Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $22.9800 (0.26%) ($22.8700 - $23.0600) on Thu. Jan. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $22.9800(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.92(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.98(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.86(0.52%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2010	21.53	22.86	22.98	22.92			22.98(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	2	-14	7.51	61%	0.14	52	0.95%	0	0.4	56	0
2	Jan_13_2010	21.5	22.83	23	22.9			22.92(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-1	-8	10.05	61%	0.14	51.5	0.96%	0	0.3	57	0
3	Jan_12_2010	21.47	22.8	23.01	22.91			22.7(-1.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-7	-10000	-10	3	9.74	60%	0.14	51.7	0.95%	0	-0.3	57	0
4	Jan_11_2010	21.44	22.78	23.05	23.02			22.95(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-6	40	15.24	62%	0.14	59.7	0.94%	0	0.5	68	0
5	Jan_8_2010	21.41	22.75	23.06	23.08			23.04(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	2	79	11.89	62%	0.14	65	0.94%	0	0.8	75	0

6	Jan_7_2010	21.38	22.71	23.04	23.06			22.89(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-5	85	7.29	62%	0.19	65.6	0.94%	0	0.5	63	0
7	Jan_6_2010	21.34	22.67	23.03	23.11			22.98(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-1	108	10.02	65%	0.14	65.1	0.94%	0	0.8	67	0
8	Jan_5_2010	21.31	22.63	22.99	23.12			23.24(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	3	117	19.99	68%	0.19	68.5	0.94%	0	1.5	68	0
9	Jan_4_2010	21.27	22.58	22.9	23.09			23.27(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	5	118	8.45	68%	0.24	74	0.95%	0	1.7	72	0
10	Dec_31_2009	21.22	22.52	22.78	23.04			22.93(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	3	108	5.76	59%	0.19	77.4	0.93%	0	1.1	66	0

11	Dec_30_2009	21.18	22.47	22.73	23.01			23.13(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	7	104	5.68	59%	0.14	76.4	1.01%	0	1.8	73	0
12	Dec_29_2009	21.15	22.42	22.64	22.93			23.05(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	9	102	3.85	59%	0.19	77.6	1.01%	0	1.9	76	0
13	Dec_28_2009	21.11	22.35	22.58	22.83			23.08(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	13	95	9.13	61%	0.24	72.3	1.01%	0	2.2	69	0
14	Dec_24_2009	21.06	22.28	22.49	22.68			23.01(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-10000	16	76	1.67	61%	0.14	63.3	1.02%	0	2.4	66	0
15	Dec_23_2009	21.03	22.23	22.41	22.49			22.8(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	8	52	5.49	61%	0.14	54.7	1.03%	0	2.2	66	0

16	Dec_22_2009	21	22.19	22.35	22.4			22.71(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	8	42	3.8	61%	0.14	47.1	1.03%	0	2.3	65	0
17	Dec_21_2009	20.97	22.16	22.27	22.31			22.53(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	2	26	6.21	61%	0.1	41.1	1.02%	0	1.9	61	0
18	Dec_18_2009	20.95	22.12	22.24	22.29			22.33(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	33	7.31	61%	0.14	34.4	1.02%	0	1	66	0
19	Dec_17_2009	20.92	22.12	22.24	22.27			22.08(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-4	41	5.13	59%	0.1	34.1	1.01%	0	-0.1	63	0
20	Dec_16_2009	20.9	22.09	22.23	22.32			22.35(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	4	53	4.48	62%	0.14	46.2	1%	0	1.3	57	0

21	Dec_15_2009	20.87	22.09	22.2	22.28			22.28(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	5	50	5.08	62%	0.14	53.8	1.01%	0	1	56	0
22	Dec_14_2009	20.84	22.08	22.18	22.22			22.42(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	4	42	11.72	62%	0.14	58.1	1%	0	1.8	58	0
23	Dec_11_2009	20.81	22.05	22.12	22.18			22.24(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	1	36	4.1	62%	0.1	70.7	1%	0	1.1	65	0
24	Dec_10_2009	20.79	22.02	22.07	22.17			22.29(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	4	36	10.93	64%	0.14	79.1	1%	0	1.4	62	0
25	Dec_9_2009	20.76	22	22.04	22.13			22.19(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	28	7.48	64%		104.9	1.01%	0	1.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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