Trading Signals: XLI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: XLI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Industrials sector ETF)
XLI latest price $47.9279 (1.79%) ($46.7637 - $47.9738) on Wed. Oct. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $47.9279(1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLI declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(87%)    XLB(87%)    XAR(86%)    XLF(86%)    SPY(83%)
Factors Impacting XLI price   XLI will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $45.21(-5.67%)
Resistance Level   $48.79
5 Day Moving Average   $47.89(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.18(-0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.79(-1.77%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLI price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2014	49.06	48.79	48.18	47.89			47.93(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	2	-125	23.94	43%	0	-54.5	0.76%	0	-1.1	33	0
2	Oct_7_2014	49.06	48.86	48.3	47.86			47.08(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-52	-10000	-19	-151	19.32	37%	-0.02	-57.7	0.73%	0	-2.4	28	0
3	Oct_6_2014	49.07	48.98	48.5	48.19			48.26(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10000	-7	-138	12.08	42%	0	-55.2	0.67%	0	-1.2	37	0
4	Oct_3_2014	49.07	49.05	48.6	48.3			48.4(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-6	-126	14.25	44%	0	-50.8	0.68%	0	-1.1	42	0
5	Oct_2_2014	49.07	49.11	48.74	48.39			47.75(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10000	-9	-113	13.01	40%	-0.02	-45.8	0.66%	0	-2.3	34	0

6	Oct_1_2014	49.08	49.2	48.96	48.53			47.81(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-37	-10000	-17	-96	20.31	40%	-0.02	-47	0.66%	0	-2.8	33	0
7	Sep_30_2014	49.09	49.29	49.16	48.8			48.73(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-3	-61	12.38	45%	0	-44	0.63%	0	-1.5	41	0
8	Sep_29_2014	49.09	49.32	49.24	48.84			48.8(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-7	-57	7.66	45%	0.02	-43.8	0.63%	0	-1.4	43	0
9	Sep_26_2014	49.08	49.35	49.29	48.95			48.87(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-14	-54	5.84	45%	0	-40.3	0.63%	0	-1.5	41	0
10	Sep_25_2014	49.08	49.38	49.33	49.16			48.42(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-25	-10000	-20	-41	10.76	41%	0.02	-28.6	0.62%	0	-3.1	33	0

11	Sep_24_2014	49.07	49.43	49.45	49.46			49.19(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-7	-3	8.57	43%	0.02	-6.7	0.59%	0	-1.1	47	0
12	Sep_23_2014	49.06	49.45	49.47	49.57			48.94(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.9	-3	-10000	-7	9	8.63	43%	0.02	13.6	0.6%	0	-2.3	42	0
13	Sep_22_2014	49.05	49.48	49.52	49.68			49.34(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.8	7	-10000	1	25	10.71	46%	0.04	47.4	0.59%	0	-0.7	48	0
14	Sep_19_2014	49.03	49.49	49.54	49.66			49.9(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	8	30	9.27	54%	0.02	75	0.59%	0	2.3	68	0
15	Sep_18_2014	49.02	49.47	49.5	49.54			49.95(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	10	-10000	7	20	8.06	54%	0.04	100	0.59%	0	3	68	0

16	Sep_17_2014	49	49.45	49.45	49.43			49.71(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	5	-10000	4	7	9.72	54%	0.04	166.7	0.59%	0	2.2	59	0
17	Sep_16_2014	48.98	49.42	49.41	49.37			49.52(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	2	-1	7.32	54%	0.04	192.3	0.59%	0	0.8	52	0
18	Sep_15_2014	48.96	49.39	49.4	49.34			49.24(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-4	-10	7.03	54%	0.04	187.5	0.58%	0	-0.9	35	0
19	Sep_12_2014	48.94	49.35	49.41	49.4			49.26(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-4	-6	9.05	49%	0.02	118.6	0.58%	0	-0.3	46	0
20	Sep_11_2014	48.93	49.31	49.41	49.4			49.43(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-10000	0	-2	5.79	49%	0.02	119.2	0.61%	0	0.3	44	0

21	Sep_10_2014	48.92	49.25	49.41	49.46			49.41(0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	1	-6	5.45	49%	0.02	112.4	0.61%	0	0.4	41	0
22	Sep_9_2014	48.91	49.17	49.42	49.45			49.37(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-10000	-1	-1	5.8	49%	0.04	94.6	0.61%	0	0.4	59	0
23	Sep_8_2014	48.89	49.1	49.44	49.47			49.53(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	3	13	5.32	49%	0	88.9	0.62%	0	0.7	66	0
24	Sep_5_2014	48.89	49.01	49.44	49.42			49.57(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	9	-10000	3	28	9.28	55%	0.04	80.9	0.63%	0	0.8	78	0
25	Sep_4_2014	48.87	48.89	49.43	49.38			49.41(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	0	43	6.93	55%		67.1	0.64%	0	0.6	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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