Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.5300 (0.6%) ($23.2500 - $23.6400) on Mon. Dec. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $23.5300(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.48(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.47(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.51(0.09%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2006	21.9	23.51	23.47	23.48			23.53(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-2	-20	0.96	75%	0.23	66.2	0.74%	0	0.1	47	0
2	Dec_8_2006	21.85	23.49	23.44	23.5			23.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-7	-10000	1	-30	0.82	75%	0.18	74	0.74%	0	-0.6	44	0
3	Dec_7_2006	21.81	23.47	23.47	23.49			23.39(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-2	-29	1.56	75%	0.18	70.8	0.75%	0	-0.4	45	0
4	Dec_6_2006	21.77	23.46	23.51	23.49			23.48(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-14	0.97	68%	0.18	74.5	0.75%	0	0.1	50	0
5	Dec_5_2006	21.73	23.44	23.53	23.51			23.63(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	7	-6	1.16	68%	0.23	74.5	0.78%	0	0.8	55	0

6	Dec_4_2006	21.68	23.4	23.53	23.45			23.62(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	9	-7	1.42	68%	0.23	60.9	0.78%	0	0.8	60	0
7	Dec_1_2006	21.63	23.36	23.52	23.37			23.32(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-9	-14	2.9	66%	0.19	44.4	0.77%	0	-0.1	59	0
8	Nov_30_2006	21.59	23.33	23.52	23.45			23.52(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	-7	20	1.72	69%	0.19	42.5	0.76%	0	0.6	67	0
9	Nov_29_2006	21.55	23.29	23.52	23.51			23.47(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-3	48	3.17	69%	0.19	42.6	0.76%	0	0.5	66	0
10	Nov_28_2006	21.51	23.26	23.55	23.54			23.32(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-8	67	2.94	69%	0.14	46.5	0.76%	0	0.2	63	0

11	Nov_27_2006	21.48	23.24	23.55	23.61			23.2(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	15	-10000	-10	91	3.23	69%	0.14	50	0.77%	0	-0.1	64	0
12	Nov_24_2006	21.45	23.22	23.56	23.7			23.76(-0.21%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	40	-10000	5	143	0.42	80%	0.23	55.4	0.7%	0	1.4	95	0
13	Nov_22_2006	21.4	23.18	23.48	23.66			23.81(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	7	154	1.07	80%	0.14	63.9	0.7%	0	1.8	99	0
14	Nov_21_2006	21.37	23.14	23.41	23.6			23.63(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	4	156	1.43	79%	0.14	68.7	0.69%	0	1.4	85	0
15	Nov_20_2006	21.34	23.09	23.35	23.57			23.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	46	-10000	9	156	1.4	79%	0.14	71.9	0.7%	0	1.7	77	0

16	Nov_17_2006	21.31	23.05	23.27	23.5			23.64(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	-10000	13	148	1.52	79%	0.14	73.1	0.7%	0	2	78	0
17	Nov_16_2006	21.28	23.01	23.17	23.39			23.6(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	13	124	1.62	81%	0.19	67.2	0.7%	0	2.1	79	0
18	Nov_15_2006	21.24	22.96	23.08	23.28			23.51(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	12	86	1.72	84%	0.19	59.3	0.72%	0	2.1	61	0
19	Nov_14_2006	21.2	22.91	23	23.18			23.46(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	10	59	2.43	84%	0.14	60	0.77%	0	2.4	63	0
20	Nov_13_2006	21.17	22.86	22.94	23.09			23.29(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	8	46	2.05	84%	0.19	65.1	0.77%	0	2.3	65	0

21	Nov_10_2006	21.13	22.84	22.89	23.02			23.09(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	11	32	1.61	83%	0.14	77.1	0.77%	0	1.6	55	0
22	Nov_9_2006	21.1	22.82	22.89	22.92			23.03(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	9	14	3.1	83%	0.09	80.3	0.77%	0	1.4	57	0
23	Nov_8_2006	21.08	22.8	22.86	22.84			23.04(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	6	11	2.99	83%	0.14	69.3	0.77%	0	1.4	61	0
24	Nov_7_2006	21.05	22.77	22.84	22.79			23.02(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5	-10000	3	11	3.29	83%	0.14	60.8	0.77%	0	1.4	63	0
25	Nov_6_2006	21.02	22.74	22.81	22.76			22.9(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	1	10	1.51	83%		63.1	0.78%	0	0.8	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.