Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 28, 2008

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $22.9400 (0.44%) ($22.5700 - $22.9900) on Mon. Jan. 28, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $22.9400(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(90%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.25(-37.88%)
Resistance Level   $24.3
5 Day Moving Average   $22.9(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.35(-1.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.3(-5.6%)
To recent high   -19.2%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 4.81% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2008	26.34	24.3	23.35	22.9			22.94(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-10000	-2	-134	2.89	28%	-0.11	-85.2	1.53%	0	-1.2	30	0
2	Jan_25_2008	26.37	24.5	23.48	22.94			22.84(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-7	-147	3.91	30%	-0.15	-76.8	1.54%	0	-1.3	28	0
3	Jan_24_2008	26.41	24.72	23.66	23.07			23.2(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	-10000	-6	-158	4.14	30%	-0.11	-68	1.53%	0	-1.1	24	0
4	Jan_23_2008	26.44	24.91	23.8	23.17			22.87(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-10000	-16	-178	8.36	30%	-0.11	-60.1	1.52%	0	-1.4	20	0
5	Jan_22_2008	26.47	25.12	23.94	23.45			22.67(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-65	-10000	-23	-192	8.98	30%	-0.15	-56.9	1.53%	0	-1.8	16	0

6	Jan_18_2008	26.51	25.34	24.18	23.87			23.1(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-55	-10000	-13	-180	4.56	30%	-0.11	-50.1	1.53%	0	-1.7	16	0
7	Jan_17_2008	26.54	25.51	24.38	24.11			23.51(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-56	-10000	-12	-189	5.62	31%	-0.08	-50.6	1.52%	0	-1.6	17	0
8	Jan_16_2008	26.56	25.66	24.64	24.33			23.72(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-55	-10000	-10	-188	6.69	31%	-0.04	-51.3	1.52%	0	-1.6	16	0
9	Jan_15_2008	26.57	25.79	24.88	24.33			24.25(-2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-47	-10000	0	-188	3.66	32%	-0.08	-54.8	1.5%	0	-1.4	21	0
10	Jan_14_2008	26.59	25.92	25.11	24.51			24.77(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-10000	-2	-199	4.14	33%	-0.04	-59.1	1.48%	0	-1.1	26	0

11	Jan_11_2008	26.6	26.03	25.31	24.54			24.28(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-58	-10000	-9	-204	3.28	30%	-0.04	-59.9	1.46%	0	-1.7	23	0
12	Jan_10_2008	26.61	26.18	25.58	24.71			24.64(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	-10000	-17	-187	6.52	31%	-0.04	-58.1	1.46%	0	-1.6	32	0
13	Jan_9_2008	26.62	26.28	25.84	25.02			24.6(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-10000	-16	-149	5.32	31%	0	-50	1.46%	0	-1.9	35	0
14	Jan_8_2008	26.62	26.41	26.11	25.32			24.26(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-49	-10000	-26	-117	5.3	31%	-0.04	-41.3	1.45%	0	-2.7	30	0
15	Jan_7_2008	26.63	26.55	26.4	25.8			24.92(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-34	-10000	-21	-73	5.6	33%	0	-27.8	1.42%	0	-2.6	30	0

16	Jan_4_2008	26.63	26.66	26.6	26.19			25.14(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-25	-10000	-20	-41	3.89	34%	0.04	-9.6	1.42%	0	-3	30	0
17	Jan_3_2008	26.62	26.66	26.75	26.56			26.16(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-13	-16	2.01	36%	0.04	19.8	1.34%	0	-1.7	37	0
18	Jan_2_2008	26.61	26.74	26.77	26.8			26.12(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-9	-10000	-12	1	7.46	36%	0.08	48.8	1.35%	0	-1.9	45	0
19	Dec_31_2007	26.59	26.75	26.8	27.02			26.66(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-4	13	1.79	39%	0.08	73.3	1.32%	0	-0.3	45	0
20	Dec_28_2007	26.57	26.73	26.8	27.09			26.86(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	6	-10000	1	20	1.06	39%	0.04	81.7	1.33%	0	0.3	49	0

21	Dec_27_2007	26.56	26.71	26.81	27.08			26.99(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	6	23	1.68	39%	0.04	92.3	1.33%	0	0.7	52	0
22	Dec_26_2007	26.55	26.67	26.82	26.97			27.37(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	13	22	2.4	41%	0.08	85.6	1.31%	0	1.8	61	0
23	Dec_24_2007	26.53	26.58	26.74	26.74			27.22(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	11	9	0.84	41%	0.08	52.1	1.31%	0	1.3	67	0
24	Dec_21_2007	26.51	26.48	26.71	26.55			27.02(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3	-10000	3	2	3.05	41%	0.04	31.7	1.31%	0	1.1	64	0
25	Dec_20_2007	26.5	26.42	26.69	26.5			26.8(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	1	-10000	-1	6	1.93	41%		28.1	1.31%	0	0.8	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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