Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 14, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.4000 (0.41%) ($19.2500 - $19.4100) on Tue. Sep. 14, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $19.4000(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(78%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.1(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.9(2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.79(3.25%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2004	19.44	18.79	18.9	19.1			19.4(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	14	58	0.18	35%	-0.05	79.2	1.16%	0	2.3	65	0
2	Sep_13_2004	19.45	18.73	18.82	18.94			19.32(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	15	33	0.55	35%	-0.1	63.9	1.17%	0	2.4	61	0
3	Sep_10_2004	19.47	18.67	18.77	18.78			19.23(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	6	-10000	5	9	0.29	35%	-0.05	41.8	1.18%	0	2.2	61	0
4	Sep_9_2004	19.48	18.6	18.72	18.72			18.91(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	3	4	0.27	32%	-0.1	17.1	1.16%	0	1.2	58	0
5	Sep_8_2004	19.5	18.57	18.72	18.69			18.63(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10000	1	4	0.22	29%	-0.05	-1.4	1.15%	0	0.2	51	0

6	Sep_7_2004	19.51	18.58	18.71	18.69			18.61(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	-10000	0	10	0.29	33%	-0.1	-9.3	1.15%	0	0.1	59	0
7	Sep_3_2004	19.53	18.57	18.73	18.68			18.53(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-6	22	0.17	32%	-0.1	-26.4	1.19%	0	-0.2	60	0
8	Sep_2_2004	19.55	18.57	18.74	18.75			18.94(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	4	52	0.16	34%	-0.1	-37.9	1.17%	0	1.4	75	0
9	Sep_1_2004	19.57	18.56	18.74	18.71			18.72(0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10000	-3	61	0.52	32%	-0.05	-46.2	1.16%	0	0.6	74	0
10	Aug_31_2004	19.58	18.58	18.7	18.74			18.58(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-1	76	0.91	32%	-0.15	-39.5	1.16%	0	0	57	0

11	Aug_30_2004	19.61	18.6	18.68	18.75			18.65(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-2	67	0.22	32%	-0.05	-32.7	1.17%	0	0.1	47	0
12	Aug_27_2004	19.62	18.64	18.64	18.77			18.84(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	3	68	0.32	32%	-0.1	-23.2	1.16%	0	0.5	57	0
13	Aug_26_2004	19.64	18.67	18.56	18.74			18.76(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	4	56	0.29	32%	-0.1	-18.7	1.17%	0	0.2	58	0
14	Aug_25_2004	19.66	18.69	18.48	18.7			18.86(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	5	28	0.39	35%	-0.1	-18.3	1.16%	0	0.4	48	0
15	Aug_24_2004	19.68	18.7	18.48	18.65			18.65(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-10000	5	-1	0.28	35%	-0.1	-19.5	1.18%	0	-0.1	40	0

16	Aug_23_2004	19.7	18.73	18.43	18.59			18.75(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	10	-19	0.15	35%	-0.1	-25	1.18%	0	0	42	0
17	Aug_20_2004	19.72	18.73	18.4	18.48			18.66(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	11	-61	0.24	35%	-0.1	-32.1	1.18%	0	-0.2	36	0
18	Aug_19_2004	19.74	18.74	18.36	18.36			18.57(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-10000	12	-107	0.43	35%	-0.1	-39.2	1.18%	0	-0.4	36	0
19	Aug_18_2004	19.76	18.77	18.39	18.23			18.63(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-31	-10000	6	-141	0.85	35%	-0.05	-46.1	1.18%	0	-0.3	37	0
20	Aug_17_2004	19.77	18.79	18.44	18.17			18.33(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-46	-10000	-8	-159	0.35	32%	-0.1	-51.6	1.17%	0	-1	38	0

21	Aug_16_2004	19.79	18.84	18.51	18.26			18.21(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-5	-147	0.43	32%	-0.1	-51	1.17%	0	-1.4	36	0
22	Aug_13_2004	19.81	18.88	18.64	18.31			18.05(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-6	-129	0.43	31%	-0.1	-57.5	1.17%	0	-1.9	37	0
23	Aug_12_2004	19.83	18.93	18.78	18.37			17.95(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-10000	-17	-113	2.64	31%	-0.1	-68.4	1.17%	0	-2.5	38	0
24	Aug_11_2004	19.85	18.99	18.93	18.56			18.31(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-17	-82	0.41	35%	-0.05	-72.8	1.15%	0	-2.1	37	0
25	Aug_10_2004	19.86	19.04	19.01	18.74			18.78(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-8	-50	0.78	38%		-70.9	1.12%	0	-0.9	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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