Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $18.9038 (0%) ($18.8268 - $19.0192) on Thu. Oct. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $18.9038(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    XLI(86%)    VT(85%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-9%)    IGOV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.76(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.78(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.68(1.2%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2016	18.37	18.68	18.78	18.76			18.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	13	-10000	9	24	56.24	44%	0	22.9	0.73%	0	1.2	62	0
2	Oct_19_2016	18.37	18.67	18.77	18.7			18.9(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	4	29	49.84	44%	0.05	16.7	0.73%	0	1.3	69	0
3	Oct_18_2016	18.36	18.66	18.76	18.67			18.74(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-10000	-1	33	45.96	40%	0	17.6	0.72%	0	0.5	55	0
4	Oct_17_2016	18.36	18.66	18.75	18.68			18.59(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-12	35	41.24	36%	0.05	20.9	0.71%	0	-0.4	55	0
5	Oct_14_2016	18.35	18.65	18.74	18.76			18.67(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-5	63	76.18	36%	0	24.2	0.71%	0	0.1	61	0

6	Oct_13_2016	18.35	18.65	18.73	18.79			18.59(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	11	-10000	-9	69	73.17	36%	0	24.2	0.72%	0	-0.3	49	0
7	Oct_12_2016	18.35	18.64	18.71	18.85			18.77(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-3	71	51.38	45%	0.05	23.1	0.71%	0	0.8	50	0
8	Oct_11_2016	18.34	18.62	18.69	18.87			18.79(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	25	-10000	8	76	78.58	45%	0.05	12.1	0.72%	0	1	52	0
9	Oct_10_2016	18.33	18.62	18.66	18.82			18.96(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	15	64	38	48%	0.05	-9.3	0.71%	0	1.9	59	0
10	Oct_7_2016	18.32	18.61	18.6	18.72			18.87(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	9	28	55.53	55%	0.05	-32.6	0.75%	0	1.6	57	0

11	Oct_6_2016	18.31	18.59	18.57	18.66			18.87(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	16	23	53.34	55%	0.05	-47.4	0.75%	0	1.6	61	0
12	Oct_5_2016	18.3	18.59	18.55	18.55			18.85(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	6	-10000	9	-3	58.65	50%	0.05	-62.7	0.75%	0	1.3	54	0
13	Oct_4_2016	18.29	18.6	18.55	18.49			18.55(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	1	-12	68.47	44%	0.05	-65.5	0.75%	0	-0.2	51	0
14	Oct_3_2016	18.28	18.63	18.53	18.48			18.47(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-10000	4	-14	33.17	44%	0	-63.7	0.75%	0	-0.8	48	0
15	Sep_30_2016	18.28	18.66	18.54	18.45			18.56(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-10000	-3	-36	47.34	50%	0.05	-56.1	0.75%	0	-0.4	41	0

16	Sep_29_2016	18.27	18.68	18.53	18.47			18.31(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-11	-45	62.58	52%	0.05	-46.9	0.76%	0	-1.5	42	0
17	Sep_28_2016	18.26	18.72	18.53	18.55			18.57(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-3	-37	42.94	63%	0	-29.7	0.78%	0	-0.6	38	0
18	Sep_27_2016	18.26	18.74	18.56	18.57			18.48(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-3	-49	47.62	54%	0.05	-19.5	0.84%	0	-1	36	0
19	Sep_26_2016	18.25	18.76	18.57	18.59			18.34(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-6	-60	54.19	54%	0	-13.3	0.91%	0	-1.8	32	0
20	Sep_23_2016	18.25	18.76	18.62	18.64			18.63(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	-10000	4	-43	59.01	50%	0.05	-7.7	1.12%	0	-0.7	36	0

21	Sep_22_2016	18.24	18.76	18.63	18.6			18.73(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	2	-58	38.36	50%	0.05	-11.1	1.15%	0	-0.3	41	0
22	Sep_21_2016	18.23	18.76	18.65	18.58			18.69(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	4	-63	64.03	50%	0.05	-14.5	1.15%	0	-0.5	38	0
23	Sep_20_2016	18.22	18.79	18.68	18.58			18.58(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	0	-72	39.9	50%	0	-17.9	1.15%	0	-1	34	0
24	Sep_19_2016	18.22	18.79	18.73	18.54			18.57(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-6	-72	50.4	50%	0.05	-18.8	1.15%	0	-1	42	0
25	Sep_16_2016	18.21	18.8	18.78	18.6			18.44(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-5	-55	61.12	50%		-8.9	1.15%	0	-1.7	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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