Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 18, 2007

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $25.3100 (0.52%) ($25.1200 - $25.3200) on Fri. May. 18, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $25.3100(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.17(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.11(0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.86(1.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2007	23.81	24.86	25.11	25.17			25.31(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	3	65	1.41	44%	0.08	76.6	0.84%	0	1.3	77	0
2	May_17_2007	23.79	24.81	25.08	25.14			25.18(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	5	73	0.51	44%	0.08	75.2	0.84%	0	1	66	0
3	May_16_2007	23.77	24.75	25.05	25.09			25.25(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	4	73	0.59	44%	0.08	73.2	0.85%	0	1.4	67	0
4	May_15_2007	23.75	24.7	25	25.05			25.03(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-1	72	3.43	42%	0.08	76	0.84%	0	0.9	67	0
5	May_14_2007	23.73	24.65	24.95	25.06			25.07(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	2	82	0.7	46%	0.08	79.9	0.84%	0	1.1	72	0

6	May_11_2007	23.71	24.6	24.89	25.04			25.19(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	3	87	2.54	46%	0.08	79.2	0.85%	0	1.5	79	0
7	May_10_2007	23.69	24.54	24.83	25.04			24.92(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	0	94	2.38	43%	0.08	78.6	0.84%	0	1	73	0
8	May_9_2007	23.67	24.49	24.8	25.01			25.05(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	8	112	5.63	40%	0.04	74.9	0.85%	0	1.3	80	0
9	May_8_2007	23.66	24.42	24.75	24.93			25.08(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	10	112	1.93	40%	0.08	72	0.86%	0	1.6	82	0
10	May_7_2007	23.64	24.35	24.67	24.82			24.98(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	10	102	0.64	40%	0.08	73.1	0.86%	0	1.6	77	0

11	May_4_2007	23.62	24.3	24.59	24.71			25.01(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	28	-10000	8	89	2.95	40%	0.04	76.3	0.85%	0	1.9	79	0
12	May_3_2007	23.61	24.24	24.51	24.63			24.91(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	26	-10000	6	86	1.07	40%	0.08	83.6	0.85%	0	2	81	0
13	May_2_2007	23.59	24.18	24.43	24.57			24.67(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	-10000	3	83	1.33	37%	0.04	93.8	0.85%	0	1.6	79	0
14	May_1_2007	23.58	24.13	24.37	24.54			24.54(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	27	-10000	5	92	3.1	37%	0.04	92.2	0.85%	0	1.3	81	0
15	Apr_30_2007	23.57	24.07	24.33	24.49			24.42(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	5	95	0.92	37%	0.04	83.5	0.85%	0	1.1	68	0

16	Apr_27_2007	23.56	24.02	24.3	24.44			24.61(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	7	97	0.9	37%	0.04	69.9	0.84%	0	1.7	74	0
17	Apr_26_2007	23.55	23.96	24.22	24.37			24.63(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	11	88	0.72	37%	0.04	62.7	0.85%	0	2	74	0
18	Apr_25_2007	23.54	23.89	24.15	24.26			24.49(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	8	75	1.71	35%	0.04	51.4	0.84%	0	1.8	74	0
19	Apr_24_2007	23.53	23.84	24.06	24.18			24.31(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	4	59	2.85	40%	0.04	54.8	0.85%	0	1.6	75	0
20	Apr_23_2007	23.52	23.81	24.01	24.14			24.18(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	1	62	1.61	40%	0.04	63.6	0.88%	0	1.3	77	0

21	Apr_20_2007	23.51	23.78	23.98	24.13			24.23(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	25	-10000	7	78	0.99	39%	0.04	75.4	0.88%	0	1.7	81	0
22	Apr_19_2007	23.5	23.74	23.94	24.06			24.09(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-10000	5	80	1.78	39%	0	86.7	0.88%	0	1.4	76	0
23	Apr_18_2007	23.5	23.72	23.91	24.01			24.08(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	9	88	1.07	37%	0.04	100	0.88%	0	1.5	77	0
24	Apr_17_2007	23.49	23.68	23.86	23.92			24.14(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	6	73	1.37	35%	0.04	99	0.9%	0	1.9	64	0
25	Apr_16_2007	23.48	23.63	23.8	23.86			24.09(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	4	60	1.32	35%		88.7	0.91%	0	1.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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