Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 24, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.6500 (-0.61%) ($19.3600 - $19.6800) on Fri. Jul. 24, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $19.6500(-0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.45(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.98(3.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.42(6.68%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 4.13% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2009	17.12	18.42	18.98	19.45			19.65(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	69	-10000	10	244	10.71	55%	0.35	55.2	1.37%	0	1.6	79	0
2	Jul_23_2009	17.06	18.34	18.77	19.32			19.77(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	-10000	14	229	13.41	55%	0.35	56.8	1.37%	0	2	80	0
3	Jul_22_2009	17	18.24	18.54	19.13			19.39(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	-10000	13	190	7.26	52%	0.35	54.7	1.36%	0	1.9	64	0
4	Jul_21_2009	16.94	18.15	18.33	18.96			19.28(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	-10000	22	156	15.82	52%	0.36	49.4	1.36%	0	2	64	0
5	Jul_20_2009	16.88	18.07	18.14	18.68			19.17(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	-10000	21	96	20.7	47%	0.3	35.5	1.37%	0	2.2	60	0

6	Jul_17_2009	16.83	18.01	17.99	18.42			19(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	-10000	22	51	18.45	47%	0.3	21.6	1.43%	0	2.2	61	0
7	Jul_16_2009	16.78	17.95	17.86	18.13			18.82(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	17	-10000	21	5	8.52	52%	0.24	-1.4	1.43%	0	2.3	58	0
8	Jul_15_2009	16.74	17.91	17.79	17.86			18.55(3.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	8	-10000	19	-24	8.31	50%	0.3	-28.8	1.46%	0	1.9	59	0
9	Jul_14_2009	16.69	17.87	17.74	17.62			17.88(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	9	-51	6.95	43%	0.24	-58.9	1.39%	0	0	55	0
10	Jul_13_2009	16.65	17.89	17.78	17.51			17.86(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-12	-10000	2	-54	8.24	43%	0.18	-69.6	1.4%	0	-0.1	55	0

11	Jul_10_2009	16.62	17.91	17.81	17.49			17.53(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-5	-60	10.03	40%	0.18	-67	1.38%	0	-1.2	39	0
12	Jul_9_2009	16.59	17.96	17.88	17.55			17.46(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-14	-51	14.03	45%	0.18	-57.1	1.39%	0	-1.5	42	0
13	Jul_8_2009	16.56	18	17.93	17.72			17.35(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-13	-32	8.61	45%	0.18	-40.7	1.42%	0	-2.1	38	0
14	Jul_7_2009	16.53	18.05	17.97	17.89			17.34(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-16	-10000	-16	-17	4.49	41%	0	-25.2	1.43%	0	-2.5	41	0
15	Jul_6_2009	16.53	18.1	18.01	18.09			17.78(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-6	2	5.86	44%	0.24	-4.7	1.44%	0	-1.4	42	0

16	Jul_2_2009	16.49	18.13	18.05	18.17			17.83(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-2	-10000	-5	7	9.27	48%	0.12	18.2	1.45%	0	-1.4	40	0
17	Jul_1_2009	16.47	18.15	18.07	18.24			18.29(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	5	11	11.04	56%	0.18	44	1.44%	0	0.7	45	0
18	Jun_30_2009	16.44	18.13	18.04	18.17			18.21(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10000	8	-3	7.75	52%	0.18	50	1.48%	0	0.4	46	0
19	Jun_29_2009	16.41	18.12	18.02	18.06			18.35(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	10	-22	5.33	52%	0.12	52.6	1.53%	0	1.1	50	0
20	Jun_26_2009	16.39	18.11	17.99	17.93			18.16(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-10000	1	-42	8.96	55%	0.18	55.1	1.56%	0	0.2	48	0

21	Jun_25_2009	16.36	18.09	18.01	17.92			18.19(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	3	-42	8.69	55%	0.18	62.5	1.58%	0	0.4	45	0
22	Jun_24_2009	16.33	18.05	18.03	17.88			17.93(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-1	-44	6.68	55%	0.18	51.4	1.58%	0	-0.4	45	0
23	Jun_23_2009	16.3	18.02	18.07	17.9			17.68(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-4	-35	5.78	61%	0.18	49.2	1.59%	0	-1	47	0
24	Jun_22_2009	16.27	18.01	18.13	17.96			17.67(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-6	-24	7.68	61%	0.18	56.1	1.74%	0	-1	42	0
25	Jun_19_2009	16.24	17.98	18.2	18.06			18.12(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-3	-11	11.45	64%		56.1	1.73%	0	0.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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