Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 11, 2003

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.7400 (-0.25%) ($19.6900 - $19.8700) on Tue. Nov. 11, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $19.7400(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)    OIH(51%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.94(-1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.86(-0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.67(0.36%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2003	18.5	19.67	19.86	19.94			19.74(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10000	-2	72	0.17	59%	0.11	43	1.29%	0	0.2	57	0
2	Nov_10_2003	18.48	19.66	19.85	19.97			19.79(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	-5	73	0.33	59%	0.16	49.3	1.29%	0	0.5	50	0
3	Nov_7_2003	18.45	19.65	19.79	20.03			20.05(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	7	77	0.19	61%	0.11	59.9	1.28%	0	1.4	57	0
4	Nov_6_2003	18.43	19.63	19.69	19.94			20.13(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	8	59	0.42	61%	0.16	59.4	1.27%	0	1.9	63	0
5	Nov_5_2003	18.4	19.59	19.61	19.84			19.97(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	5	35	0.19	58%	0.11	65.6	1.28%	0	1.5	53	0

6	Nov_4_2003	18.38	19.55	19.55	19.77			19.91(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	5	22	0.44	58%	0.16	76.3	1.32%	0	1.6	53	0
7	Nov_3_2003	18.35	19.53	19.53	19.7			20.08(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	17	-10000	15	22	0.61	58%	0.16	96.5	1.32%	0	2.5	58	0
8	Oct_31_2003	18.32	19.49	19.48	19.51			19.62(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-10000	10	-4	0.71	55%	0.11	94.2	1.3%	0	0.7	50	0
9	Oct_30_2003	18.3	19.47	19.46	19.39			19.6(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	4	-25	0.49	55%	0.11	74.6	1.3%	0	0.5	51	0
10	Oct_29_2003	18.28	19.42	19.46	19.34			19.62(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	2	-26	0.21	55%	0.16	62.3	1.3%	0	0.7	55	0

11	Oct_28_2003	18.25	19.38	19.47	19.31			19.59(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.35	55%	0.11	48	1.31%	0	0.6	57	0
12	Oct_27_2003	18.23	19.32	19.46	19.34			19.13(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-9	-21	0.24	52%	0.11	38.1	1.28%	0	-0.5	44	0
13	Oct_24_2003	18.21	19.3	19.51	19.45			19.03(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-6	0	0.37	55%	0.11	36	1.3%	0	-0.6	46	0
14	Oct_23_2003	18.19	19.28	19.57	19.52			19.32(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-7	18	0.55	57%	0.11	28	1.3%	0	0.1	55	0
15	Oct_22_2003	18.17	19.24	19.58	19.61			19.47(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-3	47	0.47	59%	0.17	22.1	1.3%	0	0.5	70	0

16	Oct_21_2003	18.14	19.2	19.57	19.65			19.76(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	3	70	0.23	58%	0.17	19.2	1.3%	0	1.2	76	0
17	Oct_20_2003	18.11	19.17	19.53	19.61			19.65(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-10000	1	87	0.45	58%	0.11	17.1	1.34%	0	1	80	0
18	Oct_17_2003	18.09	19.17	19.5	19.6			19.42(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-10000	-2	101	0.34	54%	0.17	20.9	1.33%	0	0.6	65	0
19	Oct_16_2003	18.06	19.15	19.48	19.62			19.74(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	5	124	0.24	56%	0.17	28.3	1.37%	0	1.3	75	0
20	Oct_15_2003	18.03	19.13	19.38	19.55			19.67(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	6	121	1.15	56%	0.17	31.7	1.37%	0	1.2	71	0

21	Oct_14_2003	18	19.11	19.28	19.47			19.55(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	1	113	0.22	56%	0.11	35	1.37%	0	1	66	0
22	Oct_13_2003	17.98	19.09	19.16	19.45			19.6(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	5	93	0.26	56%	0.17	34.9	1.37%	0	1.2	52	0
23	Oct_10_2003	17.95	19.05	19.07	19.39			19.54(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	4	76	0.33	53%	0.22	24.8	1.38%	0	1.2	53	0
24	Oct_9_2003	17.91	19.02	18.96	19.33			19.38(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	11	47	0.5	53%	0.17	19	1.41%	0	0.9	46	0
25	Oct_8_2003	17.88	18.99	18.87	19.18			19.3(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	9	7	0.21	53%		4.5	1.41%	0	0.8	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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