Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 9, 2006

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $21.4700 (-0.46%) ($21.4600 - $21.7400) on Thu. Feb. 9, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $21.4700(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    VWO(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.94(-11.78%)
Resistance Level   $21.55
5 Day Moving Average   $21.34(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.49(-0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.55(-0.37%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2006	21.15	21.55		21.34			21.47(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	1	0	1.3	54%	0.05	-56.3	0.81%	0	-0.3	56	0
2	Feb_8_2006	21.14	21.58	21.49	21.33			21.57(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	-4	-14	1.94	54%	0.05	-41.8	0.8%	0	-0	43	0
3	Feb_7_2006	21.13	21.6	21.46	21.36			21.16(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-11	-22	3.53	50%	0	-28.7	0.77%	0	-1.3	40	0
4	Feb_6_2006	21.13	21.65	21.46	21.45			21.22(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-13	-26	1.48	50%	0	-6.4	0.77%	0	-1.3	36	0
5	Feb_3_2006	21.13	21.69	21.48	21.56			21.28(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-11	-34	1.53	52%	0.05	15.8	0.77%	0	-1.2	34	0

6	Feb_2_2006	21.12	21.71	21.49	21.65			21.43(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-1	-42	2.42	54%	0	31.3	0.77%	0	-0.9	35	0
7	Feb_1_2006	21.12	21.72	21.52	21.66			21.73(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	10	-51	3.08	57%	0.05	38.5	0.76%	0	0	37	0
8	Jan_31_2006	21.11	21.7	21.51	21.58			21.6(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	9	-82	1.1	59%	0	28.9	0.76%	0	-0.3	40	0
9	Jan_30_2006	21.11	21.67	21.54	21.51			21.78(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	15	-101	3.77	61%	0.05	17.1	0.76%	0	0.3	42	0
10	Jan_27_2006	21.1	21.64	21.56	21.39			21.71(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-23	-10000	11	-123	2.38	60%	0.05	4	0.76%	0	0.2	43	0

11	Jan_26_2006	21.09	21.61	21.6	21.3			21.47(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-41	-10000	-10	-135	2.13	58%	0	-3.2	0.77%	0	-0.4	48	0
12	Jan_25_2006	21.09	21.6	21.68	21.38			21.33(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-7	-99	1.85	57%	0.05	1	0.77%	0	-0.6	48	0
13	Jan_24_2006	21.08	21.61	21.75	21.44			21.26(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-16	-69	2.28	59%	0	3.1	0.77%	0	-0.8	53	0
14	Jan_23_2006	21.08	21.61	21.83	21.57			21.19(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-22	-9	1.83	59%	0	7.7	0.79%	0	-1	60	0
15	Jan_20_2006	21.08	21.62	21.92	21.76			21.27(-2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	0	-10000	-20	60	3.27	57%	0.05	13.9	0.79%	0	-0.8	58	0

16	Jan_19_2006	21.07	21.63	21.97	21.93			21.84(0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-12	129	3.86	65%	0.05	20	0.71%	0	0.5	65	0
17	Jan_18_2006	21.06	21.6	21.95	22.02			21.65(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	33	-10000	-10	162	4.37	64%	0.05	19.6	0.72%	0	0.1	62	0
18	Jan_17_2006	21.05	21.59	21.92	22.1			21.91(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	44	-10000	-4	189	2.38	67%	0.05	21.6	0.7%	0	0.7	62	0
19	Jan_13_2006	21.04	21.58	21.83	22.13			22.13(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	-10000	4	193	1.45	71%	0.1	25.3	0.68%	0	1.3	68	0
20	Jan_12_2006	21.02	21.56	21.73	22.1			22.14(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	-10000	12	184	1.63	71%	0.1	24.3	0.69%	0	1.5	70	0

21	Jan_11_2006	21	21.54	21.63	22.01			22.26(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	-10000	19	167	2.34	69%	0.05	16.9	0.69%	0	1.9	73	0
22	Jan_10_2006	20.99	21.52	21.52	21.87			22.05(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	-10000	20	135	2.42	65%	0.05	6.3	0.69%	0	1.6	67	0
23	Jan_9_2006	20.98	21.5	21.45	21.72			22.07(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	-10000	31	100	2.46	65%	0.1	-8.5	0.7%	0	1.7	58	0
24	Jan_6_2006	20.96	21.48	21.37	21.49			22(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	28	-10000	27	32	4.51	62%	0.05	-34.7	0.7%	0	1.7	52	0
25	Jan_5_2006	20.95	21.47	21.29	21.29			21.66(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	14	-38	1.28	56%		-52.6	0.69%	0	0.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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