Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 18, 2006

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $20.4500 (-0.34%) ($20.4400 - $20.7500) on Thu. May. 18, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   18
Latest Price   $20.4500(-0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.12(-21.17%)
Resistance Level   $21.55
5 Day Moving Average   $20.75(-1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.2(-3.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.55(-5.1%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2006	21.79	21.55	21.2	20.75			20.45(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-60	-10000	-18	-187	4.04	37%	-0.05	-66.7	0.82%	0	-2	18	0
2	May_17_2006	21.8	21.65	21.33	20.9			20.52(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-64	-10000	-25	-181	1.65	37%	-0.05	-64.1	0.82%	0	-2.3	15	0
3	May_16_2006	21.81	21.74	21.46	21.12			20.8(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-10000	-24	-156	1.56	41%	-0.05	-57.4	0.81%	0	-2.1	25	0
4	May_15_2006	21.82	21.82	21.56	21.33			21(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-10000	-22	-125	2.88	43%	0	-51.1	0.81%	0	-2.2	30	0
5	May_12_2006	21.82	21.86	21.64	21.52			20.98(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-41	-10000	-21	-99	4.71	44%	-0.05	-47.4	0.83%	0	-2.6	29	0

6	May_11_2006	21.83	21.92	21.73	21.71			21.18(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-27	-10000	-13	-70	2.63	46%	0	-48	0.83%	0	-2.7	31	0
7	May_10_2006	21.83	21.97	21.84	21.83			21.63(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-2	-46	2.61	50%	0.05	-56.3	0.79%	0	-1.6	33	0
8	May_9_2006	21.82	21.99	21.89	21.85			21.86(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10000	2	-47	1.57	52%	0	-67.4	0.79%	0	-0.7	37	0
9	May_8_2006	21.82	22.01	21.89	21.83			21.95(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	6	-58	0.77	56%	0.05	-68.1	0.79%	0	-0.3	38	0
10	May_5_2006	21.81	22.03	21.91	21.78			21.92(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	2	-65	1.13	56%	0	-73.6	0.81%	0	-0.5	53	0

11	May_4_2006	21.81	22.05	21.93	21.76			21.8(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-12	-75	1.68	56%	0	-62.5	0.82%	0	-1.1	44	0
12	May_3_2006	21.81	22.09	21.97	21.87			21.72(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-8	-49	0.82	56%	0	-42.2	0.82%	0	-1.5	43	0
13	May_2_2006	21.81	22.12	22.03	21.94			21.77(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-6	-27	0.88	53%	0	-26	0.83%	0	-1.5	45	0
14	May_1_2006	21.81	22.15	22.08	21.99			21.67(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-10	-10000	-8	-17	3.85	53%	-0.05	-18.9	0.84%	0	-2.3	38	0
15	Apr_28_2006	21.82	22.18	22.11	22.06			21.85(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-6	-15	2.91	52%	0.05	-9.9	0.83%	0	-1.8	41	0

16	Apr_27_2006	21.81	22.2	22.14	22.11			22.32(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	1	-18	2.65	58%	0	2.6	0.8%	0	0.7	43	0
17	Apr_26_2006	21.81	22.19	22.14	22.1			22.1(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-5	-36	2.45	56%	0	6.5	0.8%	0	-0.5	36	0
18	Apr_25_2006	21.81	22.18	22.11	22.14			22.02(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-6	-40	2.11	56%	0	6.2	0.8%	0	-0.9	41	0
19	Apr_24_2006	21.81	22.18	22.13	22.19			22.03(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-4	-10000	4	-28	0.59	56%	0	14.8	0.8%	0	-0.9	44	0
20	Apr_21_2006	21.81	22.18	22.15	22.16			22.06(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-1	-33	1.39	56%	0	9.1	0.8%	0	-0.8	49	0

21	Apr_20_2006	21.81	22.19	22.19	22.17			22.3(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	6	-22	2.02	53%	0.05	9.9	0.79%	0	0.6	51	0
22	Apr_19_2006	21.8	22.18	22.21	22.12			22.28(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	5	-20	1.17	54%	0	0	0.86%	0	0.6	52	0
23	Apr_18_2006	21.8	22.17	22.22	22.07			22.3(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	1	-17	0.85	52%	0.05	-7.4	0.87%	0	0.7	61	0
24	Apr_17_2006	21.79	22.16	22.21	22.06			21.86(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-9	-19	2.6	47%	0	-1.3	0.84%	0	-1.8	46	0
25	Apr_13_2006	21.79	22.18	22.25	22.14			22.1(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.9	49%		23.6	0.84%	0	-0.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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