Trading Signals: XLI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: XLI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Industrials sector ETF)
XLI latest price $51.4391 (0.14%) ($51.2007 - $51.4758) on Fri. Nov. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $51.4391(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLI advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(87%)    XLB(87%)    XAR(86%)    XLF(86%)    SPY(83%)
Factors Impacting XLI price   XLI will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.94(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.64(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.09(4.79%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLI price fluctuates within 3.99% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2014	48.92	49.09	50.64	50.94			51.44(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	6	144	8.24	58%	0.04	50.1	1.1%	0	1.2	77	0
2	Nov_6_2014	48.9	48.82	50.43	50.78			51.37(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	38	-10000	-1	156	5.73	58%	0.04	43.5	1.1%	0	1.3	77	0
3	Nov_5_2014	48.88	48.59	50.18	50.82			50.83(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	51	-10000	7	184	8.11	58%	0.02	44.8	1.09%	0	1.2	76	0
4	Nov_4_2014	48.87	48.43	49.88	50.63			50.52(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-10000	3	195	6.23	58%	0.02	44.1	1.09%	0	1.2	80	0
5	Nov_3_2014	48.86	48.26	49.68	50.55			50.55(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	63	-10000	10	223	11.11	58%	0.02	40.3	1.09%	0	1.4	78	0

6	Oct_31_2014	48.85	48.13	49.37	50.28			50.61(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	-10000	10	232	10.17	55%	0.02	36.7	1.09%	0	1.6	81	0
7	Oct_30_2014	48.84	48	49.03	50.01			51.56(3.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	73	-10000	20	233	6.44	58%	0.04	32.9	1.1%	0	2.4	80	0
8	Oct_29_2014	48.82	47.79	48.58	49.46			49.92(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	68	-10000	17	220	12.59	52%	-0.02	24.6	1.03%	0	1.7	68	0
9	Oct_28_2014	48.83	47.67	48.19	49.02			50.09(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	-10000	13	169	10.07	52%	0	10.9	1.04%	0	2.1	59	0
10	Oct_27_2014	48.83	47.58	47.78	48.68			49.22(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	-10000	15	141	9.69	50%	-0.02	2.2	1.02%	0	1.5	61	0

11	Oct_24_2014	48.84	47.55	47.4	48.3			49.24(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	17	86	8.95	50%	-0.02	-9.9	1.02%	0	1.6	53	0
12	Oct_23_2014	48.85	47.51	47.08	47.89			48.81(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	13	31	23.32	50%	0	-26	1.01%	0	1.3	50	0
13	Oct_22_2014	48.85	47.48	47.08	47.57			47.75(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	12	-10000	16	-1	16.42	46%	-0.04	-40.6	0.97%	0	0.3	49	0
14	Oct_21_2014	48.87	47.54	46.86	47.21			48.39(2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	-10000	21	-25	12.84	48%	0	-51.1	0.96%	0	0.8	52	0
15	Oct_20_2014	48.87	47.56	46.71	46.74			47.33(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	18	-85	17.45	45%	-0.04	-62.6	0.92%	0	-0.2	41	0

16	Oct_17_2014	48.89	47.65	46.78	46.36			47.19(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-24	-10000	10	-126	24.73	43%	-0.04	-66.8	0.92%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	Oct_16_2014	48.91	47.78	46.88	46.15			47.19(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-35	-10000	4	-152	24.7	43%	-0.04	-66.3	0.92%	0	-0.5	39	0
18	Oct_15_2014	48.93	47.91	46.92	46.07			45.94(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	-10000	-20	-191	28.27	38%	-0.06	-64.7	0.86%	0	-1.5	34	0
19	Oct_14_2014	48.96	48.1	47.11	46.47			46.05(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-10000	-10	-176	22.09	38%	-0.06	-58.6	0.86%	0	-1.6	31	0
20	Oct_13_2014	48.99	48.28	47.38	46.68			45.42(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-65	-10000	-28	-176	24.63	35%	-0.06	-58.5	0.84%	0	-2.4	29	0

21	Oct_10_2014	49.02	48.48	47.73	47.24			46.13(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-52	-10000	-23	-140	20.04	37%	-0.04	-56.3	0.82%	0	-2.3	29	0
22	Oct_9_2014	49.04	48.65	48.01	47.7			46.82(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-10000	-10	-114	23.24	39%	-0.04	-53.7	0.81%	0	-2.2	29	0
23	Oct_8_2014	49.06	48.79	48.18	47.89			47.93(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	2	-125	23.94	43%	0	-54.5	0.76%	0	-1.1	33	0
24	Oct_7_2014	49.06	48.86	48.3	47.86			47.08(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-52	-10000	-19	-151	19.32	37%	-0.02	-57.7	0.73%	0	-2.4	28	0
25	Oct_6_2014	49.07	48.98	48.5	48.19			48.26(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10000	-7	-138	12.08	42%		-55.2	0.67%	0	-1.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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