Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 5, 2005

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.0800 (-0.16%) ($19.0100 - $19.2200) on Thu. May. 5, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $19.0800(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.98(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.91(0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.96(0.63%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2005	19.87	18.96		18.98			19.08(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	9	59	0.72	34%	-0.1	-34.6	0.92%	0	0.3	64	0
2	May_4_2005	19.89	18.99	18.91	18.9			19.11(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	5	43	0.42	38%	-0.15	-36.4	0.93%	0	0.3	50	0
3	May_3_2005	19.92	19	18.85	18.86			18.98(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	3	11	0.29	38%	-0.1	-40	0.95%	0	-0.1	43	0
4	May_2_2005	19.94	19.03	18.82	18.83			18.85(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.32	38%	-0.15	-38.5	0.95%	0	-0.5	36	0
5	Apr_29_2005	19.97	19.06	18.79	18.85			18.87(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	1	-49	0.42	38%	-0.15	-37.1	0.94%	0	-0.5	39	0

6	Apr_28_2005	20	19.08	18.75	18.84			18.7(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-8	-90	0.36	38%	-0.1	-36.7	0.94%	0	-0.9	35	0
7	Apr_27_2005	20.02	19.13	18.79	18.91			18.89(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	-10000	8	-94	0.43	39%	-0.15	-30.1	0.93%	0	-0.6	35	0
8	Apr_26_2005	20.05	19.16	18.82	18.84			18.82(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-27	-10000	2	-115	0.54	41%	-0.15	-33.3	0.93%	0	-0.9	40	0
9	Apr_25_2005	20.08	19.18	18.89	18.82			18.95(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	10	-114	0.79	41%	-0.15	-37.4	0.94%	0	-0.6	41	0
10	Apr_22_2005	20.11	19.2	18.94	18.73			18.82(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	8	-135	0.65	41%	-0.1	-44.8	0.93%	0	-1	39	0

11	Apr_21_2005	20.13	19.23	19.01	18.73			19.05(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-37	-10000	0	-147	1.47	43%	-0.15	-53.5	0.93%	0	-0.5	44	0
12	Apr_20_2005	20.16	19.25	19.07	18.66			18.55(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-10000	-19	-164	0.8	37%	-0.1	-56.9	0.86%	0	-1.8	31	0
13	Apr_19_2005	20.18	19.29	19.17	18.81			18.72(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-22	-139	0.71	35%	-0.15	-58	0.86%	0	-1.7	34	0
14	Apr_18_2005	20.21	19.33	19.25	18.99			18.49(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-42	-10000	-23	-97	2.04	35%	-0.1	-54.2	0.88%	0	-2.6	38	0
15	Apr_15_2005	20.23	19.38	19.35	19.18			18.47(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-35	-10000	-27	-59	1.39	35%	-0.1	-56.6	0.89%	0	-3.6	35	0

16	Apr_14_2005	20.25	19.44	19.46	19.41			19.05(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-15	-10000	-16	-12	0.66	39%	-0.1	-71.4	0.82%	0	-2.6	44	0
17	Apr_13_2005	20.27	19.47	19.51	19.54			19.32(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	4	-10000	-4	29	0.79	40%	-0.1	-75.8	0.8%	0	-1.2	50	0
18	Apr_12_2005	20.29	19.49	19.53	19.57			19.6(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	3	48	0.64	42%	-0.1	-76.1	0.79%	0	0.8	61	0
19	Apr_11_2005	20.31	19.5	19.5	19.57			19.48(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	0	36	0.72	41%	-0.05	-71.3	0.79%	0	-0.1	51	0
20	Apr_8_2005	20.32	19.52	19.49	19.55			19.59(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	5	36	0.43	41%	-0.1	-70.1	0.79%	0	0.4	54	0

21	Apr_7_2005	20.34	19.55	19.47	19.51			19.73(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	4	21	0.66	41%	-0.1	-60.2	0.79%	0	0.8	54	0
22	Apr_6_2005	20.36	19.56	19.43	19.48			19.47(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-1	5	0.45	37%	-0.05	-60.9	0.77%	0	-0.4	45	0
23	Apr_5_2005	20.37	19.59	19.43	19.49			19.5(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-10000	7	-7	0.55	37%	-0.1	-55.2	0.77%	0	-0.3	38	0
24	Apr_4_2005	20.39	19.62	19.41	19.44			19.46(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	3	-39	0.96	34%	-0.1	-50.6	0.77%	0	-0.5	31	0
25	Apr_1_2005	20.41	19.66	19.4	19.42			19.39(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	0	-58	2.05	34%		-49.1	0.8%	0	-0.8	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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