Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 6, 2007

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $28.2600 (0.53%) ($27.8900 - $28.3700) on Tue. Nov. 6, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $28.2600(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(90%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.2(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.01(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.79(1.69%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2007	26.43	27.79	28.01	28.2			28.26(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	3	73	3.38	53%	0.11	68.1	1.03%	0	1.4	58	0
2	Nov_5_2007	26.4	27.76	27.95	28.16			28.11(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	1	71	4.71	53%	0.08	72.2	1.05%	0	1.1	59	0
3	Nov_2_2007	26.38	27.72	27.87	28.15			28.15(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	3	66	5.33	51%	0.08	75.9	1.08%	0	1.4	60	0
4	Nov_1_2007	26.36	27.69	27.77	28.1			28.09(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	7	53	7.2	52%	0.11	76.7	1.08%	0	1.3	55	0
5	Oct_31_2007	26.33	27.64	27.74	28			28.4(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	14	53	3.88	53%	0.15	67.2	1.07%	0	2.3	64	0

6	Oct_30_2007	26.29	27.57	27.67	27.79			28.07(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	6	26	2.73	52%	0.08	56.9	1.07%	0	1.8	54	0
7	Oct_29_2007	26.27	27.53	27.61	27.7			28.02(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	10	15	2.51	52%	0.11	60.6	1.07%	0	1.9	55	0
8	Oct_26_2007	26.24	27.49	27.55	27.56			27.94(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	8	-10000	10	1	2.62	48%	0.11	55.8	1.11%	0	1.7	57	0
9	Oct_25_2007	26.21	27.44	27.52	27.4			27.57(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-10000	-3	-16	3.14	46%	0.08	48.3	1.11%	0	0.5	54	0
10	Oct_24_2007	26.19	27.42	27.51	27.45			27.34(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-5	-6	5.61	45%	0.08	61.5	1.11%	0	-0.3	56	0

11	Oct_23_2007	26.17	27.41	27.51	27.53			27.62(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	1	17	6.43	45%	0.08	75.8	1.11%	0	0.8	62	0
12	Oct_22_2007	26.15	27.37	27.55	27.51			27.32(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-2	19	3.36	45%	0.04	73.5	1.1%	0	-0.2	50	0
13	Oct_19_2007	26.14	27.34	27.57	27.54			27.15(-2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	0	-10000	-8	25	3.05	46%	0.08	83.5	1.1%	0	-0.6	50	0
14	Oct_18_2007	26.12	27.33	27.6	27.66			27.81(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	53	2.4	48%	0.08	94.8	1.06%	0	1.3	67	0
15	Oct_17_2007	26.1	27.27	27.53	27.66			27.74(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	0	45	6.58	48%	0.12	95	1.06%	0	1.2	64	0

16	Oct_16_2007	26.07	27.2	27.47	27.58			27.51(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-2	44	5.6	48%	0.04	96.6	1.06%	0	0.8	60	0
17	Oct_15_2007	26.06	27.15	27.45	27.61			27.51(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	1	58	5.07	48%	0.12	85.9	1.06%	0	0.8	63	0
18	Oct_12_2007	26.03	27.07	27.43	27.6			27.71(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	4	71	2.19	51%	0.08	79.1	1.06%	0	1.2	72	0
19	Oct_11_2007	26.01	26.98	27.35	27.54			27.44(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	5	69	4.91	51%	0.12	76.5	1.07%	0	0.9	67	0
20	Oct_10_2007	25.98	26.91	27.32	27.47			27.74(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	10	75	1.79	50%	0.08	68.8	1.06%	0	1.5	77	0

21	Oct_9_2007	25.96	26.82	27.25	27.33			27.65(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	20	-10000	4	69	2.71	50%	0.08	62	1.07%	0	1.5	77	0
22	Oct_8_2007	25.94	26.74	27.18	27.27			27.45(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	3	74	0.87	50%	0.08	56.8	1.07%	0	1.3	77	0
23	Oct_5_2007	25.92	26.66	27.1	27.23			27.4(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-10000	5	88	1.93	50%	0.12	51.4	1.07%	0	1.3	82	0
24	Oct_4_2007	25.89	26.58	27.03	27.15			27.11(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	25	-10000	1	95	5.08	49%	0.08	49.7	1.06%	0	1	80	0
25	Oct_3_2007	25.87	26.53	26.98	27.14			27.04(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-1	106	2.05	50%		55.1	1.07%	0	1	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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