Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $26.2000 (0.11%) ($25.9800 - $26.2300) on Tue. Jan. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $26.2000(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $26(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.88(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.58(2.42%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2011	24.11	25.58	25.88	26			26.2(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	-10000	9	114	8.63	57%	0.37	67.7	0.76%	0	1.8	82	0
2	Jan_14_2011	24.02	25.52	25.81	25.91			26.17(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	32	-10000	8	105	7.85	60%	0.21	61.2	0.78%	0	2	79	0
3	Jan_13_2011	23.97	25.46	25.71	25.83			25.94(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	1	91	13.04	59%	0.21	61	0.77%	0	1.6	77	0
4	Jan_12_2011	23.92	25.42	25.64	25.82			25.96(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	5	91	13.58	59%	0.21	63.2	0.78%	0	1.9	78	0
5	Jan_11_2011	23.87	25.38	25.57	25.77			25.73(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	3	86	8.39	57%	0.21	71.6	0.77%	0	1.3	71	0

6	Jan_10_2011	23.82	25.35	25.52	25.74			25.77(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10000	6	87	10.33	57%	0.17	76.8	0.77%	0	1.7	78	0
7	Jan_7_2011	23.78	25.32	25.47	25.68			25.75(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	12	86	8.92	57%	0.21	84.6	0.77%	0	1.9	78	0
8	Jan_6_2011	23.73	25.28	25.41	25.56			25.87(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	28	-10000	13	71	11.04	57%	0.17	86.7	0.77%	0	2.8	81	0
9	Jan_5_2011	23.69	25.24	25.35	25.43			25.72(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	19	-10000	8	52	11.84	61%	0.17	103	0.77%	0	2.8	80	0
10	Jan_4_2011	23.65	25.2	25.29	25.35			25.57(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	7	38	9.19	61%	0.21	126.7	0.8%	0	2.5	67	0

11	Jan_3_2011	23.6	25.16	25.25	25.28			25.47(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	4	25	7.43	61%	0.17	142.9	0.81%	0	2.2	66	0
12	Dec_31_2010	23.56	25.12	25.21	25.28			25.19(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	0	14	6.35	59%	0.17	151.8	0.81%	0	0.5	50	0
13	Dec_30_2010	23.52	25.1	25.2	25.28			25.22(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	0	16	5.05	59%	0.17	142.2	0.81%	0	0.7	60	0
14	Dec_29_2010	23.48	25.07	25.19	25.24			25.28(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	1	18	3.73	59%	0.13	117.9	0.81%	0	1	65	0
15	Dec_28_2010	23.45	25.01	25.18	25.23			25.23(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	2	27	2.91	59%	0.13	73.4	0.81%	0	0.7	73	0

16	Dec_27_2010	23.42	24.96	25.17	25.21			25.26(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	11	-10000	4	33	2.99	59%	0.17	62.1	0.81%	0	0.9	76	0
17	Dec_23_2010	23.38	24.91	25.16	25.17			25.21(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	2	36	3.23	62%	0.13	57.7	0.84%	0	0.8	74	0
18	Dec_22_2010	23.35	24.88	25.14	25.15			25.22(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	2	42	5.41	62%	0.13	65.1	0.84%	0	0.9	77	0
19	Dec_21_2010	23.32	24.82	25.13	25.13			25.25(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	15	-10000	2	54	5.56	62%	0.09	63.7	0.84%	0	1.1	85	0
20	Dec_20_2010	23.3	24.78	25.09	25.11			25.1(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	18	-10000	-1	75	4.77	64%	0.17	65.6	0.84%	0	0.8	90	0

21	Dec_17_2010	23.26	24.74	25.06	25.12			25.08(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10000	-2	92	5.98	64%	0.13	65.8	0.85%	0	0.9	76	0
22	Dec_16_2010	23.23	24.7	25.04	25.14			25.12(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	1	112	5.94	64%	0.13	61.7	0.85%	0	1.1	70	0
23	Dec_15_2010	23.2	24.64	25	25.14			25.08(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	0	119	4.6	64%	0.09	45.3	0.85%	0	1	64	0
24	Dec_14_2010	23.18	24.58	24.94	25.13			25.18(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	7	134	6.29	64%	0.13	30.7	0.85%	0	1.4	73	0
25	Dec_13_2010	23.15	24.53	24.83	25.06			25.14(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	7	113	6.9	67%		18.7	0.85%	0	1.5	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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