Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $21.0400 (0.14%) ($20.8300 - $21.1000) on Mon. Nov. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $21.0400(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(-3%)    REMX(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.13(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.61(2.09%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20041222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2004	19.4	20.61	21	21.13			21.04(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-3	100	0.36	57%	0.05	68.6	0.95%	0	0.8	72	0
2	Nov_19_2004	19.39	20.53	20.97	21.16			21.01(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-10000	-1	124	0.34	57%	0	65.4	0.96%	0	0.8	72	0
3	Nov_18_2004	19.39	20.45	20.94	21.17			21.34(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	11	159	0.77	64%	0.05	66.2	0.93%	0	1.5	84	0
4	Nov_17_2004	19.38	20.37	20.85	21.06			21.26(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	-10000	15	156	0.7	64%	0.05	68.9	0.95%	0	1.6	84	0
5	Nov_16_2004	19.37	20.29	20.75	20.91			21.02(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	7	142	0.6	62%	0	66.1	0.94%	0	1.3	83	0

6	Nov_15_2004	19.37	20.22	20.67	20.84			21.18(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	9	156	2.58	62%	0.05	66.4	0.94%	0	1.8	92	0
7	Nov_12_2004	19.36	20.14	20.56	20.75			21.06(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	8	163	0.39	57%	0.05	66.1	0.94%	0	1.8	92	0
8	Nov_11_2004	19.35	20.06	20.45	20.67			20.77(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	6	163	0.53	50%	0	64	0.97%	0	1.5	89	0
9	Nov_10_2004	19.35	19.99	20.37	20.61			20.51(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	-10000	5	154	0.69	51%	0	59.1	1.01%	0	1.1	66	0
10	Nov_9_2004	19.35	19.94	20.31	20.56			20.69(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	-10000	11	156	0.63	51%	0.05	52.2	1.02%	0	1.7	74	0

11	Nov_8_2004	19.34	19.88	20.19	20.45			20.7(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	11	136	0.46	51%	0	46.6	1.02%	0	2	74	0
12	Nov_5_2004	19.34	19.82	20.06	20.34			20.67(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	-10000	13	106	4.92	43%	0.05	41.2	1.1%	0	2.3	74	0
13	Nov_4_2004	19.33	19.76	19.93	20.2			20.49(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	10	83	0.57	43%	0	35.7	1.11%	0	2.4	75	0
14	Nov_3_2004	19.33	19.72	19.86	20.09			20.26(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	6	80	0.96	39%	0	42.3	1.1%	0	2	75	0
15	Nov_2_2004	19.33	19.7	19.8	20.02			20.15(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	13	78	0.89	39%	0	55.9	1.12%	0	1.8	67	0

16	Nov_1_2004	19.33	19.69	19.74	19.87			20.12(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	13	59	0.39	39%	0.05	64.1	1.12%	0	1.9	63	0
17	Oct_29_2004	19.32	19.67	19.69	19.73			19.96(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	10	38	0.81	42%	-0.05	72	1.12%	0	1.4	59	0
18	Oct_28_2004	19.33	19.65	19.64	19.62			19.95(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6	-10000	2	17	0.98	42%	0	65.8	1.13%	0	1.3	60	0
19	Oct_27_2004	19.33	19.61	19.58	19.6			19.9(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	5	3	0.92	42%	-0.05	61.5	1.13%	0	1.2	50	0
20	Oct_26_2004	19.34	19.57	19.53	19.55			19.43(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-5	-22	0.32	37%	-0.05	48.3	1.1%	0	-0.5	33	0

21	Oct_25_2004	19.35	19.54	19.55	19.6			19.39(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0.44	37%	0	39	1.1%	0	-0.5	37	0
22	Oct_22_2004	19.35	19.52	19.57	19.65			19.42(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-1	-19	0.65	35%	-0.05	34.5	1.12%	0	-0.3	42	0
23	Oct_21_2004	19.36	19.5	19.58	19.66			19.85(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	10	-15	0.38	36%	0	30.7	1.09%	0	1	56	0
24	Oct_20_2004	19.36	19.46	19.57	19.55			19.68(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	4	-17	0.21	39%	0	23.4	1.11%	0	0.6	65	0
25	Oct_19_2004	19.36	19.43	19.6	19.51			19.65(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	2	0	2.64	39%		20.6	1.12%	0	0.6	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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