Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 26, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.4300 (0.21%) ($19.3000 - $19.5000) on Tue. Oct. 26, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $19.4300(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(78%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $19.57
5 Day Moving Average   $19.55(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.53(-0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.57(-0.72%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2004	19.34	19.57	19.53	19.55			19.43(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-5	-22	0.32	37%	-0.05	48.3	1.1%	0	-0.5	33	0
2	Oct_25_2004	19.35	19.54	19.55	19.6			19.39(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0.44	37%	0	39	1.1%	0	-0.5	37	0
3	Oct_22_2004	19.35	19.52	19.57	19.65			19.42(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-1	-19	0.65	35%	-0.05	34.5	1.12%	0	-0.3	42	0
4	Oct_21_2004	19.36	19.5	19.58	19.66			19.85(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	10	-15	0.38	36%	0	30.7	1.09%	0	1	56	0
5	Oct_20_2004	19.36	19.46	19.57	19.55			19.68(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	4	-17	0.21	39%	0	23.4	1.11%	0	0.6	65	0

6	Oct_19_2004	19.36	19.43	19.6	19.51			19.65(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	2	0	2.64	39%	0	20.6	1.12%	0	0.6	66	0
7	Oct_18_2004	19.36	19.42	19.6	19.49			19.65(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	1	23	0.24	39%	0	18.9	1.13%	0	0.7	69	0
8	Oct_15_2004	19.36	19.4	19.63	19.48			19.45(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-2	44	0.25	39%	-0.05	18.8	1.13%	0	0.2	68	0
9	Oct_14_2004	19.37	19.39	19.65	19.5			19.33(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-9	61	0.19	37%	0	20	1.13%	0	-0.2	61	0
10	Oct_13_2004	19.37	19.38	19.64	19.6			19.48(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-10	77	0.2	37%	-0.05	31.4	1.14%	0	0.3	59	0

11	Oct_12_2004	19.38	19.36	19.61	19.71			19.55(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-6	97	0.29	37%	0	46.6	1.14%	0	0.6	62	0
12	Oct_11_2004	19.38	19.35	19.54	19.78			19.6(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-10000	-3	98	0.2	37%	0	63.6	1.14%	0	0.7	53	0
13	Oct_8_2004	19.38	19.34	19.47	19.81			19.54(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	23	-10000	-1	93	0.37	36%	0	80.1	1.14%	0	0.6	54	0
14	Oct_7_2004	19.38	19.32	19.42	19.82			19.82(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	-10000	12	95	0.58	37%	0	83.5	1.15%	0	1.5	62	0
15	Oct_6_2004	19.38	19.28	19.34	19.68			20.03(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	17	78	0.73	35%	0.05	73.1	1.14%	0	2.1	68	0

16	Oct_5_2004	19.37	19.2	19.24	19.49			19.9(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	19	48	0.35	35%	0.05	64.1	1.17%	0	2.2	67	0
17	Oct_4_2004	19.36	19.14	19.18	19.28			19.76(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	-10000	18	17	1.67	35%	0	50	1.18%	0	2.1	55	0
18	Oct_1_2004	19.36	19.08	19.13	19.08			19.6(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	5	-10000	11	-14	0.93	33%	0	28.6	1.18%	0	1.9	54	0
19	Sep_30_2004	19.36	19.04	19.13	19.08			19.12(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-10	-10000	0	-39	0.14	28%	-0.05	21.4	1.16%	0	0.3	47	0
20	Sep_29_2004	19.37	19.02	19.13	18.96			19.05(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-34	1.18	28%	-0.05	18.2	1.16%	0	0.1	55	0

21	Sep_28_2004	19.38	19	19.09	18.97			18.85(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-10	-26	1.03	28%	0	17	1.16%	0	-0.5	58	0
22	Sep_27_2004	19.38	18.99	19.15	19.08			18.8(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-9	9	1.26	28%	-0.05	26.5	1.16%	0	-0.7	58	0
23	Sep_24_2004	19.39	19	19.2	19.18			18.97(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-4	48	0.33	28%	-0.05	40.8	1.16%	0	-0.1	64	0
24	Sep_23_2004	19.4	18.99	19.23	19.18			19.13(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	0	65	0.24	31%	0	47.1	1.16%	0	0.5	55	0
25	Sep_22_2004	19.4	18.97	19.21	19.23			19.08(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	0	71	0.19	31%		51.6	1.17%	0	0.4	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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