Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 7, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.1800 (0%) ($23.0200 - $23.2800) on Thu. Oct. 7, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $23.1800(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.1(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.11(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.8(1.67%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2010	21.82	22.8	23.11	23.1			23.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	2	46	4.95	79%	0.05	79.2	1.07%	0	0.8	69	0
2	Oct_6_2010	21.81	22.73	23.06	23.07			23.18(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	1	43	7.17	79%	0.05	76.4	1.13%	0	0.9	69	0
3	Oct_5_2010	21.8	22.66	23.02	23.06			23.29(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	2	51	7.71	79%	0.05	79.4	1.13%	0	1.2	75	0
4	Oct_4_2010	21.79	22.58	23.02	23.03			22.84(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-5	59	8.49	77%	0	87.2	1.12%	0	0.5	72	0
5	Oct_1_2010	21.79	22.52	22.97	23.09			23.03(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-2	86	12.17	77%	0	94.3	1.11%	0	0.9	81	0

6	Sep_30_2010	21.79	22.44	22.92	23.11			23.02(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	5	110	13.14	77%	0	96.5	1.12%	0	1	85	0
7	Sep_29_2010	21.79	22.36	22.87	23.04			23.11(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	6	118	6.13	66%	0.05	89.5	1.14%	0	1.2	89	0
8	Sep_28_2010	21.78	22.24	22.8	22.96			23.16(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	5	116	14.72	66%	0	76.8	1.23%	0	1.3	91	0
9	Sep_27_2010	21.78	22.12	22.71	22.89			23.13(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	4	124	15.32	66%	0.05	69.2	1.23%	0	1.4	92	0
10	Sep_24_2010	21.77	22.02	22.61	22.84			23.12(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	9	130	8.17	61%	0.05	66.5	1.23%	0	1.5	82	0

11	Sep_23_2010	21.76	21.9	22.47	22.72			22.68(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	3	122	9.93	58%	0	59.1	1.24%	0	1.1	83	0
12	Sep_22_2010	21.76	21.82	22.38	22.68			22.71(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-10000	5	132	8.41	58%	0	53.9	1.24%	0	1.3	85	0
13	Sep_21_2010	21.76	21.72	22.28	22.61			22.82(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	9	148	18.63	58%	-0.05	47.8	1.24%	0	1.6	92	0
14	Sep_20_2010	21.77	21.64	22.15	22.49			22.86(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	10	153	9.55	58%	-0.05	45.6	1.25%	0	1.9	90	0
15	Sep_17_2010	21.78	21.55	22.04	22.35			22.53(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	12	156	14.42	56%	-0.05	44.2	1.23%	0	1.7	77	0

16	Sep_16_2010	21.79	21.49	21.92	22.19			22.49(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	11	151	7.8	56%	-0.05	40.9	1.24%	0	1.9	80	0
17	Sep_15_2010	21.8	21.44	21.8	22.04			22.36(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	-10000	10	140	7.38	60%	-0.09	36.6	1.23%	0	1.9	72	0
18	Sep_14_2010	21.82	21.4	21.63	21.9			22.22(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	10	118	9.43	60%	-0.05	24.9	1.27%	0	1.9	72	0
19	Sep_13_2010	21.83	21.35	21.49	21.76			22.13(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	6	95	11.6	60%	-0.09	5.6	1.27%	0	2.1	64	0
20	Sep_10_2010	21.85	21.3	21.38	21.68			21.74(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	4	80	8.15	61%	-0.14	-13.8	1.26%	0	1.3	55	0

21	Sep_9_2010	21.88	21.28	21.28	21.62			21.73(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	7	61	6.95	61%	-0.09	-34	1.29%	0	1.4	54	0
22	Sep_8_2010	21.9	21.27	21.21	21.52			21.67(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	15	39	9.29	61%	-0.09	-54	1.29%	0	1.3	48	0
23	Sep_7_2010	21.92	21.29	21.12	21.32			21.55(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	12	1	7.84	58%	-0.18	-62.6	1.29%	0	0.7	48	0
24	Sep_3_2010	21.96	21.33	21.08	21.16			21.73(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	10	-21	10.36	52%	-0.14	-58.6	1.35%	0	0.9	55	0
25	Sep_2_2010	21.99	21.35	21.03	21.02			21.41(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	8	-37	9.31	53%		-58.6	1.35%	0	0.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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