Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 28, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.1600 (0.13%) ($22.8300 - $23.2100) on Tue. Sep. 28, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $23.1600(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.96(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.8(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.24(4.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 3.1% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2010	21.78	22.24	22.8	22.96			23.16(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	5	116	14.72	66%	0	76.8	1.23%	0	1.3	91	0
2	Sep_27_2010	21.78	22.12	22.71	22.89			23.13(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	4	124	15.32	66%	0.05	69.2	1.23%	0	1.4	92	0
3	Sep_24_2010	21.77	22.02	22.61	22.84			23.12(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	9	130	8.17	61%	0.05	66.5	1.23%	0	1.5	82	0
4	Sep_23_2010	21.76	21.9	22.47	22.72			22.68(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	3	122	9.93	58%	0	59.1	1.24%	0	1.1	83	0
5	Sep_22_2010	21.76	21.82	22.38	22.68			22.71(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-10000	5	132	8.41	58%	0	53.9	1.24%	0	1.3	85	0

6	Sep_21_2010	21.76	21.72	22.28	22.61			22.82(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	9	148	18.63	58%	-0.05	47.8	1.24%	0	1.6	92	0
7	Sep_20_2010	21.77	21.64	22.15	22.49			22.86(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	10	153	9.55	58%	-0.05	45.6	1.25%	0	1.9	90	0
8	Sep_17_2010	21.78	21.55	22.04	22.35			22.53(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	12	156	14.42	56%	-0.05	44.2	1.23%	0	1.7	77	0
9	Sep_16_2010	21.79	21.49	21.92	22.19			22.49(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	11	151	7.8	56%	-0.05	40.9	1.24%	0	1.9	80	0
10	Sep_15_2010	21.8	21.44	21.8	22.04			22.36(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	-10000	10	140	7.38	60%	-0.09	36.6	1.23%	0	1.9	72	0

11	Sep_14_2010	21.82	21.4	21.63	21.9			22.22(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	10	118	9.43	60%	-0.05	24.9	1.27%	0	1.9	72	0
12	Sep_13_2010	21.83	21.35	21.49	21.76			22.13(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	6	95	11.6	60%	-0.09	5.6	1.27%	0	2.1	64	0
13	Sep_10_2010	21.85	21.3	21.38	21.68			21.74(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	4	80	8.15	61%	-0.14	-13.8	1.26%	0	1.3	55	0
14	Sep_9_2010	21.88	21.28	21.28	21.62			21.73(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	7	61	6.95	61%	-0.09	-34	1.29%	0	1.4	54	0
15	Sep_8_2010	21.9	21.27	21.21	21.52			21.67(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	15	39	9.29	61%	-0.09	-54	1.29%	0	1.3	48	0

16	Sep_7_2010	21.92	21.29	21.12	21.32			21.55(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	12	1	7.84	58%	-0.18	-62.6	1.29%	0	0.7	48	0
17	Sep_3_2010	21.96	21.33	21.08	21.16			21.73(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	10	-21	10.36	52%	-0.14	-58.6	1.35%	0	0.9	55	0
18	Sep_2_2010	21.99	21.35	21.03	21.02			21.41(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	8	-37	9.31	53%	-0.09	-58.6	1.35%	0	0.1	52	0
19	Sep_1_2010	22.01	21.39	21.02	20.9			21.22(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	3	-54	14.8	53%	-0.14	-57.6	1.37%	0	-0.3	47	0
20	Aug_31_2010	22.04	21.45	21.05	20.86			20.69(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-2	-63	15.52	49%	-0.14	-56.7	1.34%	0	-1.3	31	0

21	Aug_30_2010	22.07	21.52	21.14	20.89			20.76(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-6	-73	7.59	49%	-0.09	-57.4	1.35%	0	-1.3	25	0
22	Aug_27_2010	22.09	21.61	21.2	20.97			21.04(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-10000	-4	-86	14.99	54%	-0.14	-55.7	1.34%	0	-1	25	0
23	Aug_26_2010	22.12	21.65	21.22	21.03			20.79(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-31	-10000	-9	-97	10.15	54%	-0.09	-57.6	1.4%	0	-1.6	24	0
24	Aug_25_2010	22.14	21.72	21.28	21.16			21(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-9	-102	11.07	54%	-0.09	-55.2	1.4%	0	-1.4	25	0
25	Aug_24_2010	22.16	21.78	21.35	21.29			20.87(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-33	-10000	-9	-103	10.59	54%		-43.1	1.4%	0	-1.9	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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