Trading Signals: XLI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: XLI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Industrials sector ETF)
XLI latest price $51.7242 (0.76%) ($50.9601 - $51.9187) on Mon. Apr. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $51.7242(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLI declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(90%)    VT(87%)    XLB(87%)    IVE(86%)    XAR(86%)
Factors Impacting XLI price   XLI will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $49.61(-4.09%)
Resistance Level   $51.98
5 Day Moving Average   $51.64(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.69(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.98(-0.49%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLI price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2015	51.92	51.98	51.69	51.64			51.72(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	3	-62	8.2	57%	0.02	-52.8	0.91%	0	-0.5	42	0
2	Apr_2_2015	51.91	52	51.79	51.58			51.34(0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-12	-10000	1	-51	6.57	52%	-0.02	-63	0.96%	0	-1.2	49	0
3	Apr_1_2015	51.92	52.07	51.92	51.56			51.31(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-1	-50	8.79	52%	0	-68.9	0.96%	0	-1.4	44	0
4	Mar_31_2015	51.92	52.14	52.08	51.58			51.65(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-5	-35	6.53	52%	0	-74.8	0.97%	0	-0.9	53	0
5	Mar_30_2015	51.92	52.21	52.15	51.71			52.17(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-6	-10000	-2	-19	5.84	54%	0.02	-66.7	0.97%	0	-0.1	56	0

6	Mar_27_2015	51.91	52.27	52.19	51.76			51.45(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-12	-19	4.97	51%	0	-62	0.95%	0	-1.3	42	0
7	Mar_26_2015	51.91	52.35	52.23	52.06			51.25(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-11	-3	10.12	51%	0	-54.2	0.95%	0	-1.7	46	0
8	Mar_25_2015	51.91	52.45	52.34	52.33			51.39(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-7	-10000	-12	8	9.04	51%	0.02	-44	0.95%	0	-1.7	41	0
9	Mar_24_2015	51.9	52.56	52.37	52.64			52.28(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	6	-10000	-0	22	12.61	55%	0.04	-27.7	0.94%	0	-0.5	46	0
10	Mar_23_2015	51.88	52.62	52.3	52.65			52.46(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-1	5	7.22	55%	0.04	-20.7	0.93%	0	-0.3	44	0

11	Mar_20_2015	51.86	52.67	52.31	52.67			52.9(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	10	1	10.88	55%	0.02	-13.9	0.93%	0	0.4	44	0
12	Mar_19_2015	51.85	52.7	52.31	52.43			52.6(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	3	-29	10.57	55%	0.06	-17.1	0.93%	0	-0.2	46	0
13	Mar_18_2015	51.82	52.72	52.22	52.35			52.96(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	12	-38	20.05	60%	0.06	-12.2	0.93%	0	0.4	47	0
14	Mar_17_2015	51.79	52.73	52.19	52.06			52.35(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	6	-66	8.36	58%	0.06	-17.1	0.97%	0	-0.6	40	0
15	Mar_16_2015	51.76	52.75	52.26	52.06			52.56(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-21	-10000	0	-84	11.14	58%	0.08	-16	0.98%	0	-0.3	40	0

16	Mar_13_2015	51.72	52.76	52.33	51.9			51.7(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-3	-88	11.11	55%	0.06	-10.6	0.95%	0	-1.6	35	0
17	Mar_12_2015	51.69	52.76	52.47	51.97			52.18(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-10000	-5	-93	8.72	50%	0.08	-4.3	0.95%	0	-1	36	0
18	Mar_11_2015	51.65	52.8	52.57	52.09			51.52(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-9	-86	9.39	47%	0.08	5.1	0.97%	0	-2.1	35	0
19	Mar_10_2015	51.61	52.84	52.77	52.33			51.57(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-10000	-13	-69	10.09	44%	0.08	17.3	0.97%	0	-2.2	37	0
20	Mar_9_2015	51.57	52.86	52.98	52.65			52.54(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-7	-39	6.11	47%	0.12	38.9	0.97%	0	-0.6	49	0

21	Mar_6_2015	51.51	52.86	53.07	52.84			52.05(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-8	-21	8.25	47%	0.1	56.5	0.96%	0	-1.3	45	0
22	Mar_5_2015	51.46	52.83	53.23	53.03			52.77(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-4	5	4.99	50%	0.14	70.9	0.96%	0	-0.1	57	0
23	Mar_4_2015	51.39	52.77	53.28	53.12			52.73(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-6	24	6.26	47%	0.14	75.2	0.97%	0	-0.1	63	0
24	Mar_3_2015	51.32	52.73	53.32	53.27			53.15(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-3	47	7.72	50%	0.16	84.4	0.98%	0	0.6	70	0
25	Mar_2_2015	51.24	52.64	53.29	53.36			53.49(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	1	66	8.56	50%		77.7	0.99%	0	1.1	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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