Trading Signals: XLI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: XLI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Industrials sector ETF)
XLI latest price $49.2383 (-0.02%) ($49.1020 - $49.2837) on Wed. Jun. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $49.2383(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLI advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(87%)    XLB(87%)    XAR(86%)    XLF(86%)    SPY(83%)
Factors Impacting XLI price   XLI will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.2(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.93(0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.64(1.23%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLI price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2014	47.8	48.64	48.93	49.2			49.24(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	3	83	3.79	42%	0.04	67.4	0.76%	0	1.3	59	0
2	Jun_3_2014	47.78	48.56	48.79	49.14			49.25(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	4	61	4.01	42%	0.06	61.9	0.77%	0	1.5	52	0
3	Jun_2_2014	47.75	48.5	48.7	49.07			49.3(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	7	50	7.07	42%	0.06	63.2	0.77%	0	1.7	54	0
4	May_30_2014	47.72	48.44	48.59	48.94			49.09(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	8	40	6.16	42%	0.04	62.9	0.78%	0	1.5	62	0
5	May_29_2014	47.7	48.38	48.49	48.78			49.13(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	9	28	4.22	42%	0.06	55.4	0.79%	0	1.9	63	0

6	May_28_2014	47.67	48.33	48.43	48.61			48.93(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	13	20	10.31	42%	0.04	46.8	0.79%	0	1.6	61	0
7	May_27_2014	47.65	48.27	48.42	48.37			48.89(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	8	-10000	5	15	6.7	42%	0.04	27.4	0.8%	0	1.8	65	0
8	May_23_2014	47.63	48.22	48.41	48.28			48.64(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	5	18	3.74	42%	0.04	16.4	0.8%	0	1.2	57	0
9	May_22_2014	47.61	48.17	48.36	48.19			48.33(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	1	12	4.48	42%	0.02	7.2	0.81%	0	0.5	55	0
10	May_21_2014	47.6	48.17	48.34	48.16			48.24(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10000	-4	8	7.66	42%	0.04	13	0.82%	0	0.2	53	0

11	May_20_2014	47.58	48.16	48.33	48.23			47.77(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-7	-10000	-12	10	9.78	40%	0	39.1	0.81%	0	-1.2	46	0
12	May_19_2014	47.58	48.18	48.34	48.46			48.41(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-5	33	4.65	42%	0.04	83.3	0.8%	0	0.7	59	0
13	May_16_2014	47.56	48.16	48.31	48.56			48.22(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-1.1	13	-10000	1	48	7.49	42%	0.02	119.7	0.8%	0	0.2	59	0
14	May_15_2014	47.55	48.14	48.29	48.54			48.16(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	13	-10000	0	51	13.02	42%	0.02	130.4	0.81%	0	0.1	59	0
15	May_14_2014	47.54	48.12	48.28	48.53			48.58(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	5	52	6.95	44%	0.06	123.3	0.81%	0	1.3	55	0

16	May_13_2014	47.51	48.03	48.23	48.44			48.95(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	13	47	8.65	44%	0.06	92.2	0.81%	0	2.1	59	0
17	May_12_2014	47.48	47.91	48.12	48.19			48.87(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	8	21	11.27	44%	0.06	63.7	0.82%	0	2	61	0
18	May_9_2014	47.45	47.78	48	48.03			48.15(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	2	1	5.13	39%	0.04	35.9	0.8%	0	0.7	52	0
19	May_8_2014	47.43	47.71	47.95	48			48.11(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	0	-6	8.03	39%	0.02	20.6	0.81%	0	0.7	54	0
20	May_7_2014	47.42	47.69	47.95	47.99			48.12(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	0	-10000	-0	1	7.96	39%	0.04	16.1	0.82%	0	0.7	61	0

21	May_6_2014	47.4	47.63	47.96	48			47.71(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-1	22	6.03	36%	0.02	10.3	0.82%	0	0.1	68	0
22	May_5_2014	47.39	47.6	47.96	48.02			48.08(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	15	-10000	4	48	5.36	36%	0.04	7.8	0.82%	0	0.8	78	0
23	May_2_2014	47.37	47.58	48	47.95			47.98(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	2	67	8.7	36%	0.02	10.3	0.83%	0	0.7	79	0
24	May_1_2014	47.36	47.58	47.99	47.9			48.05(-0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	19	-10000	-1	79	10.6	36%	0.04	19.5	0.84%	0	0.8	69	0
25	Apr_30_2014	47.34	47.59	47.95	47.92			48.17(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	19	-10000	-1	80	13.3	36%		31.5	0.85%	0	0.9	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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