Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 16, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $18.2100 (0.89%) ($18.0500 - $18.3200) on Mon. Aug. 16, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $18.2100(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(78%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.74(-24.55%)
Resistance Level   $18.84
5 Day Moving Average   $18.26(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.51(-1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.84(-3.34%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2004	19.79	18.84	18.51	18.26			18.21(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-5	-147	0.43	32%	-0.1	-51	1.17%	0	-1.4	36	0
2	Aug_13_2004	19.81	18.88	18.64	18.31			18.05(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-6	-129	0.43	31%	-0.1	-57.5	1.17%	0	-1.9	37	0
3	Aug_12_2004	19.83	18.93	18.78	18.37			17.95(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-10000	-17	-113	2.64	31%	-0.1	-68.4	1.17%	0	-2.5	38	0
4	Aug_11_2004	19.85	18.99	18.93	18.56			18.31(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-17	-82	0.41	35%	-0.05	-72.8	1.15%	0	-2.1	37	0
5	Aug_10_2004	19.86	19.04	19.01	18.74			18.78(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-8	-50	0.78	38%	-0.05	-70.9	1.12%	0	-0.9	48	0

6	Aug_9_2004	19.87	19.07	19.05	18.82			18.46(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-19	-47	0.31	34%	-0.05	-64.4	1.1%	0	-2	37	0
7	Aug_6_2004	19.88	19.13	19.11	19.02			18.34(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-20	-10000	-21	-17	0.48	34%	-0.1	-57.9	1.09%	0	-2.7	43	0
8	Aug_5_2004	19.9	19.2	19.17	19.24			18.91(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-10000	-10	24	0.35	38%	-0.05	-58.4	1.03%	0	-1.2	52	0
9	Aug_4_2004	19.91	19.23	19.2	19.34			19.2(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	1	48	0.79	40%	-0.05	-65.2	1.02%	0	-0.1	52	0
10	Aug_3_2004	19.92	19.25	19.18	19.33			19.17(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	1	40	0.43	40%	-0.05	-77.9	1.02%	0	-0.3	49	0

11	Aug_2_2004	19.93	19.28	19.19	19.32			19.49(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	11	38	0.42	42%	0	-86.9	1.01%	0	0.7	48	0
12	Jul_30_2004	19.93	19.3	19.14	19.21			19.44(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	11	2	0.17	39%	-0.05	-88.9	1.01%	0	0.4	45	0
13	Jul_29_2004	19.94	19.34	19.08	19.1			19.4(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	5	-40	0.51	37%	0	-85.1	1.05%	0	0.2	43	0
14	Jul_28_2004	19.94	19.4	19.08	19.05			19.13(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	3	-58	0.96	33%	-0.05	-69.6	1.05%	0	-0.6	42	0
15	Jul_27_2004	19.95	19.46	19.05	19.02			19.14(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-3	-81	0.58	33%	-0.1	-62.8	1.07%	0	-0.6	37	0

16	Jul_26_2004	19.97	19.52	19.08	19.02			18.96(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	0	-83	0.46	33%	-0.1	-56.5	1.06%	0	-1	36	0
17	Jul_23_2004	19.99	19.6	19.14	19.05			18.85(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-1	-97	0.27	35%	-0.1	-52.5	1.06%	0	-1.3	29	0
18	Jul_22_2004	20.01	19.68	19.22	19.06			19.18(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	2	-114	0.78	40%	-0.05	-50.8	1.06%	0	-0.9	29	0
19	Jul_21_2004	20.02	19.74	19.25	19.04			18.98(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-42	-10000	-5	-151	0.64	43%	-0.1	-49.8	1.07%	0	-1.3	21	0
20	Jul_20_2004	20.04	19.81	19.33	19.09			19.27(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-45	-10000	-4	-166	0.5	42%	-0.1	-51	1.07%	0	-0.9	27	0

21	Jul_19_2004	20.06	19.85	19.37	19.13			18.96(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-10000	-12	-180	0.69	39%	-0.1	-51.1	1.08%	0	-1.6	26	0
22	Jul_16_2004	20.08	19.91	19.48	19.26			18.9(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-54	-10000	-14	-172	0.46	39%	-0.1	-51	1.09%	0	-1.9	23	0
23	Jul_15_2004	20.1	19.98	19.62	19.41			19.1(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-10000	-7	-153	0.25	38%	-0.1	-51.3	1.09%	0	-1.9	27	0
24	Jul_14_2004	20.12	20.04	19.78	19.48			19.2(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-10000	-11	-140	0.84	38%	-0.05	-53.8	1.1%	0	-2	27	0
25	Jul_13_2004	20.13	20.11	19.91	19.6			19.51(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-3	-116	0.31	38%		-52.7	1.08%	0	-1.6	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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