Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 9, 2006

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $22.3600 (0.27%) ($22.2000 - $22.4100) on Mon. Oct. 9, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $22.3600(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.24(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.13(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.93(1.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2006	20.52	21.93	22.13	22.24			22.36(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	10	74	0.53	64%	0.1	97.7	0.92%	0	1.5	67	0
2	Oct_6_2006	20.5	21.88	22.09	22.14			22.3(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	6	64	1.65	64%	0.1	79.6	0.93%	0	1.4	63	0
3	Oct_5_2006	20.48	21.82	22.02	22.08			22.29(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	5	53	1.71	60%	0.05	65	0.93%	0	1.3	62	0
4	Oct_4_2006	20.47	21.76	21.97	22.03			22.3(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	6	47	6.26	60%	0.1	56.4	0.95%	0	1.5	63	0
5	Oct_3_2006	20.45	21.69	21.93	21.97			21.96(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10000	-3	42	2.06	58%	0.05	53.5	0.94%	0	0.8	59	0

6	Oct_2_2006	20.44	21.66	21.89	22			21.84(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-3	47	4.17	58%	0.05	63.1	0.94%	0	0.5	56	0
7	Sep_29_2006	20.43	21.64	21.88	22.03			22(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	8	70	1.19	61%	0.05	71	0.94%	0	1	69	0
8	Sep_28_2006	20.42	21.6	21.85	21.95			22.07(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	6	70	2.27	61%	0	72.2	0.99%	0	1.3	74	0
9	Sep_27_2006	20.42	21.56	21.81	21.95			21.96(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	0	78	5.31	59%	0	81	0.99%	0	1.2	75	0
10	Sep_26_2006	20.42	21.51	21.78	21.88			22.13(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	10	98	2.52	59%	0	87.6	1%	0	1.9	75	0

11	Sep_25_2006	20.42	21.45	21.73	21.77			21.99(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	6	88	1.67	59%	0	85.2	1%	0	1.7	61	0
12	Sep_22_2006	20.42	21.39	21.65	21.71			21.6(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-2	78	3.34	54%	0	76.6	0.98%	0	0.6	58	0
13	Sep_21_2006	20.42	21.35	21.61	21.73			21.73(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	1	81	1.95	56%	0	73.8	0.99%	0	1.1	63	0
14	Sep_20_2006	20.42	21.29	21.53	21.72			21.94(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	6	75	2.56	56%	0	69	0.99%	0	1.8	65	0
15	Sep_19_2006	20.42	21.23	21.44	21.66			21.59(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-1	63	3.53	54%	0	71.8	0.97%	0	1	63	0

16	Sep_18_2006	20.42	21.18	21.42	21.67			21.69(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	8	82	1.17	54%	0	81.1	0.97%	0	1.4	70	0
17	Sep_15_2006	20.42	21.14	21.38	21.59			21.7(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	12	86	6.91	57%	0	94.6	0.97%	0	1.6	73	0
18	Sep_14_2006	20.42	21.09	21.33	21.47			21.69(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	15	79	1.48	57%	-0.05	104.5	1.02%	0	1.8	74	0
19	Sep_13_2006	20.43	21.04	21.28	21.31			21.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	26	-10000	11	72	1.7	57%	0	112.2	1.02%	0	1.9	75	0
20	Sep_12_2006	20.43	20.97	21.22	21.19			21.64(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	5	63	1.42	54%	-0.05	112.2	1.02%	0	2.2	71	0

21	Sep_11_2006	20.44	20.89	21.15	21.19			21.27(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	0	60	3.2	52%	0	98.8	1.03%	0	1.1	66	0
22	Sep_8_2006	20.44	20.81	21.1	21.14			21.09(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-2	59	1.89	52%	-0.1	83.2	1.03%	0	0.7	58	0
23	Sep_7_2006	20.46	20.75	21.06	21.16			20.92(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-6	61	1.84	50%	-0.05	76.2	1.02%	0	0.4	56	0
24	Sep_6_2006	20.47	20.7	21.04	21.23			21.04(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-2	72	1.33	50%	-0.05	75.2	1.04%	0	0.7	63	0
25	Sep_5_2006	20.48	20.63	21.01	21.25			21.39(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	9	93	2.46	50%		71.9	1.01%	0	1.4	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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