Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 7, 2005

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.7300 (1.34%) ($19.4900 - $19.7400) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $19.7300(1.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.51(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.47(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.55(0.92%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2005	20.34	19.55	19.47	19.51			19.73(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	4	21	0.66	41%	-0.1	-60.2	0.79%	0	0.8	54	0
2	Apr_6_2005	20.36	19.56	19.43	19.48			19.47(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-1	5	0.45	37%	-0.05	-60.9	0.77%	0	-0.4	45	0
3	Apr_5_2005	20.37	19.59	19.43	19.49			19.5(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-10000	7	-7	0.55	37%	-0.1	-55.2	0.77%	0	-0.3	38	0
4	Apr_4_2005	20.39	19.62	19.41	19.44			19.46(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	3	-39	0.96	34%	-0.1	-50.6	0.77%	0	-0.5	31	0
5	Apr_1_2005	20.41	19.66	19.4	19.44			19.39(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	0	-58	2.05	34%	-0.05	-49.1	0.8%	0	-0.8	32	0

6	Mar_31_2005	20.42	19.69	19.4	19.42			19.56(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	5	-78	0.55	36%	-0.05	-48.5	0.8%	0	-0.4	29	0
7	Mar_30_2005	20.43	19.71	19.42	19.38			19.53(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	7	-104	0.93	36%	-0.05	-43.9	0.8%	0	-0.5	32	0
8	Mar_29_2005	20.44	19.75	19.44	19.33			19.24(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-10000	-5	-138	0.74	31%	-0.1	-41.8	0.77%	0	-1.5	20	0
9	Mar_28_2005	20.46	19.78	19.51	19.37			19.39(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-1	-141	0.65	32%	-0.05	-40.1	0.77%	0	-1.2	19	0
10	Mar_24_2005	20.47	19.82	19.55	19.38			19.37(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-10000	-5	-150	0.45	32%	-0.05	-41	0.77%	0	-1.5	27	0

11	Mar_23_2005	20.48	19.84	19.63	19.42			19.36(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-5	-139	0.66	32%	-0.05	-46.6	0.77%	0	-1.7	33	0
12	Mar_22_2005	20.49	19.86	19.7	19.46			19.28(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-10000	-13	-138	1.54	32%	-0.05	-55.9	0.77%	0	-2.1	27	0
13	Mar_21_2005	20.5	19.89	19.78	19.56			19.45(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-41	-10000	-13	-123	0.85	37%	0	-60.3	0.77%	0	-1.8	29	0
14	Mar_18_2005	20.5	19.92	19.86	19.66			19.45(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-10000	-12	-90	1.35	37%	-0.05	-60	0.78%	0	-2.1	39	0
15	Mar_17_2005	20.51	19.94	19.93	19.75			19.56(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-10000	-15	-70	0.34	33%	0	-58.9	0.78%	0	-2	40	0

16	Mar_16_2005	20.51	19.98	19.98	19.87			19.57(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-19	-10000	-12	-38	0.57	33%	0	-37.8	0.84%	0	-2.3	45	0
17	Mar_15_2005	20.51	20.02	20.04	19.97			19.77(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-7	-4	0.33	35%	0	-23.5	0.83%	0	-1.5	54	0
18	Mar_14_2005	20.51	20.04	20.08	20.03			19.97(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-7	24	0.65	36%	0.05	-11.8	0.82%	0	-0.4	57	0
19	Mar_11_2005	20.5	20.05	20.09	20.09			19.89(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-10000	-6	39	0.57	40%	0	-4.7	0.83%	0	-0.9	52	0
20	Mar_10_2005	20.5	20.06	20.1	20.14			20.15(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	4	56	0.57	42%	0	5	0.82%	0	0.6	57	0

21	Mar_9_2005	20.5	20.05	20.07	20.11			20.06(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-1	37	0.95	42%	0.05	-3.8	0.82%	0	0.1	44	0
22	Mar_8_2005	20.49	20.05	20.04	20.12			20.1(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-2	20	0.74	42%	0	5.9	0.82%	0	0.2	43	0
23	Mar_7_2005	20.49	20.05	20.01	20.14			20.27(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	7	14	0.54	41%	0.05	15.6	0.82%	0	1.2	50	0
24	Mar_4_2005	20.48	20.06	19.97	20.08			20.12(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	2	-12	0.74	41%	0.05	17.8	0.82%	0	0.3	47	0
25	Mar_3_2005	20.47	20.05	19.95	20.06			19.99(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	4	-18	0.4	41%		17.8	0.82%	0	-0.3	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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