Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $17.2500 (0.29%) ($17.1900 - $17.6700) on Thu. Apr. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $17.2500(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.12(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.94(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.76(2.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2009	15.4	16.76	16.94	17.12			17.25(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	4	36	12.71	57%	0.13	109.5	2.24%	0	1.6	60	0
2	Apr_29_2009	15.38	16.7	16.91	17.04			17.2(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	5	40	5.52	57%	0.13	104.3	2.28%	0	1.6	67	0
3	Apr_28_2009	15.36	16.63	16.84	16.95			17.01(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	38	7.08	57%	0.07	81.5	2.31%	0	1	68	0
4	Apr_27_2009	15.35	16.55	16.8	16.89			17.02(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	6	34	4.37	57%	0.13	57.7	2.33%	0	1	57	0
5	Apr_24_2009	15.33	16.49	16.77	16.77			17.1(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	2	23	5.2	57%	0.2	57.3	2.32%	0	1.3	55	0

6	Apr_23_2009	15.3	16.44	16.72	16.74			16.86(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	4	-10000	-2	23	6.82	57%	0.13	67.2	2.33%	0	1	56	0
7	Apr_22_2009	15.28	16.38	16.67	16.77			16.78(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	3	32	9.12	57%	0.13	72.7	2.34%	0	0.9	61	0
8	Apr_21_2009	15.26	16.33	16.61	16.71			16.7(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	2	34	7.31	60%	0.2	74.5	2.36%	0	0.8	66	0
9	Apr_20_2009	15.23	16.29	16.59	16.68			16.42(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-3	46	5.38	57%	0.07	87.2	2.42%	0	0.3	67	0
10	Apr_17_2009	15.22	16.23	16.62	16.75			16.96(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	2	66	8.98	59%	0.13	82.9	2.44%	0	1.4	64	0

11	Apr_16_2009	15.2	16.15	16.57	16.7			16.99(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	6	69	14.78	59%	0.13	87.2	2.46%	0	1.6	59	0
12	Apr_15_2009	15.18	16.06	16.48	16.57			16.5(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	5	64	5.67	57%	0.07	91.7	2.44%	0	0.8	60	0
13	Apr_14_2009	15.17	15.99	16.4	16.57			16.55(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	0	55	5.43	57%	0.2	94.4	2.44%	0	1	61	0
14	Apr_13_2009	15.14	15.9	16.28	16.57			16.73(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	12	-10000	0	48	5.78	57%	0.33	95.1	2.47%	0	1.4	59	0
15	Apr_9_2009	15.09	15.8	16.19	16.48			16.73(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	2	61	15.11	57%	0.2	98.1	2.46%	0	1.4	67	0

16	Apr_8_2009	15.06	15.7	16.13	16.43			16.32(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	3	70	5.34	56%	0.07	102.1	2.46%	0	0.9	60	0
17	Apr_7_2009	15.05	15.6	16.07	16.37			16.08(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	4	74	6.28	56%	0.13	93.5	2.45%	0	0.6	59	0
18	Apr_6_2009	15.03	15.5	16.03	16.28			16.54(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	12	79	15.33	58%	0.13	79	2.46%	0	1.2	66	0
19	Apr_3_2009	15.01	15.34	15.97	16.04			16.71(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	9	78	15.09	58%	0.07	66.1	2.46%	0	1.5	72	0
20	Apr_2_2009	15	15.19	15.8	15.86			16.48(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	3	66	7.32	58%	0.13	59	2.47%	0	1.4	69	0

21	Apr_1_2009	14.98	15.04	15.68	15.8			16.06(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	3	72	6.06	56%	0.07	56.1	2.49%	0	1.2	67	0
22	Mar_31_2009	14.97	14.94	15.61	15.74			15.62(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	-0	82	5.04	55%	0	52.1	2.49%	0	0.8	68	0
23	Mar_30_2009	14.97	14.84	15.56	15.75			15.33(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-10000	-6	100	6.39	55%	-0.07	49.2	2.48%	0	0.6	69	0
24	Mar_27_2009	14.98	14.77	15.5	15.87			15.82(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	8	143	6.29	57%	0.07	54	2.44%	0	1.2	81	0
25	Mar_26_2009	14.97	14.68	15.39	15.71			16.17(2.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	8	149	8.39	57%		48.6	2.44%	0	1.8	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.