Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 18, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $22.1200 (-0.54%) ($21.9900 - $22.2100) on Wed. Nov. 18, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $22.1200(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.02(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.81(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.4(3.36%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.34% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2009	20.22	21.4	21.81	22.02			22.12(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	-10000	5	175	4.21	65%	0.2	41.9	1%	0	1.4	65	0
2	Nov_17_2009	20.18	21.36	21.68	21.97			22.24(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	-10000	9	172	5	60%	0.2	41.4	1.01%	0	1.9	72	0
3	Nov_16_2009	20.14	21.31	21.52	21.87			22.14(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10000	7	141	8	60%	0.2	40.6	1.06%	0	1.9	64	0
4	Nov_13_2009	20.1	21.26	21.38	21.79			21.9(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	11	122	5.44	59%	0.2	44.1	1.07%	0	1.7	59	0
5	Nov_12_2009	20.06	21.22	21.25	21.66			21.7(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	9	87	6.36	61%	0.2	39.4	1.06%	0	1.4	54	0

6	Nov_11_2009	20.02	21.2	21.2	21.56			21.86(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	19	72	5.21	59%	0.2	38.8	1.08%	0	1.9	55	0
7	Nov_10_2009	19.98	21.17	21.08	21.34			21.73(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	18	27	5.37	59%	0.2	33.1	1.1%	0	1.9	55	0
8	Nov_9_2009	19.94	21.13	21.01	21.13			21.74(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	11	-10000	18	-9	7.44	59%	0.2	18.8	1.1%	0	2.2	56	0
9	Nov_6_2009	19.9	21.09	21.01	20.92			21.25(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	11	-46	4.96	56%	0.15	10.5	1.07%	0	0.7	47	0
10	Nov_5_2009	19.87	21.08	20.94	20.8			21.22(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-16	-10000	1	-65	6.74	56%	0.15	10.5	1.08%	0	0.6	51	0

11	Nov_4_2009	19.84	21.08	20.95	20.8			20.77(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	0	-68	7.94	53%	0.15	20.2	1.05%	0	-1.2	39	0
12	Nov_3_2009	19.81	21.07	21.01	20.79			20.65(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-7	-74	15.03	55%	0.15	18.5	1.05%	0	-1.7	36	0
13	Nov_2_2009	19.78	21.08	21.07	20.87			20.73(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-8	-58	16.75	55%	0.1	25.8	1.06%	0	-1.3	44	0
14	Oct_30_2009	19.76	21.07	21.13	20.96			20.61(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-13	-40	11.34	55%	0.1	23	1.06%	0	-1.4	44	0
15	Oct_29_2009	19.74	21.06	21.19	21.11			21.17(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-4	-13	10.73	60%	0.15	28.9	1.01%	0	0.3	55	0

16	Oct_28_2009	19.71	21.01	21.21	21.15			20.77(-1.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-8	-10000	-11	2	13.06	57%	0.15	27.2	0.98%	0	-0.7	51	0
17	Oct_27_2009	19.68	21.02	21.27	21.26			21.08(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-4	38	9.36	60%	0.1	35.8	0.96%	0	0.2	64	0
18	Oct_26_2009	19.66	21.01	21.28	21.3			21.19(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-3	55	10.61	60%	0.15	38.3	0.96%	0	0.5	65	0
19	Oct_23_2009	19.63	20.99	21.26	21.33			21.33(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	4	82	16.5	63%	0.15	41.9	0.96%	0	1	78	0
20	Oct_22_2009	19.6	20.96	21.23	21.29			21.39(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	2	94	10.33	63%	0.2	35.8	0.98%	0	1.3	83	0

21	Oct_21_2009	19.56	20.92	21.18	21.27			21.29(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10000	-2	110	9.06	63%	0.15	34.2	0.98%	0	1.1	82	0
22	Oct_20_2009	19.53	20.9	21.13	21.29			21.28(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-10000	4	114	7.08	63%	0.15	36.6	0.98%	0	1.2	58	0
23	Oct_19_2009	19.5	20.88	21.09	21.25			21.35(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	6	110	9.16	63%	0.21	37.8	0.99%	0	1.5	60	0
24	Oct_16_2009	19.46	20.85	21	21.19			21.12(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	2	88	7.22	63%	0.21	36.7	0.98%	0	0.9	53	0
25	Oct_15_2009	19.42	20.84	20.91	21.17			21.32(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	9	81	5.72	68%		40.3	0.99%	0	1.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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