Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 14, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $21.5700 (0.19%) ($21.2000 - $21.6600) on Tue. Dec. 14, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $21.5700(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.43(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.48(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.3(1.27%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2004	19.72	21.3	21.48	21.43			21.57(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	3	56	1.7	57%	0.15	63	0.92%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Dec_13_2004	19.69	21.27	21.42	21.4			21.53(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	9	-10000	-4	47	0.59	57%	0.15	72.8	0.92%	0	1.2	64	0
3	Dec_10_2004	19.66	21.25	21.38	21.44			21.28(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-7	57	0.52	58%	0.1	85.6	0.91%	0	0.1	60	0
4	Dec_9_2004	19.64	21.23	21.37	21.51			21.39(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-1	65	0.75	61%	0.1	92.9	0.92%	0	0.7	51	0
5	Dec_8_2004	19.62	21.19	21.34	21.52			21.4(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-1	64	0.43	61%	0.1	86.4	0.94%	0	0.7	53	0

6	Dec_7_2004	19.6	21.15	21.3	21.53			21.42(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	9	68	0.93	61%	0.15	93.4	0.94%	0	0.9	60	0
7	Dec_6_2004	19.57	21.12	21.26	21.44			21.71(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	12	52	0.35	64%	0.15	91.5	0.92%	0	2	61	0
8	Dec_3_2004	19.54	21.06	21.19	21.32			21.62(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	11	30	0.79	59%	0.1	98.5	0.92%	0	2	62	0
9	Dec_2_2004	19.52	21.01	21.16	21.21			21.47(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	7	26	0.82	61%	0.15	100.8	0.97%	0	1.7	66	0
10	Dec_1_2004	19.49	20.95	21.13	21.14			21.41(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	9	35	1.17	61%	0.05	94.2	0.98%	0	1.6	70	0

11	Nov_30_2004	19.48	20.89	21.09	21.05			20.98(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	27	0.29	57%	0.1	88.2	0.95%	0	0.3	58	0
12	Nov_29_2004	19.46	20.85	21.09	21.06			21.1(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	44	0.76	57%	0.05	89.6	0.95%	0	0.7	61	0
13	Nov_26_2004	19.45	20.79	21.11	21.04			21.09(-0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-5	49	0.22	57%	0.1	87	0.95%	0	0.8	61	0
14	Nov_24_2004	19.43	20.74	21.08	21.09			21.12(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-3	67	0.26	57%	0.05	82	0.96%	0	0.8	66	0
15	Nov_23_2004	19.42	20.68	21.02	21.12			20.95(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-1	81	0.49	57%	0.1	76.9	0.96%	0	0.5	68	0

16	Nov_22_2004	19.4	20.61	21	21.13			21.04(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-3	100	0.36	57%	0.05	68.6	0.95%	0	0.8	72	0
17	Nov_19_2004	19.39	20.53	20.97	21.16			21.01(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-10000	-1	124	0.34	57%	0	65.4	0.96%	0	0.8	72	0
18	Nov_18_2004	19.39	20.45	20.94	21.17			21.34(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	11	159	0.77	64%	0.05	66.2	0.93%	0	1.5	84	0
19	Nov_17_2004	19.38	20.37	20.85	21.06			21.26(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	-10000	15	156	0.7	64%	0.05	68.9	0.95%	0	1.6	84	0
20	Nov_16_2004	19.37	20.29	20.75	20.91			21.02(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	7	142	0.6	62%	0	66.1	0.94%	0	1.3	83	0

21	Nov_15_2004	19.37	20.22	20.67	20.84			21.18(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	9	156	2.58	62%	0.05	66.4	0.94%	0	1.8	92	0
22	Nov_12_2004	19.36	20.14	20.56	20.75			21.06(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	8	163	0.39	57%	0.05	66.1	0.94%	0	1.8	92	0
23	Nov_11_2004	19.35	20.06	20.45	20.67			20.77(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	6	163	0.53	50%	0	64	0.97%	0	1.5	89	0
24	Nov_10_2004	19.35	19.99	20.37	20.61			20.51(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	-10000	5	154	0.69	51%	0	59.1	1.01%	0	1.1	66	0
25	Nov_9_2004	19.35	19.94	20.31	20.56			20.69(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	-10000	11	156	0.63	51%		52.2	1.02%	0	1.7	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.