Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $24.3700 (0.08%) ($24.2700 - $24.6200) on Mon. Nov. 1, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $24.3700(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    REMX(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.32(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.19(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.89(2.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2010	22.25	23.89	24.19	24.32			24.37(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	-10000	3	64	8.47	78%	0.14	70.5	0.95%	0	1	76	0
2	Oct_29_2010	22.22	23.81	24.17	24.28			24.35(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-10000	4	81	8.34	78%	0.09	65	0.95%	0	1.1	77	0
3	Oct_28_2010	22.2	23.75	24.14	24.23			24.31(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	27	-10000	4	94	8.55	78%	0.18	60.4	0.96%	0	1.2	78	0
4	Oct_27_2010	22.16	23.68	24.08	24.18			24.31(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	-10000	5	100	11.84	78%	0.14	62.6	0.97%	0	1.3	79	0
5	Oct_26_2010	22.13	23.62	24.02	24.12			24.24(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	8	107	10.32	78%	0.14	64.6	0.97%	0	1.3	79	0

6	Oct_25_2010	22.1	23.57	23.95	24.03			24.18(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	23	-10000	-2	98	9.5	78%	0.14	66.3	0.97%	0	1.4	73	0
7	Oct_22_2010	22.07	23.51	23.87	24.05			24.11(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-10000	1	116	5.76	81%	0.09	74.3	0.97%	0	1.4	78	0
8	Oct_21_2010	22.05	23.46	23.79	24.04			24.04(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	6	121	27.65	81%	0.09	79.8	1.02%	0	1.3	71	0
9	Oct_20_2010	22.03	23.4	23.71	23.97			24.02(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	5	117	23.63	81%	0.14	77.7	1.03%	0	1.4	71	0
10	Oct_19_2010	22	23.33	23.62	23.91			23.82(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	6	112	25.2	81%	0.05	81.3	1.03%	0	1.2	65	0

11	Oct_18_2010	21.99	23.28	23.57	23.84			24.25(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	-10000	15	114	10.75	88%	0.14	84.7	1.01%	0	2.4	75	0
12	Oct_15_2010	21.96	23.21	23.43	23.66			24.09(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	-10000	13	78	21.35	77%	0.09	92.3	1.07%	0	2.4	74	0
13	Oct_14_2010	21.94	23.13	23.32	23.5			23.69(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	8	55	5.51	75%	0.14	99.3	1.06%	0	1.7	68	0
14	Oct_13_2010	21.91	23.07	23.25	23.4			23.68(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	19	-10000	8	50	15.48	75%	0.14	102.1	1.06%	0	1.8	76	0
15	Oct_12_2010	21.88	23	23.19	23.3			23.49(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	3	43	11.01	75%	0.09	101.4	1.07%	0	1.4	73	0

16	Oct_11_2010	21.86	22.94	23.15	23.26			23.35(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	8	49	6.04	75%	0.09	101.9	1.07%	0	1.1	65	0
17	Oct_8_2010	21.84	22.88	23.13	23.16			23.31(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	5	40	6.67	75%	0.09	85.9	1.07%	0	1	63	0
18	Oct_7_2010	21.82	22.8	23.11	23.1			23.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	2	46	4.95	79%	0.05	79.2	1.07%	0	0.8	69	0
19	Oct_6_2010	21.81	22.73	23.06	23.07			23.18(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	1	43	7.17	79%	0.05	76.4	1.13%	0	0.9	69	0
20	Oct_5_2010	21.8	22.66	23.02	23.06			23.29(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	2	51	7.71	79%	0.05	79.4	1.13%	0	1.2	75	0

21	Oct_4_2010	21.79	22.58	23.02	23.03			22.84(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-5	59	8.49	77%	0	87.2	1.12%	0	0.5	72	0
22	Oct_1_2010	21.79	22.52	22.97	23.09			23.03(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-2	86	12.17	77%	0	94.3	1.11%	0	0.9	81	0
23	Sep_30_2010	21.79	22.44	22.92	23.11			23.02(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	5	110	13.14	77%	0	96.5	1.12%	0	1	85	0
24	Sep_29_2010	21.79	22.36	22.87	23.04			23.11(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	6	118	6.13	66%	0.05	89.5	1.14%	0	1.2	89	0
25	Sep_28_2010	21.78	22.24	22.8	22.96			23.16(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	5	116	14.72	66%		76.8	1.23%	0	1.3	91	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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