Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 3, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $25.4700 (1.11%) ($25.3800 - $25.6100) on Mon. Jan. 3, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $25.4700(1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.28(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.25(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.16(1.23%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.56% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2011	23.6	25.16	25.25	25.28			25.47(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	4	25	7.43	61%	0.17	142.9	0.81%	0	2.2	66	0
2	Dec_31_2010	23.56	25.12	25.21	25.28			25.19(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	0	14	6.35	59%	0.17	151.8	0.81%	0	0.5	50	0
3	Dec_30_2010	23.52	25.1	25.2	25.28			25.22(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	0	16	5.05	59%	0.17	142.2	0.81%	0	0.7	60	0
4	Dec_29_2010	23.48	25.07	25.19	25.24			25.28(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	1	18	3.73	59%	0.13	117.9	0.81%	0	1	65	0
5	Dec_28_2010	23.45	25.01	25.18	25.23			25.23(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	2	27	2.91	59%	0.13	73.4	0.81%	0	0.7	73	0

6	Dec_27_2010	23.42	24.96	25.17	25.21			25.26(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	11	-10000	4	33	2.99	59%	0.17	62.1	0.81%	0	0.9	76	0
7	Dec_23_2010	23.38	24.91	25.16	25.17			25.21(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	2	36	3.23	62%	0.13	57.7	0.84%	0	0.8	74	0
8	Dec_22_2010	23.35	24.88	25.14	25.15			25.22(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	2	42	5.41	62%	0.13	65.1	0.84%	0	0.9	77	0
9	Dec_21_2010	23.32	24.82	25.13	25.13			25.25(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	15	-10000	2	54	5.56	62%	0.09	63.7	0.84%	0	1.1	85	0
10	Dec_20_2010	23.3	24.78	25.09	25.11			25.1(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	18	-10000	-1	75	4.77	64%	0.17	65.6	0.84%	0	0.8	90	0

11	Dec_17_2010	23.26	24.74	25.06	25.12			25.08(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10000	-2	92	5.98	64%	0.13	65.8	0.85%	0	0.9	76	0
12	Dec_16_2010	23.23	24.7	25.04	25.14			25.12(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	1	112	5.94	64%	0.13	61.7	0.85%	0	1.1	70	0
13	Dec_15_2010	23.2	24.64	25	25.14			25.08(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	0	119	4.6	64%	0.09	45.3	0.85%	0	1	64	0
14	Dec_14_2010	23.18	24.58	24.94	25.13			25.18(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	7	134	6.29	64%	0.13	30.7	0.85%	0	1.4	73	0
15	Dec_13_2010	23.15	24.53	24.83	25.06			25.14(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	7	113	6.9	67%	0.13	18.7	0.85%	0	1.5	62	0

16	Dec_10_2010	23.12	24.49	24.73	24.99			25.19(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	6	99	5.82	67%	0.13	6.9	0.87%	0	1.8	65	0
17	Dec_9_2010	23.09	24.46	24.65	24.92			25.07(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	6	92	6.23	67%	0.17	-4.1	0.87%	0	1.7	65	0
18	Dec_8_2010	23.05	24.45	24.59	24.85			25.05(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	11	103	9.01	67%	0.13	-4.8	0.87%	0	1.7	70	0
19	Dec_7_2010	23.02	24.44	24.49	24.73			24.84(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	16	95	9.91	67%	0.17	-8.8	0.87%	0	1.1	68	0
20	Dec_6_2010	22.98	24.45	24.45	24.56			24.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	27	-10000	12	70	6.44	67%	0.13	-12.9	0.88%	0	0.9	57	0

21	Dec_3_2010	22.95	24.46	24.39	24.43			24.81(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	8	50	9.18	68%	0.13	-12.2	0.89%	0	0.9	56	0
22	Dec_2_2010	22.92	24.46	24.33	24.34			24.75(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	5	23	9.63	68%	0.13	-9.3	0.9%	0	0.7	49	0
23	Dec_1_2010	22.89	24.46	24.24	24.29			24.46(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	7	-14	10.73	70%	0.13	-8.1	0.9%	0	-0	40	0
24	Nov_30_2010	22.86	24.47	24.18	24.21			23.95(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-9	-62	10.69	68%	0.09	-9.3	0.91%	0	-1.2	32	0
25	Nov_29_2010	22.84	24.5	24.21	24.31			24.19(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-3	-65	7.17	70%		-0.6	0.92%	0	-0.8	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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