Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 3, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $17.9100 (-1.1%) ($17.7800 - $18.0500) on Wed. Jun. 3, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $17.9100(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.86(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.51(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.31(3.47%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   35.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2009	15.85	17.31	17.51	17.86			17.91(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	8	83	5.74	66%	0.13	28	2.03%	0	1.4	72	0
2	Jun_2_2009	15.83	17.29	17.45	17.72			18.11(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	8	76	6.87	64%	0.19	26.6	2.03%	0	2	64	0
3	Jun_1_2009	15.8	17.27	17.36	17.57			18.15(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	13	66	7.94	64%	0.19	27.3	2.06%	0	2.3	63	0
4	May_29_2009	15.77	17.23	17.22	17.33			17.65(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	9	38	5.4	62%	0.13	16.7	2.05%	0	1.3	58	0
5	May_28_2009	15.75	17.21	17.14	17.17			17.46(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	3	17	6.18	62%	0.13	9.1	2.07%	0	0.8	56	0

6	May_27_2009	15.73	17.19	17.05	17.12			17.21(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-2	-8	7.71	62%	0.06	10.6	2.08%	0	0.1	39	0
7	May_26_2009	15.72	17.18	17.03	17.15			17.38(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	2	-14	5.74	62%	0.06	17.2	2.08%	0	0.6	43	0
8	May_22_2009	15.71	17.17	17.01	17.12			16.94(0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-6	-10000	1	-26	5.43	58%	0.06	24.9	2.13%	0	-0.7	34	0
9	May_21_2009	15.7	17.17	17.02	17.1			16.88(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-8	-10000	1	-34	6.45	58%	0.13	24.4	2.15%	0	-1	41	0
10	May_20_2009	15.68	17.18	17.04	17.08			17.18(-1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	6	-37	8.7	58%	0.13	21	2.15%	0	0	49	0

11	May_19_2009	15.66	17.16	17.1	16.97			17.36(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-8	-10000	3	-41	7.12	58%	0.13	14.6	2.14%	0	0.6	53	0
12	May_18_2009	15.64	17.13	17.12	16.91			17.26(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	2	-37	4.34	58%	0.13	11	2.17%	0	0.4	55	0
13	May_15_2009	15.62	17.09	17.17	16.88			16.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-30	7.02	53%	0.13	5.2	2.2%	0	-0.8	48	0
14	May_14_2009	15.6	17.1	17.24	16.94			16.8(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-3	-20	6.75	53%	0.13	13.2	2.22%	0	-0.9	46	0
15	May_13_2009	15.58	17.1	17.29	17			16.62(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-12	-13	13.21	53%	0.06	25.5	2.23%	0	-1.3	49	0

16	May_12_2009	15.57	17.11	17.35	17.24			17.05(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-6	16	5.8	55%	0.19	47.7	2.21%	0	-0.2	59	0
17	May_11_2009	15.54	17.09	17.36	17.36			17.14(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-7	32	5.7	55%	0.06	58.1	2.21%	0	0.1	63	0
18	May_8_2009	15.53	17.07	17.35	17.5			17.09(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	11	-10000	-4	54	6.86	52%	0.13	67.1	2.24%	0	0.1	68	0
19	May_7_2009	15.51	17.05	17.36	17.57			17.11(-3.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	15	-10000	-2	65	18.33	52%	0.13	74.5	2.25%	0	0.1	54	0
20	May_6_2009	15.49	17.02	17.34	17.6			17.79(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	71	7.25	57%	0.13	74.7	2.21%	0	1.8	65	0

21	May_5_2009	15.47	16.93	17.24	17.48			17.69(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	7	66	4.54	57%	0.13	72.8	2.25%	0	1.8	71	0
22	May_4_2009	15.45	16.87	17.14	17.35			17.8(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	8	58	4.55	57%	0.19	83.1	2.25%	0	2.3	72	0
23	May_1_2009	15.42	16.81	17	17.19			17.48(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	4	39	3.51	57%	0.13	101	2.23%	0	2	63	0
24	Apr_30_2009	15.4	16.76	16.94	17.12			17.25(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	4	36	12.71	57%	0.13	109.5	2.24%	0	1.6	60	0
25	Apr_29_2009	15.38	16.7	16.91	17.04			17.2(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	5	40	5.52	57%		104.3	2.28%	0	1.6	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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