.2			26.59(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	-10000	17	41	7.19	43%	0.08	54	0.97%	0	2.3	64	0
19	Apr_25_2011	25.88	25.94	25.9	25.99			26.37(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10	-10000	10	9	6.26	43%	0.12	47.1	0.97%	0	2	60	0
20	Apr_21_2011	25.85	25.91	25.85	25.86			26.35(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.6	4	-10000	9	-10	10.25	46%	0.08	60.3	0.98%	0	2.3	56	0

21	Apr_20_2011	25.83	25.88	25.81	25.75			26.12(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-3	-10000	5	-26	9.28	46%	0.08	65.8	0.97%	0	1.3	50	0
22	Apr_19_2011	25.81	25.85	25.8	25.69			25.58(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-2	-40	9.97	40%	0.04	65.9	0.94%	0	-1.2	31	0
23	Apr_18_2011	25.8	25.84	25.83	25.71			25.51(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-7	-42	8.84	40%	0.08	62.4	0.94%	0	-1.4	34	0
24	Apr_15_2011	25.78	25.83	25.88	25.79			25.74(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-29	10.21	40%	0	52.6	0.94%	0	-0.3	49	0
25	Apr_14_2011	25.78	25.8	25.9	25.83			25.79(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-4	-21	5.51	42%		36.8	0.94%	0	-0	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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