Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 30, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $18.6500 (-1.01%) ($18.6400 - $18.8300) on Mon. Aug. 30, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $18.6500(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(78%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.75(-0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.68(-0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.6(0.27%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2004	19.61	18.6	18.68	18.75			18.65(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-2	67	0.22	32%	-0.05	-32.7	1.17%	0	0.1	47	0
2	Aug_27_2004	19.62	18.64	18.64	18.77			18.84(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	3	68	0.32	32%	-0.1	-23.2	1.16%	0	0.5	57	0
3	Aug_26_2004	19.64	18.67	18.56	18.74			18.76(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	4	56	0.29	32%	-0.1	-18.7	1.17%	0	0.2	58	0
4	Aug_25_2004	19.66	18.69	18.48	18.7			18.86(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	5	28	0.39	35%	-0.1	-18.3	1.16%	0	0.4	48	0
5	Aug_24_2004	19.68	18.7	18.48	18.65			18.65(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-10000	5	-1	0.28	35%	-0.1	-19.5	1.18%	0	-0.1	40	0

6	Aug_23_2004	19.7	18.73	18.43	18.59			18.75(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	10	-19	0.15	35%	-0.1	-25	1.18%	0	0	42	0
7	Aug_20_2004	19.72	18.73	18.4	18.48			18.66(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	11	-61	0.24	35%	-0.1	-32.1	1.18%	0	-0.2	36	0
8	Aug_19_2004	19.74	18.74	18.36	18.36			18.57(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-10000	12	-107	0.43	35%	-0.1	-39.2	1.18%	0	-0.4	36	0
9	Aug_18_2004	19.76	18.77	18.39	18.23			18.63(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-31	-10000	6	-141	0.85	35%	-0.05	-46.1	1.18%	0	-0.3	37	0
10	Aug_17_2004	19.77	18.79	18.44	18.17			18.33(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-46	-10000	-8	-159	0.35	32%	-0.1	-51.6	1.17%	0	-1	38	0

11	Aug_16_2004	19.79	18.84	18.51	18.26			18.21(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-5	-147	0.43	32%	-0.1	-51	1.17%	0	-1.4	36	0
12	Aug_13_2004	19.81	18.88	18.64	18.31			18.05(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-6	-129	0.43	31%	-0.1	-57.5	1.17%	0	-1.9	37	0
13	Aug_12_2004	19.83	18.93	18.78	18.37			17.95(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-10000	-17	-113	2.64	31%	-0.1	-68.4	1.17%	0	-2.5	38	0
14	Aug_11_2004	19.85	18.99	18.93	18.56			18.31(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-17	-82	0.41	35%	-0.05	-72.8	1.15%	0	-2.1	37	0
15	Aug_10_2004	19.86	19.04	19.01	18.74			18.78(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-8	-50	0.78	38%	-0.05	-70.9	1.12%	0	-0.9	48	0

16	Aug_9_2004	19.87	19.07	19.05	18.82			18.46(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-19	-47	0.31	34%	-0.05	-64.4	1.1%	0	-2	37	0
17	Aug_6_2004	19.88	19.13	19.11	19.02			18.34(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-20	-10000	-21	-17	0.48	34%	-0.1	-57.9	1.09%	0	-2.7	43	0
18	Aug_5_2004	19.9	19.2	19.17	19.24			18.91(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-10000	-10	24	0.35	38%	-0.05	-58.4	1.03%	0	-1.2	52	0
19	Aug_4_2004	19.91	19.23	19.2	19.34			19.2(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	1	48	0.79	40%	-0.05	-65.2	1.02%	0	-0.1	52	0
20	Aug_3_2004	19.92	19.25	19.18	19.33			19.17(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	1	40	0.43	40%	-0.05	-77.9	1.02%	0	-0.3	49	0

21	Aug_2_2004	19.93	19.28	19.19	19.32			19.49(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	11	38	0.42	42%	0	-86.9	1.01%	0	0.7	48	0
22	Jul_30_2004	19.93	19.3	19.14	19.21			19.44(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	11	2	0.17	39%	-0.05	-88.9	1.01%	0	0.4	45	0
23	Jul_29_2004	19.94	19.34	19.08	19.1			19.4(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	5	-40	0.51	37%	0	-85.1	1.05%	0	0.2	43	0
24	Jul_28_2004	19.94	19.4	19.08	19.05			19.13(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	3	-58	0.96	33%	-0.05	-69.6	1.05%	0	-0.6	42	0
25	Jul_27_2004	19.95	19.46	19.05	19.02			19.14(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-3	-81	0.58	33%		-62.8	1.07%	0	-0.6	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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