Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.3900 (-0.38%) ($23.3500 - $23.6500) on Thu. Dec. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $23.3900(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $23.47
5 Day Moving Average   $23.49(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.47(-0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.47(-0.34%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2006	21.81	23.47	23.47	23.49			23.39(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-2	-29	1.56	75%	0.18	70.8	0.75%	0	-0.4	45	0
2	Dec_6_2006	21.77	23.46	23.51	23.49			23.48(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-14	0.97	68%	0.18	74.5	0.75%	0	0.1	50	0
3	Dec_5_2006	21.73	23.44	23.53	23.51			23.63(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	7	-6	1.16	68%	0.23	74.5	0.78%	0	0.8	55	0
4	Dec_4_2006	21.68	23.4	23.53	23.45			23.62(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	9	-7	1.42	68%	0.23	60.9	0.78%	0	0.8	60	0
5	Dec_1_2006	21.63	23.36	23.52	23.37			23.32(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-9	-14	2.9	66%	0.19	44.4	0.77%	0	-0.1	59	0

6	Nov_30_2006	21.59	23.33	23.52	23.45			23.52(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	-7	20	1.72	69%	0.19	42.5	0.76%	0	0.6	67	0
7	Nov_29_2006	21.55	23.29	23.52	23.51			23.47(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-3	48	3.17	69%	0.19	42.6	0.76%	0	0.5	66	0
8	Nov_28_2006	21.51	23.26	23.55	23.54			23.32(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-8	67	2.94	69%	0.14	46.5	0.76%	0	0.2	63	0
9	Nov_27_2006	21.48	23.24	23.55	23.61			23.2(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	15	-10000	-10	91	3.23	69%	0.14	50	0.77%	0	-0.1	64	0
10	Nov_24_2006	21.45	23.22	23.56	23.7			23.76(-0.21%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	40	-10000	5	143	0.42	80%	0.23	55.4	0.7%	0	1.4	95	0

11	Nov_22_2006	21.4	23.18	23.48	23.66			23.81(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	7	154	1.07	80%	0.14	63.9	0.7%	0	1.8	99	0
12	Nov_21_2006	21.37	23.14	23.41	23.6			23.63(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	4	156	1.43	79%	0.14	68.7	0.69%	0	1.4	85	0
13	Nov_20_2006	21.34	23.09	23.35	23.57			23.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	46	-10000	9	156	1.4	79%	0.14	71.9	0.7%	0	1.7	77	0
14	Nov_17_2006	21.31	23.05	23.27	23.5			23.64(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	-10000	13	148	1.52	79%	0.14	73.1	0.7%	0	2	78	0
15	Nov_16_2006	21.28	23.01	23.17	23.39			23.6(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	13	124	1.62	81%	0.19	67.2	0.7%	0	2.1	79	0

16	Nov_15_2006	21.24	22.96	23.08	23.28			23.51(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	12	86	1.72	84%	0.19	59.3	0.72%	0	2.1	61	0
17	Nov_14_2006	21.2	22.91	23	23.18			23.46(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	10	59	2.43	84%	0.14	60	0.77%	0	2.4	63	0
18	Nov_13_2006	21.17	22.86	22.94	23.09			23.29(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	8	46	2.05	84%	0.19	65.1	0.77%	0	2.3	65	0
19	Nov_10_2006	21.13	22.84	22.89	23.02			23.09(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	11	32	1.61	83%	0.14	77.1	0.77%	0	1.6	55	0
20	Nov_9_2006	21.1	22.82	22.89	22.92			23.03(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	9	14	3.1	83%	0.09	80.3	0.77%	0	1.4	57	0

21	Nov_8_2006	21.08	22.8	22.86	22.84			23.04(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	6	11	2.99	83%	0.14	69.3	0.77%	0	1.4	61	0
22	Nov_7_2006	21.05	22.77	22.84	22.79			23.02(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5	-10000	3	11	3.29	83%	0.14	60.8	0.77%	0	1.4	63	0
23	Nov_6_2006	21.02	22.74	22.84	22.76			22.9(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	1	10	1.51	83%	0.14	63.1	0.78%	0	0.8	58	0
24	Nov_3_2006	20.99	22.71	22.81	22.75			22.63(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-3	10	1.92	82%	0.1	71.6	0.77%	0	-0.4	46	0
25	Nov_2_2006	20.97	22.7	22.83	22.78			22.63(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10000	-9	11	2.8	83%		75.3	0.77%	0	-0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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